Small Craft Advisory 55, NWS Caribou, ME

619 
WHUS71 KCAR 120214
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1014 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

ANZ050>052-121015-
/O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-121013T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
1014 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

772 
WHUS71 KCAR 120717
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
317 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

ANZ050>052-121700-
/O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-121013T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
317 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

951 
WHUS71 KCAR 121915
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
315 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

ANZ050>052-130315-
/O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-121013T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
315 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HEWITT

524 
WHUS71 KCAR 122302
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
702 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

ANZ050>052-130715-
/O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-121013T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
702 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

183 
WHUS71 KCAR 130209
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1009 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

ANZ050>052-130800-
/O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-121013T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
1009 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH A FEW GUSTS TO
  35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

187 
WHUS71 KCAR 130730
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
330 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

ANZ052-130830-
/O.CAN.KCAR.SC.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-121013T0800Z/
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
330 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 20 KT WITH WAVES LESS THAN 5 FT...SO THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

ANZ050-051-131300-
/O.EXT.KCAR.SC.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-121013T1300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
330 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HASTINGS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
356 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN
MAINE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY WITH SOME SNOW POSSIBLE.
COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
INTERESTING FORECAST COMING UP FOR THIS TERM.

UPPER TROF SWINGING ACROSS THE CWA ATTM WHICH TRIGGERED SOME
PRECIP IN THE FORM OF RAIN SHOWERS MIXED IN W/SLEET AND EVEN SOME
WET SNOW. ATTM FREEZING LEVEL(32F) IS JUST ABOVE 2K FT AND THE
THIS WILL BE DROPPING AS WE MOVE INTO THE EVENING. WINDS WHICH
GUSTED TO AOA 40 MPH IN SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE TODAY
WILL DROP OFF AFTER SUNSET. SKIES WILL CLEAR THROUGH EARLY
TONIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS CALMING DOWN, CLEAR SKIES
AND A COLD AIRMASS IN PLACE WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO FALL
OFF QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. TEMPERATURES WILL LEVEL OFF JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS CLOUDS ARRIVE AHEAD OF A FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEM FROM
THE GREAT LAKES REGION. DECENT OVERRUNNING IN PLACE WITH THIS
SYSTEM AND W/COLD AIR IN PLACE IN THE LLVLS, PRECIP WILL START OFF
IN THE FORM OF SNOW ACROSS THE FAR N AND NW, PRIMARILY FROM THE
SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND POINTS W AND NW. THIS WILL BE AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FURTHER E, PRECIP COULD START IN THE FORM OF RAIN/SNOW
(CARIBOU-VAN BUREN REGION) AND THEN WILL SOME DYNAMIC COOLING
INITIALLY, PRECIP SHOULD GO TO A PERIOD OF SNOW BY EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING(NEAR OR AFTER 3 AM). BEST CHANCES FOR ANY SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATION WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND WESTERN
MAINE WHERE 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE. FURTHER E, A
TRACE W/UP TO ONE HALF OF AN INCH OF SNOW COULD BE POSSIBLE. MOST
OF THE ACCUMULATION WILL BE ON GRASSY SURFACES.

FOR FRIDAY, THIS SYSTEM IS FAST MOVING AND WILL BE INTO NEW BRUNSWICK
BY FRIDAY MORNING. A BRIEF MODERATION IN THE BLYR LOOKS TO OCCUR
AFTER 8 AM WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR ANY SNOW OR SNOW/RAIN TO GO TO RAIN
BEFORE ENDING. AS THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CLEARS THE REGION BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON, ANOTHER ROUND OF CAA IS SET TO ARRIVE. THEREFORE,
MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE SET EARLY AND THEN VALUES WILL FALL BACK
IN THE AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ROUND OF WIND GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR
FRIDAY AS MDL SOUNDINGS SHOW POTENTIAL FOR 30KT GUSTS TO MIX DOWN
TO THE SFC ESPECIALLY BY THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW
NORMAL FOR MID OCTOBER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WILL
DOMINATE WEATHER ACROSS ENTIRE EASTERN SEA BOARD AT THE BEGINNING
OF THIS PERIOD. THE HIGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE EAST SATURDAY
NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE WARM
FRONT WILL CAUSE PRECIPITATION TO SPREAD FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. WILL BASE PRECIPITATION
TYPE ON SURFACE TEMPERATURE. FOR WIND WILL BLEND THE NAM12 AND
GMOS. HAVE USED THE GMOS FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. FOR POP
AND QPF WILL BLEND THE NAM12...GFS40...SREF AND ECMWF.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO CANADA PASSING
TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE DURING THE DAY MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH BEHIND THIS SYSTEM BRING IN ANOTHER SURGE OF COLDER
AIR. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY AND
REMAIN IN PLACE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. HAVE USED THE MOS TO
INITIALIZE ALL GRIDS. WILL MAKE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO SKY AND
POP GRIDS. WILL ALSO ADJUST MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM TO BETTER FIT THREE
HOUR MOS TEMPERATURE. HAVE ALSO MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO SMOOTH POP
GRIDS. WILL BASE PRECIPITATION TYPE ON SURFACE TEMPERATURE.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR THIS EVENING AND THEN MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN TERMINALS AFTER 06Z W/SOME SNOW
EXPECTED MAINLY FOR KFVE AND KCAR. A RETURN TO VFR LOOKS IN THE
OFFING AFTER 12Z FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. MVFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: DROPPED THE GLW TO SCA AS WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW GALE
RANGE. GUSTS PEAKED AT 33 KTS AT 44027 AND 44034 BUT ARE NOW
PEAKING AT 30 KTS TOP. DECIDED TO GO W/20-25 KTS OVERNIGHT. THERE
WILL BE A BRIEF REPRIEVE IN THE WINDS AND THEN THEY WILL PICK BACK
UP BY FRIDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT CLEARS THE WATERS AND CAA BEGINS
TO HIT THE WATERS. WAVE HEIGHTS ATTM ARE RUNNING 8 FT AND RIGHT
NEAR THE WNAWAVE. INITIALIZED W/8 FT DROPPING THEM BACK 5-7 FT
TONIGHT AND THEN TO 5 FT AFTER 06Z AND HOLD RIGHT AROUND 5 FT ON
FRIDAY W/THE OFFSHORE COMPONENT.

SHORT TERM:
HAVE BLENDED THE NAM12 AND GFS40 FOR WIND GRIDS. WILL INCREASE
WIND SPEED THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO DIFFERENTIAL BETWEEN AIR
TEMPERATURE AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. HAVE TRANSITIONED TO GMOS
WINDS AFTER 0000Z MONDAY. FOR WAVES: OFF-SHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST ACROSS THE GULF OF MAINE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. WILL INCREASE
WAVE HEIGHT 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE WAVE MODEL FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY TO
BETTER FIT FORECAST WIND SPEED. A SOUTHERLY FETCH DEVELOPS FROM
GULF OF MAINE SOUTHWARD SUNDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT. LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEM MAY BEGIN TO ARRIVE TUESDAY
DEPENDING ON DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL SYSTEM IN WESTERN ATLANTIC.
HAVE USED THE WNA/4 TO POPULATE WAVE GRIDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

NEAR TERM...HEWITT
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...MIGNONE
AVIATION...HEWITT
MARINE...HEWITT/MIGNONE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
323 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-120730-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
323 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL
MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ050>052-120730-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
323 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.