Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 14, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 29, 2012

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Jan 29, 2012, 3:46 AM EST. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 29, 2012, 3:46 AM EST (08:46 UTC)
Expired
Jan 30, 2012, 3:52 PM EST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

365 
WHUS71 KBUF 290846
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

LEZ040-041-291700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-120129T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.120129T0846Z-120130T1700Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
346 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-291700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-120129T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.120129T0846Z-120129T1700Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
346 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ030-291000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-120129T0900Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
346 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED EARLY THIS MORNING.

$$

LOZ042>045-062>065-291200-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-120129T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
346 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/JJR
9 follow-up statements
641 
WHUS71 KBUF 291025
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
525 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

LOZ042>045-291800-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-120129T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-291130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-120129T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW GALE FORCE...THEREFORE THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

LEZ040-041-291800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T1700Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-291700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T1700Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
525 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR
572 
WHUS71 KBUF 291432
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
932 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

LEZ040-041-292245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T1700Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
932 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-291700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T1700Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
932 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-292245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
932 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
414 
WHUS71 KBUF 291655
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1155 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

LEZ020-292200-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1155 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-300100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T1700Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1155 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-300100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1155 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
899 
WHUS71 KBUF 292044
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
344 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

LEZ020-292145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
344 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LEZ040-041-300445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T1700Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
344 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-300445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
344 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
551 
WHUS71 KBUF 300235
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
935 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

LEZ040-041-301045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T1700Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
935 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-301045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
935 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
640 
WHUS71 KBUF 300852
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
352 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

LOZ042-301700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T1700Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
352 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-301700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T1700Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
352 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-301700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
352 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/JJR
370 
WHUS71 KBUF 301458
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
958 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

LEZ040-041-301700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T1700Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
958 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-302100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
958 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-301700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T1700Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
958 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WINDS...WEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS
718 
WHUS71 KBUF 301654
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1154 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

LOZ043-301800-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1154 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE FALLEN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

$$

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-301800-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T1700Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1154 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE FALLEN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

$$

LOZ044-045-302100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1154 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
237 
WHUS71 KBUF 302052
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
352 PM EST MON JAN 30 2012

LOZ044-045-302200-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120130T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
352 PM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WIND AND WAVES HAVE DROPPED BELOW THE CRITERIA NEEDED FOR A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LEZ040-041-310500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0015.120131T0400Z-120201T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
352 PM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-310500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0015.120131T0900Z-120201T1500Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
352 PM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 29, 2:10 AM EST, 1 hour 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 29, 2:10 AM EST, 1 hour 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
210 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT JUST NORTH OF THE REGION TODAY...BRINGING A
SHARP COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS WILL
BRING WINDY CONDITIONS THIS EVENING AND SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF
THE LAKES TONIGHT. ANOTHER FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY...WHICH WILL BRING A A GENERAL LIGHT
SNOWFALL TO WESTERN NEW YORK FOLLOWED BY MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
EAST OF THE LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT. A THIRD FAST MOVING SYSTEM WILL
BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SNOW LATE MONDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT
WARM UP BY MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 2 AM...HAVE ALLOWED THE WIND ADVISORY EAST OF LAKE ERIE TO
EXPIRE WITH WINDS DIMINISHING. UPDATED FORECAST IS ALREADY
OUT...NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO
RESULT IN NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE SNOW OFF LAKE ERIE WILL TEND TO WEAKEN
OVERNIGHT AS DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WORKS IN FROM THE WEST.
THEREFORE...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN UNDER ADVISORY
CRITERIA.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...THE FLOW SHOULD BE FAIRLY WELL ALIENED FROM THE
WSW ACROSS THE LAKE. THIS WOULD PROBABLY STILL NOT BE ENOUGH FOR
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS...EXCEPT THAT TERRAIN...ESPECIALLY THE TUG
HILL...WILL FURTHER ENHANCE QPF. STILL EXPECT LAKE EFFECT BANDS TO
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED EAST OF THE LAKE...SOMEWHERE NEAR OR JUST
NORTH OF THE JEFFERSON/OSWEGO COUNTY LINE. INITIALLY...EXPECT THE
INCREASING WINDS TO PREVENT AN ORGANIZED CONVERGENCE BAND ON THE
LAKE...WITH UPSLOPING THE BEST LIFTING MECHANISM...FOCUSING
STEADIEST SNOWS ON THE TUG HILL. THE RGEM KEYS ON THIS...AS IT
TYPICALLY WILL FORECAST LAKE BANDS WELL...BUT INSTEAD IT KEYS ON THE
UPSLOPING ON THE TUG HILL...AND ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN IN INTERIOR
LEWIS COUNTY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH A BIT LATER IN THE
NIGHT...POTENTIALLY ALLOWING SOME ORGANIZATION OF A TIGHTER BUT MORE
INTENSE BAND...BEFORE MOISTURE DIMINISHES ON THE BACK OF THE EXITING
UPPER TROF. WILL KEEP THE ADVISORY AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN PLACE.
CONFIDENCE IS NOT TERRIBLY HIGH...WITH STRONG WINDS POTENTIALLY A
LIMITING FACTOR...BUT GIVEN GOOD MOISTURE EARLY IN THE EVENT...AND
THE UPSLOPE COMPONENT...4 TO 7 INCHES STILL LOOKS REASONABLE IN
PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY AREA.

FOR SUNDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD TO THE
SOUTH...AS ANOTHER CLIPPER LOW DEVELOPS TO THE WEST. THE MORNING
HOURS WOULD BE UNEVENTFUL...EXCEPT FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR A LAKE
EFFECT BAND TO LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER DURING THE
MORNING HOURS. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WSW TO SSW...SUPPORTING THE
LIFTING OF WHATEVER LAKE SNOWS REMAIN. INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE WILL
BE QUITE LIMITED BY THEN...BUT STILL MAY SEE A PERIOD OF LAKE SNOWS
DURING THE SUNDAY MORNING HOURS...WITH MINIMAL ACCUMULATION. A
SIMILAR STORY WILL PLAY OUT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...WITH THE BAND
THERE ALSO LIKELY TO LIFT NORTH TOWARD WATERTOWN TOWARD DAYBREAK.

AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION LATE SUNDAY...EXPECT A
FAIRLY WIDESPREAD BUT GENERALLY LIGHT SNOWFALL FOR MOST OF THE
REGION. WHILE THE LAKES WILL PLAY SOME ROLE ENHANCING MOISTURE...THE
MAIN SOURCE OF LIFT WILL BE THE UPPER LEVEL TROF WITH THE LOW. THIS
SHOULD START IN MOST LOCATIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. USING A
BLEND OF THE RGEM/NAM12 QPF...EXPECT AN INCH OR SO ACROSS INTERIOR
SECTIONS...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES EAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING SURFACE LOW...COLDER AIR ARRIVES WITH
850 MB TEMPS FALLING FROM -8C TO -11C AT THE START OF THE NIGHT TO
ABOUT -14C/-15C BY MIDNIGHT. THIS WILL TRIGGER THE REDEVELOPMENT OF
SOME ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO THE EAST AND EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF BOTH LAKES...WITH THE ACTIVITY PEAKING BETWEEN THE EARLY TO MID
EVENING AND EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS...THEN WEAKENING THEREAFTER AS
STRONG LOW LEVEL RIDGING AND INCREASING AMOUNTS OF DRIER
AIR/SUBSIDENCE BUILD EAST FROM THE CENTRAL LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY.
THE SHORT-LIVED NATURE OF THE MOST FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WOULD TEND
TO RESULT IN BORDERLINE ADVISORY CRITERIA ACCUMULATIONS EAST AND
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH THE BEST CHANCES
FOR THIS TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE LONGER FETCH
AND MODEL-IMPLIED UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO GEORGIAN BAY WILL BE MORE
FAVORABLE.

DURING MONDAY...THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT EAST TO EASTERN
NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND...WHILE THE NEXT WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE PUSHES EAST INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. IN BETWEEN THESE
TWO FEATURES...A WARM ADVECTION PATTERN WILL SET UP ACROSS THE
AREA...WEAKENING AND SUPPRESSING ANY REMAINING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS.

LATE MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT WILL FEATURE SWATH OF LIGHT WARM ADVECTIVE
SNOW SHOWERS LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA...AS THE RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES EASTWARD OF THE REGION AND THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES LOW PUSHES ITS WARM FRONT NORTHEAST INTO NEW YORK STATE. WILL
BROADBRUSH MID-RANGE CHANCE POPS DURING THIS PERIOD...WHEN SOME
LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AREAWIDE.

TEMPS WILL BE MUCH CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE TEENS TO LOWER 20S AND HIGHS IN THE
20S TO NEAR 30 DEGREES. EXPECT WARMER TEMPS AGAIN ON TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY AND THE LOWER
TO MID 40S ELSEWHERE. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL KEEP TUESDAY NIGHT LOWS
QUITE MILD FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH MID 20S TO LOW 30S EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO AND THE LOWER TO MID 30S FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST
AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THIS PERIOD WILL FEATURE A RETURN TO A MORE PROGRESSIVE ZONAL
FLOW...WITH A SERIES OF LOW AMPLITUDE WAVES MOVING ALONG THE
CANADIAN BORDER AND KEEPING A GENERAL CHANCE OF PRECIP IN PLACE
RIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WITH MILDER PACIFIC AIR DOMINATING OUR
REGION UNDER THIS PATTERN...TEMPS WILL ONCE AGAIN REBOUND TO ABOVE
NORMAL LEVELS...AND WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF A RAIN/SNOW MIX AT
NIGHT...WITH RAIN THE MORE DOMINANT PRECIP TYPE DURING THE DAYTIME
PERIODS. AT THIS POINT...THE WARMEST TIME FRAME APPEARS TO BE
WEDNESDAY...WHEN TEMPS SHOULD AT LEAST SURGE WELL INTO THE 40S IN
THE WARM SECTOR OF THE SECOND AND STRONGEST WAVE IN THE SERIES OF
SURFACE LOWS.

LATE IN THE PERIOD...THE GFS/ECMWF BOTH SUGGEST A RETURN OF
LARGER-SCALE TROUGHING ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY AS
ANOTHER LARGE BUT ALSO PROGRESSIVE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN A RETURN TO SEASONABLY
COLDER TEMPS FOR WEEK'S END. EXPECT A COLDER BUT DRY NORTHERLY FLOW
ON SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WINDS WILL BE THE BIGGEST AVIATION CONCERN THROUGH THE EARLY
OVERNIGHT. WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS WILL GUST TO 40
TO 45 KNOTS... ESPECIALLY DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES THROUGH 06Z.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL BE
MAINLY VFR... BUT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS COULD BRING MVFR OR
BRIEFLY IFR CONDITIONS TO KJHW THROUGH 12Z.

SUNDAY SHOULD START OFF VFR/MVFR...HOWEVER A LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND
MAY CROSS ART AT SOME POINT DURING THE MORNING HOURS. EXPECT
CIGS/VSBYS TO DROP TO MVFR OR EVEN IFR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A
SHORTWAVE RACES THROUGH THE AREA. CONFIGURATION OF THIS SYSTEM WILL
FOCUS AN AREA OF WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE REGION.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW SHOWERS EARLY...IMPROVING
OVERNIGHT.
MONDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH AREAS OF SNOW.
TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING BY JUST NORTH OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO THIS EVENING...WITH A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT CROSSING THE
LAKES LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE
THROUGH THIS EVENING...AS A 50 TO 55 KT FLOW ALOFT PARTIALLY MIXES
DOWN IN THE SW FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT. EXPECT WINDS TO 40 KTS ACROSS
MUCH OF THE WATERS THIS EVENING...WITHOUT HIS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING
LATER TONIGHT.

WHILE WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALES LATE TONIGHT...MODERATE TO
STRONG WESTERLIES WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WITH SOLID
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
LOWER LAKES MONDAY WITH DIMINISHING WINDS.

OTHERWISE...A SERIES OF WEAK SYSTEMS WILL PASS THROUGH LATE NEXT
WILL...WITH WINDS GENERALLY ON THE LIGHT SIDE OUTSIDE OF A FEW
PERIODS WHERE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     NYZ007-008.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR NYZ006>008.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR LEZ020-040-
         041.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
         LOZ030.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR LOZ042>045-
         062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...APFFEL
NEAR TERM...APFFEL/JJR/TJP
SHORT TERM...WCH
LONG TERM...JJR/WCH
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...APFFEL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 29, 2:00 AM EST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
200 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

NYZ007-008-300700-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
200 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-300700-
OSWEGO-
200 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-300700-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
200 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-300700-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
200 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-300700-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
200 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ030-300700-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
200 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-300700-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
200 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 28, 9:57 PM EST, 5 hours 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
 957 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

 ..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
 ..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
             ..REMARKS..

 0320 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST BARCELONA               42.34N  79.60W
 01/28/2012  M58 MPH          CHAUTAUQUA         NY   C-MAN STATION

 0341 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST DUNKIRK                 42.49N  79.35W
 01/28/2012  M65 MPH          CHAUTAUQUA         NY   C-MAN STATION

 0555 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO                 42.89N  78.86W
 01/28/2012                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

             TREE UPROOTED IN THE CITY OF BUFFALO

 0730 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO                 42.89N  78.86W
 01/28/2012                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

             TREE UPROOTED IN THE CITY OF BUFFALO

 0915 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO                 42.89N  78.86W
 01/28/2012                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

             LARGE BRANCH FELL ON A CAR NEAR CHICAGO AND SENECA

 &&

 EVENT NUMBER BUF1200054 BUF1200053 BUF1200055 BUF1200057 BUF1200058

 $$

 DK
Special weather statement, Jan 28, 10:15 PM EST, 5 hours 31 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1015 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

NYZ012-013-019>021-085-290430-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...GENESEO...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1015 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION
OVERNIGHT...

BANDS OF MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT
THE REGION INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE SNOW COULD FALL AT
A RATE OF UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS CLOSE TO 50 MPH AT TIMES WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE
BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

DRIVERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. ROADS
WILL LIKELY BE SNOW COVERED...SLICK AND VERY HAZARDOUS. BE ALERT
FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT.

NYZ006>008-290430-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1015 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION
OVERNIGHT...

BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
REGION INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE SNOW COULD FALL AT A
RATE OF UP TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AT TIMES WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING
SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

THE HEAVIEST SNOWS SHOULD FOCUS FROM ADAMS TO LOWVILLE.

DRIVERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. ROADS
WILL LIKELY BE SNOW COVERED...SLICK AND VERY HAZARDOUS. BE ALERT
FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT.

TMA
Special weather statement, Jan 28, 11:48 PM EST, 3 hours 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1148 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

NYZ012-013-019>021-085-290700-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...GENESEO...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1148 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...

A BROAD AREA OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH
OF THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND SKI COUNTRY EAST ACROSS PORTIONS
OF WYOMING AND LIVINGSTON COUNTIES. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BRIEFLY
REACH 1 INCH PER HOUR IN SOME LOCATIONS...WITH MOST OF THE
PERSISTENT SNOW FALLING INLAND FROM LAKE ERIE. THE COMBINATION OF
BRIEF HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE PLENTY OF
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IN OPEN AREAS WITH VISIBILITY BELOW A
QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPID CHANGES
IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

NYZ006>008-290700-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1148 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...

A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...LEWIS...AND NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTIES. THE
BAND IS NOT VERY WELL ORGANIZED...BUT INDIVIDUAL SNOW SHOWERS WILL
BE BRIEFLY HEAVY WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF AROUND AN INCH PER HOUR.
THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW WILL BE FOUND FROM NEAR ADAMS EAST ALONG
THE ROUTE 177 CORRIDOR TO NEAR LOWVILLE AND CROGHAN. THE COMBINATION
OF BRIEF HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE PLENTY OF
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IN OPEN AREAS WITH VISIBILITY BELOW A
QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPID CHANGES
IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

HITCHCOCK
Special weather statement, Jan 29, 2:02 AM EST, 1 hour 44 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
202 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

NYZ012-019-020-085-290915-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
202 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW CONTINUE...

A BROAD AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEE HOURS OF THE MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER AND SKI COUNTRY...EXTENDING EAST INTO WYOMING
COUNTY. ADDITIONAL SNOW AMOUNTS OF AROUND AN INCH ARE EXPECTED IN
PERSISTENT BANDS THROUGH 4 AM.

THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IN OPEN AREAS WITH VISIBILITY REDUCED TO
LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

NYZ006>008-290915-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
202 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW CONTINUE...

A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH THE WEE HOURS OF THE MORNING. THE MOST
PERSISTENT SNOW WILL FALL FROM PULASKI TO REDFIELD AND MUCH OF
SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTY THROUGH ABOUT 3 AM...THEN LIFT A LITTLE
NORTH INTO SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY BY 4 AM.
SNOWFALL RATES OF AROUND AN INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE MORE
INTENSE PORTIONS OF THIS BAND.

THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IN OPEN AREAS WITH VISIBILITY REDUCED TO
LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

HITCHCOCK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 28, 10:06 PM ESTWind AdvisoryBUFChautauqua, Erie4 hr
Jan 29, 11:40 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFCattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson and 7 more16 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.