Severe Thunderstorm Warning 65, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

415 
WWUS54 KCRP 161509
SVSCRP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1009 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

TXC007-391-409-161530-
/O.CON.KCRP.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-120416T1530Z/
ARANSAS-REFUGIO-SAN PATRICIO-
1009 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM CDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL ARANSAS...EAST CENTRAL SAN PATRICIO AND SOUTH
CENTRAL REFUGIO COUNTIES...

AT 1005 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR BAYSIDE...OR 8 MILES WEST OF ROCKPORT...MOVING NORTH AT
5 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BAYSIDE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT MONDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 2809 9720 2807 9719 2806 9715 2805 9715
      2807 9713 2808 9711 2795 9716 2797 9729
      2809 9729 2824 9725 2817 9708
TIME...MOT...LOC 1508Z 192DEG 4KT 2804 9718

$$

HART

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
659 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...SEE AVIATION SECTION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...A MEANDERING COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS S TX IS
COMBINING WITH AN UPPER DISTURBANCE AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND IS
PRODUCING SCATTERED TSRA'S THIS MORNING. SCT TO NUM TSRA'S ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY MVFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL BUT TSRA'S WILL LOWER CONDITIONS TO IFR AT
TIMES. THE BEST CHC FOR STRONG STORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
ALONG AND NEAR THE BDRY. THERE MAY BE BREAKS IN CONVECTION BUT
WILL GENERALLY BE ONGOING MUCH OF THE DAY. RAIN CHCS WILL DIMINISH
FROM W TO E TONIGHT AND TUE MORNING AS THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVES E OF
THE AREA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 404 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY
DRAPED ALONG THE COAST THIS MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER
ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND AND NEAR SHORE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. THIS
WILL PROVIDE FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT BEFORE
PUSHING OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO
WHERE THE POSITION OF THE BDRY WILL BE TODAY WHICH WILL DETERMINE
WHERE THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL WILL OCCUR. THE BDRY IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOMEWHERE EAST OF HIGHWAY 281. A DIFFLUENT FLOW
ALOFT WILL CONTINUE AS UPPER POLAR JET APPROACHES S TX AND
SUBTROPICAL JET REMAINS JUST TO THE S. ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH A LONG
WAVE TROF AND THE UPPER JETS WILL COMBINE WITH 2600 K/JG CAPE AND
LI'S OF -8 ACROSS THE SRN COASTAL BEND...PER THE GFS...THIS
AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE SCT TO NUM TSRA'S. SOME STORMS COULD BECOME
STRONG TO BRIEFLY PULSE SVR AT TIMES AS THE AIRMASS HEATS UP AFTER
SUNRISE...MAINLY ALONG THE BDRY AND IN THE WARM SECTOR. BEHIND THE
BDRY...SCT ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE DUE TO WEAK ISENTROPIC
LIFT AND CONVERGENCE AHD OF AND ALONG THE 850MB BDRY. MOST MODELS
AND HPC SHOW AROUND 1 INCH TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAINFALL TODAY THROUGH
TONIGHT ACROSS MAINLY THE FAR E TO SE PORTIONS OF THE CWA. AM
EXPECTING ISOLD AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...LEADING TO LOCALIZED
FLOODING.  THE UPPER TROF AXIS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND
EXIT THE AREA TO THE E BY TUE WITH RAIN ENDING FROM W TO E TONIGHT
THRU TUE MORNING.

TEMPS WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER TODAY...DUE PARTLY TO WEAK CAA AND
PARTLY TO INCREASED CLOUDS/RAIN. THE BDRY IS PROGD TO SHIFT OFFSHORE
BY EARLY TUE WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER AIRMASS FILTERING INTO S TX.
HOWEVER TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER DUE TO
DECREASING CLOUDS AND THE DRIER AIRMASS.

MARINE... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE
WATERS UNTIL 1 PM FOR SEAS AROUND 7FT. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE WEAK
TO MODERATE OUT OF THE SE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY.
HOWEVER...A MEANDERING COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO WINDS BEING MORE
VARIABLE ACROSS THE BAYS AND POSSIBLY NEARSHORE. THE BDRY IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH OFFSHORE BY TUE MORNING LEADING TO A WEAK TO MOD
NLY FLOW.

MOD TO HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK CONTINUES TODAY...AS A RESULT OF THE
LONG PERIOD LARGE SWELLS.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...A WEAK SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE NUDGES INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE MID LEVEL
SHORT WAVE TROUGH EXITS TO THE EAST. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ECMWF/CMC/GFS MODELS SHOW A
SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY
FRIDAY. NOT CONFIDENT IN AMOUNT OF MOISTURE RTURN AVAILABLE IN
ADVANCE OF THIS NEXT SYSTEM. WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT. EXPECT COLD FRONT TO MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES IN
STORE FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    81  69  83  64  82  /  70  50  20  10  10
VICTORIA          79  63  81  60  80  /  60  40  20  10  10
LAREDO            87  66  88  67  90  /  40  10  10  10  10
ALICE             82  66  84  63  84  /  70  30  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          78  71  80  68  81  /  70  50  20  10  10
COTULLA           86  60  87  62  86  /  30  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        82  66  84  64  83  /  70  50  20  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  72  81  68  79  /  70  50  20  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

TE/81...SHORT TERM
TT/89...LONG TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
420 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

TXZ229>234-239>247-170930-
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
420 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE
EXPECTED TODAY. SOME STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH SMALL HAIL
AND WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH. BRIEF ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
ARE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 1.5
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE
AMOUNTS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST TUESDAY
MORNING. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-170930-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
420 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE
EXPECTED TODAY. SOME STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH SMALL HAIL
AND WINDS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS OR GREATER. BRIEF ISOLATED SEVERE
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM ACROSS THE OFFSHORE
WATERS DUE TO 7 FOOT SEAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TE/TMT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
801 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

TXZ230-231-161400-
LIVE OAK-MCMULLEN-
801 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM AFFECTING LIVE OAK AND MCMULLEN COUNTIES...

AT 759 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF LOMA ALTA...OR 15 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF TILDEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

PZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
805 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PORTLAND                27.88N 97.33W
04/16/2012                   SAN PATRICIO       TX   PUBLIC

            MAJOR STREET FLOODING OCCURRING IN CITY.

&&

TTINSLEY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
816 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

TXZ232-244-246-161415-
BEE-REFUGIO-SAN PATRICIO-
816 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING BEE...REFUGIO AND SAN PATRICIO
COUNTIES...

AT 812 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACROSS WESTERN SAN PATRICIO COUNTY...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN BEE...SOUTHWESTERN REFUGIO AND WESTERN SAN
PATRICIO COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF EDROY...WEST SINTON...ST.
PAUL AND PAPALOTE...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY.
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE
ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

HART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
840 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 AM     FLASH FLOOD      GREGORY                 27.92N 97.29W
04/16/2012                   SAN PATRICIO       TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            VEHICLES BECOMING STRANDED IN FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

PZABEL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
850 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

TXZ242-161430-
KLEBERG-
850 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING KLEBERG COUNTY...

AT 847 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF RIVIERA BEACH...OR 15 MILES
NORTHEAST OF SARITA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PEOPLE IN EASTERN KLEBERG COUNTY...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM ALONG WITH DIME
SIZE HAIL.

HART

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
937 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

TXZ243-161530-
NUECES-
937 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING NUECES COUNTY...

AT 935 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACROSS NUECES COUNTY...DEVELOPING AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHWESTERN NUECES COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
CLARKWOOD...CORPUS CHRISTI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND ANNAVILLE...
SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

HART