Severe Thunderstorm Warning 20, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

384 
WWUS54 KCRP 200840
SVSCRP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
340 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

TXC297-200900-
/O.CON.KCRP.SV.W.0020.000000T0000Z-120320T0900Z/
LIVE OAK-
340 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL LIVE OAK COUNTY...

AT 340 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NELL...OR 14 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF KENEDY...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 2878 9808 2870 9801 2869 9801 2860 9831
      2864 9831 2879 9811 2879 9809
TIME...MOT...LOC 0840Z 263DEG 42KT 2869 9798

$$


MB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1217 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

.DISCUSSION...UPDATE FOR 06Z AVIATION

&&

.AVIATION...SQUAL LINE WILL CONT TO ORGANIZE ALONG THE I-35
CORRIDOR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THEN SWEEP EAST TOWARDS
THE COAST BETWEEN 08Z-12Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS/VSBYS IN TEMPO +TSRA AND
VRB/GUSTY WINDS IN THE BKN LINE OF STORMS. GR AND SVR WIND GUSTS
POSSB IN ISOLD STORMS. STRONG SSE WINDS WILL TURN NW BEHIND THE
LINE OF STORMS. VFR CONDS AND PRECIP ENDING AFTER 09Z AT LRD AND
AFTER 11Z-13Z ERN TAF SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1105 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012/

DISCUSSION...EXTENDED WIND ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL LOCATIONS
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. IN ADDITION...EXTENDED THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY THROUGH THE MID MORNING. FINALLY GETTING SOME CONVECTION
DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN LOCATIONS...EXPECTING THE MAIN LINE
OVER THE HILL COUNTRY TO MOVE THROUGH AFTER 06Z AND CONTINUING
THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS. HOW FAR SOUTH THE DEVELOPMENT MAY
BE IS THE QUESTION. MODELS PICKING UP ON MOVING A SURFACE LOW OVER
THE WESTERN AREAS TO SHIFT A BIT FURTHER EAST...BRINGING IN DRIER
AIR IN THE MIDLEVELS...INCREASING THE CAP. HOWEVER...ENOUGH
CONVERGENCE MAY BE PRESENT ESPECIALLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
CWA...TO ALLOW THE LINE OF STORMS TO MOVE ALL THE WAY TO THE
COAST. EARLY TONIGHT...THE BEST CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL
REMAIN OVER THE FAR WEST TO NORTHWESTERN LOCATIONS...WITH BEST
CHANCES OF SEVERE SHIFTING WELL OVER THE NORTHERN TO NORTHEASTERN
LOCATIONS TOWARDS DAYBREAK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    52  76  53  79  60  /  30  10  10   0  10
VICTORIA          53  73  50  79  56  /  30  10  10   0  10
LAREDO            52  81  53  83  60  /  10  10  10   0  10
ALICE             51  79  50  81  57  /  20  10  10   0  10
ROCKPORT          54  73  58  77  64  /  30  10  10   0  10
COTULLA           50  78  49  82  54  /  10  10  10   0  10
KINGSVILLE        50  78  50  81  57  /  30  10  10   0  10
NAVY CORPUS       55  72  58  77  64  /  30  10  10   0  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARANSAS...CALHOUN...KLEBERG...NUECES...REFUGIO...SAN
     PATRICIO...VICTORIA.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT
     ARANSAS...BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT
     O'CONNOR...COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT
     ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

JR/76...AVIATION

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
600 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

TXZ229>234-239>247-201100-
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
600 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...WITH THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY OVERNIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE GREATEST THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE CHANCES FOR STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL END
OVER THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS BY LATE TUESDAY
MORNING. ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND WESTERN BRUSH
COUNTRY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-201100-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
600 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS DURING TODAY.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT WILL
BE FOR DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE CHANCES FOR STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL END
OVER THE GULF WATERS BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY EVENING OVER THE GULF WATERS WHICH
COULD PRODUCE BRIEF WIND GUSTS AND CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR
ALL MARINE INTERESTS...THEN OVER THE GULF WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.