Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

359 
WWUS54 KCRP 042025
SVSCRP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
325 PM CDT WED APR 4 2012

TXC057-391-042045-
/O.CON.KCRP.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-120404T2045Z/
CALHOUN-REFUGIO-
325 PM CDT WED APR 4 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL REFUGIO AND CENTRAL CALHOUN COUNTIES...

AT 324 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED NEAR AUSTWELL...OR 5 MILES WEST OF SEADRIFT...MOVING 
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SEADRIFT...
  AUSTWELL...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 2834 9663 2834 9671 2838 9671 2840 9673
      2839 9679 2842 9682 2842 9685 2836 9678
      2833 9678 2831 9696 2841 9702 2854 9672
TIME...MOT...LOC 2024Z 243DEG 9KT 2841 9679

$$


MB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
247 PM CDT WED APR 4 2012

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM. 12Z
CRP SOUNDING SHOWS A WEAKER CAP ACROSS THE REGION THAN THIS TIME
YESTERDAY. 700MB TEMPS HAVE COOLED FROM 11 DEGREES C FROM YESTERDAY
TO ABOUT 7 DEGREES TODAY. LATEST SPC MESOANALYSIS PAINTS MLCAPES
OF 3500 J/KG WITH CIN PRETTY MUCH ERODED ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND
REGION. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON
ALL READY IN THE VICTORIA AREA OVER TO PORT LAVACA AND POINT
COMFORT. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION EXPECTED ALONG THE BOUNDARY WHICH
HAS STALLED ACROSS THE THE REGION. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH A
LARGE HAIL/WIND THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN THE DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE AREA EXCEPT THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY UNTIL
8PM THIS EVENING. ANTICIPATE THE COVERAGE OF STORMS TO DIMINISH
AFTER SUNSET WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. MODELS INDICATE
NEAR SURFACE MOISTURE REMAINING ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT LEADING
TO ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG. UPPER LEVEL LOW WHICH HAS BEEN OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS FINALLY MOVES TO THE EAST
ON THURSDAY WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...ENDING
THE CHANCES FOR PRECIP. WARM DAY ON THURSDAY WITH MIDDLE 90S
ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY TO LOWER 80S ALONG THE COAST...MID/UPPER
80S INLAND.

&&

LONG-TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...THE EXTENDED FORECAST
CONTINUES TO BE DOMINATED BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVERHEAD.
OVERALL...WARM AND TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL BE IN PLACE.
HOWEVER...COULD SEE A BIT OF PATCH FOG FRIDAY MORNING AND SATURDAY
MORNING AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE BENEATH THE DRIER AIR
ALOFT. THROUGH THIS WEEKEND...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BREAK
DOWN A BIT AND SHIFT EASTWARD. THUS...850MB MOISTURE INCREASES
ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY.
THUS...ALONG WITH WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVING OUT OF MEXICO COULD AID
IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION OVER THE SIERRA
MADRE. THIS ACTIVITY COULD HOLD TOGETHER AND PUSH INTO THE BUSH
COUNTRY IN THE LATE EVENING HOURS. THUS...WILL KEEP MENTION OF
PRECIPITATION ACROSS FAR WEST THIS WEEKEND. THE GFS SOLUTION
CONTINUES TO BRING ANOTHER WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS BY NEXT WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER DEEP MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL LIFT
LOOK LIMITED.  FOR NOW WILL KEEP NEXT WEEK WARM AND DRY WITH LIGHT
TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    66  90  67  87  70  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          62  88  62  85  66  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            68  96  70  95  70  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             65  93  65  89  68  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          68  81  69  81  71  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           62  93  64  91  66  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        67  92  66  87  68  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       69  80  68  84  71  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

TB/78...SHORT TERM
RG/82...LONG TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
104 PM CDT WED APR 4 2012

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-051815-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
104 PM CDT WED APR 4 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH
TEXAS...LASTING THROUGH 8 PM CDT. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY
ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 16. SOME STORMS COULD BE COME SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BEING THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN BRUSH
COUNTRY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY EVENINGS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

RG