Gale Warning 14, NWS Caribou, ME

146 
WHUS71 KCAR 112000
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
400 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

ANZ050>052-120400-
/O.CAN.KCAR.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-121012T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KCAR.SC.Y.0055.121011T2000Z-121013T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
400 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HEWITT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
616 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TODAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF THE REGION. WEAK FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE LATE TONIGHT. COLD HIGH PRESSURE
WILL FOLLOW FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE 0610L: COLD FRONT WELL E OF THE FA ATTM W/ BRISK NW WNDS
BEGINNING TO PICK UP SPCLY ACROSS NRN AREAS. LINGERING SHOWERS FAR
NE W/ JUST SOME SPOTTY LGT SHOWERS CENTRAL AND W ATTM. CURRENT
FCST LOOKS ON TRACK W/ NO MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS NEEDED ATTM.

STRONG COLD FRONT HAS NOW CLEARED OUR FA AND CONTS MVG EWRD AWAY
FROM OUR AREA... LINGERING RAIN ACROSS FAR NERN AREAS W/ SHOWERS
ACROSS THE N AND W TAPERING TO NIL POPS SW AND S. STRONG CAA
EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE FA TODAY ON BRISK W TO NW WNDS AS RIDGE
OF CANADIAN HIGH PRES BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION. EXPECT THE
USUAL SC ACROSS THE N THIS AM INTO THE ERLY AFTN HRS W/ MAX TEMPS
LIKELY TO BE REACHED BY LATE AM/ERLY AFTN BEFORE STEADYING OUT OR
EVN FALLING A BIT THIS AFTN. CLOUDS AND WNDS SHOULD DECREASE
QUICKLY BY MID TO LATE AFTN AS THE RIDGE AXIS IS EXPECTED TO
QUICKLY CREST THE AREA BY THIS EVE AHEAD OF A FAST MVG BUT WEAK
SFC LOW PRES SYSTEM WHICH MODEL CONSENSUS HAS CROSSING FAR NRN
MAINE BY 12Z FRI. WEAK WAA AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW PRECIP
TO OVERSPREAD FAR N AND NW AREAS BEFORE MDNGT AND REACH NERN AREAS
06-08Z. BL TEMPS/CRITICAL THCKNS VALS SUGGEST BEST CHC FOR ANY
SNOW REMAINS ACROSS THE FAR N AND NW WHERE AN INCH OR SO IS PSBL.
WILL CONT CAT TO LIKELY POPS FAR NRN AREAS W/ CHC POPS CENTRAL AND
S. OVERALL EXPECT THIS UPCOMING EVENT TO PRODUCE ONLY LGT QPF
AMOUNTS W/ PRECIP MAXES BLO .25 INCHES EXPECTED...

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
CLIPPER-TYPE LOW PRESSURE WILL BE EXITING FROM MAINE INTO NEW
BRUNSWICK LATE FRIDAY MORNING, WITH HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY BEGINNING
TO BUILD OVER THE NORTHEAST CONUS THEREAFTER. SHOWERS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS, BUT WILL QUICKLY END BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW OR A
RAIN/SNOW MIX, BUT ANTICIPATE LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION, ESPECIALLY
ONCE THE SUN COMES UP. CLOUDS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE STATE, BUT MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE SUNSHINE BEGIN TO
BREAK THROUGH IN THE AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY DOWNEAST. HOWEVER, EVEN
WITH SUN, IT WILL FEEL VERY CHILLY FRIDAY AS BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS
DEVELOP IN THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RETREATING LOW
AND THE ADVANCING HIGH. WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 40 IN THE NORTH
WOODS TO AROUND 50 DOWNEAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY,
EVENTUALLY MOVING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND OUT TO SEA. AS
SUCH, EXPECT CLEARING SKIES FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE COLD WITH EVERYONE GETTING DOWN
INTO THE 20S. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE A BIT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON, BUT
SHOULD REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY FOG DEVELOPMENT OUTSIDE OF
THE DEEPER RIVER VALLEYS. SATURDAY WILL START OUT MOSTLY SUNNY, BUT
EXPECT STRATOCUMULUS TO ARISE BY LATE MORNING AS MIXING OCCURS.
WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE ON THE GUSTY SIDE, THOUGH NOT AS STRONG AS
ON FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO THOSE ON
FRIDAY, TOPPING OUT IN THE 40S IN MOST SPOTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UNSETTLED PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE LONG TERM. WE START OFF
WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM SET TO MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, WITH THE LEADING WARM FRONT MOVING ACROSS MAINE
DURING THAT TIME FRAME. THE LOW WILL THEN TRAVERSE EASTWARD
THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC, DRAGGING ITS COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. AS SUCH, SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WILL BE WET, WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WRAP AROUND
SHOWERS CONTINUE INTO EARLY TUESDAY, THEN CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. THIS FEATURE WILL KEEP FAIR
WEATHER IN THE STATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MONDAY
WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE PERIOD, THOUGH IT DEPENDS ON HOW
LONG THE AREA STAYS IN THE WARM SECTOR BEFORE THE COLD FRONT
PUSHES THROUGH. OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL
NORMAL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MAINLY VFR CONDS WILL PREVAIL TODAY INTO TNGT THO CAN
NOT RULE OUT SOME PATCHY MVFR ACROSS OUR NRN TAF SITES THIS AM IN
SOME POST-FRONTAL SC. MFR TO PSBL IFR CONDS ARE PSBL ACROSS THE
NRN TAF SITES LATE TNGT/ERLY FRI AS A FAST MVG LOW PRES SYSTEM
CROSSES FAR NRN AREAS W/ SOME LGT RAIN OR WET SNOW.

SHORT TERM: MVFR/OCCASIONAL IFR EXPECTED THROUGH 15Z FRIDAY DUE TO
LOW CEILINGS AND PRECIPITATION. RAIN MAY MIX WITH SNOW EARLY AT THE
NORTHERN TERMINALS. CONDITIONS IMPROVE FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION RETURNS SATURDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUES THROUGH MONDAY. EXPECT MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS
DURING THIS PERIOD. THE EXCEPTIONS WILL BE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WHEN
SNOW MAY DROP THINGS TO IFR AT THE NORTHERN SITES. OCCASIONAL IFR
CEILINGS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT, WHEN THE
STEADIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HAVE OPTED TO XTND THE SCA THRU FRI NGT...  EXPECT A
BRIEF BREAK TNGT AS LOW PRES PASSES N OF THE WATERS BUT WILL
LIKELY SEE A RETURN OF SCA CONDS BY LATE TNGT/ERLY FRI. EVEN THO
WNDS/SEAS MAY FALL TO AT OR JUST BLO SCA LEVELS FOR A BRIEF PD
TNGT...PROBABLY BEST TO KEEP THE SCA GOING VS DROPPING IT THIS EVE
ONLY TO NEED TO REISSUE IT FOR LATER TNGT/ERLY FRI...

BRIEF MARGINAL GALES ARE PSBL THIS AM BUT OVERALL JUST EXPECTING
PREDOM STRONG SCA CONDS ATTM...

SHORT TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH  BY
FRIDAY NIGHT SINCE WINDS LOOK TO INCREASE AHEAD OF A CLIPPER-TYPE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT AND WAVES 5 TO 7 FT CAN
BE EXPECTED TO LAST INTO FRIDAY EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO
IMPROVE BY AROUND MIDNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER
THE REGION. HOWEVER, GUSTY WINDS AROUND 20 KT WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

NEAR TERM...KHW
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...KHW
MARINE...KHW/HASTINGS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
323 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-120730-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
323 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL
MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ050>052-120730-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
323 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.