Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 2, 2012Morton County, Stanton County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Jun 2, 2012, 7:09 PM CDT for Morton County, Stanton County, Kansas. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 2, 2012, 7:09 PM CDT (00:09 UTC)
Expired: Jun 2, 2012, 8:00 PM CDT
In force: 51 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS

Counties Morton County, KS, Stanton County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 169 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 130 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -339 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2442 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 48 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 205 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 2, 6:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 6:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
600 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

...UPDATE TO AVIATION FOR 00Z TAFS...

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TOMORROW)
ISSUED AT 343 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

SCATTERED HIGH BASED CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING AND INCREASING IN
AREAL COVERAGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON. THESE
STORMS ARE MODELED BY THE VARIOUS MESOSCALE NUMERICAL MODELS TO
CONGEAL INTO ONE OR TWO SEPARATE MULTICELL MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE
SYSTEMS AND SPREAD INTO WESTERN KANSAS ON THE EVENING. THE AXIS OF
STRONGEST INSTABILITY AND HIGH CAPE IS ORIENTED FROM SOUTHEAST
COLORADO INTO NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE PANHANDLES. THE TOTAL
CAPES DROPS DRAMATICALLY HEADING EASTWARD TOWARD THE LOWER TERRAIN,
HOWEVER, VERY STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXTENDING ACROSS MUCH OF
WESTERN KANSAS SHOULD STILL SUPPORT PROLIFIC THUNDERSTORMS GUST
POTENTIAL THOUGH THE EVENING FROM ANY THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS THAT
BECOME SUSTAINED INTO THE AREA. THE HRRR MODEL BASICALLY DEVELOPED 2
CLUSTERS, ALLOWING THE MAIN WIND THREAT TO BE SPLIT TO THE NORTH AND
THE SOUTH OF THE AREA. IN CONTRAST THE VARIOUS WRF RUNS PRODUCE
MORE OF A SINGLE LARGER CLUSTER CENTERING TOWARD HAMILTON AND
STANTON COUNTIES BY VERY LATE AFTERNOON.

THE MODELS ALSO INDICATE AN EMBEDDED MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE/PV
ANOMALY  MOVING INTO WESTERN KANSAS DURING THE EVENING. THE
LOCALIZED MESOSCALE LIFT FROM SUCH A FEATURE SHOULD SUPPORT
CONVECTION FARTHER EAST INTO CENTRAL KANSAS DURING THE EVENING HOURS
IN A MUCH WEAKENED MOST UNSTABLE CAPE ENVIRONMENT. WITH THIS
IMPULSE MOVING THOUGH THE AREA, A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AROUND 12Z IN THE EARLY
MORNING SUNDAY ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH MONDAY NIGHT, IT SHOULD BE ACROSS
SOUTHERN KANSAS BY TUESDAY MORNING, BRINGING A CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR WEST AND SOUTHERN CWA, WITH A MUCH LESS CHANCE
IN THE EAST DUE TO COLD AIR SINKING IN.  AN UPPER WAVE THEN DIVES
SOUTHEAST FROM WYOMING INTO KANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY, AS
THAT FRONT MEANDERS NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT.  THIS UPPER WAVE
COULD BRING UNSTABLE CONDITIONS TO MOST OF WESTERN KANSAS
WITH NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED, AND ALSO THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE
STORMS.  THE AREA EAST OF WAKEENEY TO ASHLAND WILL LIKELY HAVE THE
HIGHEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE, AND THAT AREA IS WHERE SEVERE STORMS
SEEM THE MOST LIKELY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  BY FRIDAY,
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL MOVE EVEN MORE EASTWARD, EAST OF A HAYS TO
MEDICINE LODGE LINE.  SATURDAY, MOST OF THE UPPER MOMENTUM WILL HAVE
MOVED SOUTH AND EAST, SO POPS WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN 15 PERCENT
FOR ALL BUT OUR FAR EASTERN ZONES, MAINLY IN THE SAINT JOHN TO PRATT
AREAS.

TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL START WITH MAX TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
90S, COOL TO THE MID 80S BY WEDNESDAY, AND DROP AS LOW AS THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 80S BY FRIDAY.  A SLIGHT WARM UP WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AS A
DOWN SLOPE WILL DEVELOP FROM THE MID LEVELS DOWNWARD.  MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL MAINLY BE IN THE MID 60S THROUGH THE EXTENDED FOR
PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 600 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

FOLLOWED THE HRRR FOR TEMPORAL GUIDANCE WITH CONVECTION ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS OF EASTERN COLORADO AS THIS MODEL SEEMS TO BE DOING FAIRLY
WELL IN COMPARING TO ACTUAL WSR-88D TRENDS. THINK THE BIGGEST CONCERN
FOR TAFS IS OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES. OTHERWISE,
VFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  65  93  67  91 /  80  10  10  10
GCK  61  94  66  91 /  80  10  10  10
EHA  60  96  65  90 /  80  20  20  20
LBL  64  96  67  92 /  80  10  20  20
HYS  65  92  67  91 /  50  20  20  10
P28  65  93  69  91 /  40  20  30  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...RUSSELL
LONG TERM...BURKE
AVIATION...SUGDEN

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 2, 4:57 AM CDT, 14 hours 12 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
457 AM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-031000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
457 AM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012 /357 AM MDT SAT JUN 2 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS
WEST OF HIGHWAY 83 LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF BECOMING SEVERE WITH HAIL
UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS AND WINDS AROUND 60 MPH BEING THE MAIN
CONCERN.

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS A CLUSTER
OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OUT OF EASTERN COLORADO INTO WESTERN KANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN KANSAS SUNDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. IT IS TO EARLY TO TELL IF ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE
SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

A FEW SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS FAR SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

WAH

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 2, 6:35 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
635 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

KSZ061-030030-
HAMILTON-
535 PM MDT SAT JUN 2 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HAMILTON COUNTY...

AT 530 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HOLLY...OR 8 MILES WEST OF COOLIDGE...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

WINDS NEAR 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3826 10205 3827 10195 3827 10157 3777 10157
      3776 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 266DEG 34KT 3804 10211

18

Local storm report, Jun 2, 6:58 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
658 PM CDT SAT JUN 02 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 WNW COOLIDGE          38.05N 102.04W
06/02/2012  E50.00 MPH       HAMILTON           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

RBURG

Local storm report, Jun 2, 7:09 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
709 PM CDT SAT JUN 02 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     TSTM WND GST     19 NW SYRACUSE          38.18N 102.00W
06/02/2012  E60 MPH          HAMILTON           KS   PUBLIC

&&

KSUGDEN

Special weather statement, Jun 2, 7:09 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
709 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

KSZ074-084-030100-
MORTON-STANTON-
709 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MORTON AND STANTON
COUNTIES...

AT 705 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTH OF THE SAUNDERS ELEVATOR...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3772 10205 3773 10157 3716 10158 3711 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0009Z 249DEG 19KT 3759 10202

18

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 2, 7:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Morton, Stanton, Stevens	51 min
Jun 2, 8:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Grant, Haskell, Seward, Stevens	61 min
Jun 2, 11:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Barber, Comanche	38 min
Jun 3, 12:54 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Barber	66 min
Jun 3, 1:10 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber	50 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2012 Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.