Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS State College, PA

July 27, 2012Potter County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this special weather statement at Jul 27, 2012, 7:45 PM EDT for Potter County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2012, 7:45 PM EDT (23:45 UTC)
Expired
Jul 27, 2012, 8:15 PM EDT
In force
30 min
Issued by
NWS State College, PA

County Potter County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 262 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2012-07-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 224 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2012-07-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -19 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
224 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-27 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
670 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 27, 7:27 PM EDT, 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 7:27 PM EDT, 18 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 27, 4:39 PM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
439 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

PAZ004>006-011-012-018-019-025>028-034>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063-064-282045-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE-
SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON-
FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-
SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-
DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-
439 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND
AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT...THAT WILL BE DRIFTING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE STATE.

SOME OF THE STORMS WILL CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...SMALL
HAIL...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ065-066-282045-
YORK-LANCASTER-
439 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE IN THE
FORM OF LOCALIZED DOWNBURST WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH...AND HAIL
UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ010-017-024-033-282045-
ELK-CLEARFIELD-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
439 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND
AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. THAT FRONT WILL BE DRIFTING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE STATE AND COULD ALLOW FOR HEAVY DOWNPOURS WHICH
MAY LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLOODING.

SOME OF THE STORMS WILL CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...SMALL
HAIL...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 27, 5:48 PM EDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 27, 5:57 PM EDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 27, 6:42 PM EDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 27, 6:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 27, 6:45 PM EDT, 1 hour before
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Special weather statement, Jul 27, 7:45 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 26, 10:05 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPAdams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York3 hr
Jul 27, 1:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPWarren78 min
Jul 27, 2:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPCameron, Elk75 min
Jul 27, 3:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPWarren57 min
Jul 27, 3:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPMcKean, Warren53 min
Jul 27, 3:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLycoming59 min
Jul 27, 3:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPCentre, Clearfield, Clinton35 min
Jul 27, 4:06 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchCTPCambria, Clearfield, Elk, Somerset12 hr
Jul 27, 4:20 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLycoming55 min
Jul 27, 4:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton, Huntingdon56 min
Jul 27, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Lycoming, Sullivan52 min
Jul 27, 5:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPSnyder, Union29 min
Jul 27, 5:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPMcKean57 min
Jul 27, 5:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPColumbia, Montour, Northumberland, Snyder33 min
Jul 27, 6:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPPotter63 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Pennsylvania, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.