Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Weather Advisories in 2012
Winter Weather Advisory 2, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter weather advisory at Jan 12, 2012, 3:54 AM EST for 11 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Jan 12, 2012, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 30 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 12, 2012, 3:54 AM EST (08:54 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 12, 2012, 10:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 13, 2012, 3:58 PM EST
- In force
- 30 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Alpena County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 162 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1769 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 63 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
197 WWUS43 KAPX 120854 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 354 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY... .MUCH COLDER AIR DROPPING OUT OF CANADA WILL HELP SPAWN LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION THIS AFTERNOON. AS THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPS...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD NORTHERN MICHIGAN. SNOW WILL THEN CONTINUE TONIGHT BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW ON FRIDAY. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF FRIDAY NIGHT. MIZ020-021-025-026-031-032-121700- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0001.120112T1200Z-120114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0002.120112T1500Z-120114T0000Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...FRANKFORT... TRAVERSE CITY...MANISTEE...CADILLAC 354 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY INITIALLY BE MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE MORNING. SNOW WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER TOWARDS EVENING. SNOW...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE BECOMING MORE LAKE EFFECT IN NATURE WITH LOCALIZED HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY EVENING. * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY...AND WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE LAKESHORE. IMPACTS... * SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ016-017-019-022-027-028-033-121700- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0001.120112T1200Z-120114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.120112T1500Z-120114T0000Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...LAKE CITY 354 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY INITIALLY BE MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE MORNING. SNOW WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER TOWARDS EVENING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE BECOMING MORE LAKE EFFECT IN NATURE WITH LOCALIZED HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY EVENING. * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND MAY PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW... SLEET...OR ICE IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ008-015-121700- /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.120112T1500Z-120114T0000Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 354 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY INITIALLY BE MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE MORNING. SNOW WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER TOWARDS EVENING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE BECOMING MORE LAKE EFFECT IN NATURE WITH LOCALIZED HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY EVENING. * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND MAY PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW... SLEET...OR ICE IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$
6 follow-up statements
270 WWUS43 KAPX 121600 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1100 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY... .LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP WHILE LIFTING INTO THE THUMB OF LOWER MICHIGAN. A LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW MIX WILL GRADUALLY CHANGEOVER TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL PICK UP IN INTENSITY HEADING THROUGH THE NIGHT BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. MIZ020-021-025-026-031-032-130000- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...FRANKFORT... TRAVERSE CITY...MANISTEE...CADILLAC 1100 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * A LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW DEVELOPING WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW AND BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER LATE TODAY AND INTO THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND BECOME HEAVIER AT TIMES INTO FRIDAY MORNING...BEFORE BECOMING MORE LAKE EFFECT IN NATURE WITH ADDITIONAL LOCALIZED HEAVY SNOW DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES BY FRIDAY EVENING. HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED SOUTH AND WEST OF GRAND TRAVERSE BAY. * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY...RESULTING IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE LAKESHORE. IMPACTS... * DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL DEVELOP OR IS OCCURRING. BRISK WINDS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ016-017-019-022-027-028-033-130000- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...LAKE CITY 1100 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * A LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW DEVELOPING WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW AND BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER LATE TODAY AND INTO THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND BECOME HEAVIER AT TIMES INTO FRIDAY MORNING...BEFORE BECOMING MORE LAKE EFFECT IN NATURE WITH LOCALIZED HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES BY FRIDAY EVENING. HIGHEST AMOUNTS * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY...RESULTING IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE WILL DEVELOP OR IS OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ008-015-130000- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 1100 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * A LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW AND BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER LATE TODAY AND INTO THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND BECOME HEAVIER AT TIMES CLOSER TO DRUMMOND ISLAND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF SIGNIFICANTLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH ONLY SOME LINGERING LIGHT LAKE EFFECT WEST OF M-123. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES BY FRIDAY EVENING. HIGHEST AMOUNTS CLOSER TO DRUMMOND ISLAND. * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND WILL RESULT IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * SNOW...AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE WILL DEVELOP OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ SMD
374 WWUS43 KAPX 122132 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 432 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL THROUGH FRIDAY... .LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND ORGANIZE AS IT LIFTS THROUGH THE THUMB OF LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING...BEFORE LIFTING THROUGH LAKE HURON OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE A FEW LOCATIONS THAT SEE A TOUCH OF LIGHT RAIN MIXING WITH THE SNOW INTO THE EVENING...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE ALL SNOW. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT...WHILE TRANSITIONING TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW FRIDAY. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WILL FALL BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF LATER FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. MIZ020-021-025-026-031-032-130545- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...FRANKFORT... TRAVERSE CITY...MANISTEE...CADILLAC 432 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVIER AT TIMES TONIGHT...WHILE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW DEVELOP MAINLY NEAR THE LAKESHORE. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PERSIST AND ACCUMULATE THROUGH TOMORROW...BUT TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES BY FRIDAY EVENING. HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED SOUTH AND WEST OF GRAND TRAVERSE BAY. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL DEVELOP OR IS OCCURRING. BRISK WINDS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ018-023-024-029-034-130545- /O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO... HOUGHTON LAKE 432 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL AND BECOME HEAVIER AT TIMES TONIGHT WHILE AREAS OF BLOWING SOW DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...MAINLY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. IMPACTS... * DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES THROUGH MAINLY FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE WILL DEVELOP OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ016-017-019-022-027-028-033-130545- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...LAKE CITY 432 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVIER AT TIMES INTO THIS EVENING...WHILE AREAS OF BLOWING DEVELOP LATE. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY..BEFORE BECOMING MORE LAKE EFFECT IN NATURE. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES BY FRIDAY EVENING. HIGHEST AMOUNTS IMPACTS... * DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE WILL DEVELOP OR IS OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ008-015-130545- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 432 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL ALSO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND PERSIST INTO TOMORROW MORNING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT CLOSER TO DRUMMOND ISLAND. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF SIGNIFICANTLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH ONLY SOME LINGERING LIGHT LAKE EFFECT WEST OF M-123. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES BY FRIDAY EVENING. HIGHEST AMOUNTS CLOSER TO DRUMMOND ISLAND. IMPACTS... * SNOW...AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE WILL DEVELOP OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ SMD
559 WWUS43 KAPX 130309 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1009 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL THROUGH FRIDAY... .LOW PRESSURE NEAR GEORGIAN BAY LATE THURSDAY EVENING WILL SLOWLY LIFT OUT OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT...WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW PERSISTING INTO THE DAY ON FRIDAY. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT...WHILE TRANSITIONING TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW FRIDAY. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WILL FALL BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF LATER FRIDAY. MIZ020-021-025-026-031-032-131200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...FRANKFORT... TRAVERSE CITY...MANISTEE...CADILLAC 1009 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALSO DEVELOPING. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PERSIST AND ACCUMULATE THROUGH TOMORROW...BUT TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH AND WEST OF GRAND TRAVERSE BAY. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. BRISK WINDS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ016>019-022>024-027>029-033-034-131200- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA- KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...KALKASKA...GRAYLING... MIO...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 1009 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW DEVELOPING LATE. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY..TRANSITIONING TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS BY MIDDAY. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY EVENING. IMPACTS... * DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ008-015-131200- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 1009 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL ALSO DEVELOP THROUGH THE NIGHT AND PERSIST INTO TOMORROW MORNING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT CLOSER TO DRUMMOND ISLAND. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF SIGNIFICANTLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH ONLY SOME LINGERING LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WEST OF M-123. * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY EVENING...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS CLOSER TO DRUMMOND ISLAND. IMPACTS... * SNOW...AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ LAWRENCE
774 WWUS43 KAPX 131002 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 502 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 ...SNOWFALL WINDS DOWN TODAY... .WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING WILL TAPER OFF BY EARLY AFTERNOON...THOUGH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND WEST OF THE US-131 CORRIDOR IN NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE AFTERNOON. SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH WIND GUSTS FROM THE NORTH OF 20 TO 30 MPH. MIZ020-021-025-026-031-032-131815- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...FRANKFORT... TRAVERSE CITY...MANISTEE...CADILLAC 502 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. SNOW DRIFTS MAY BE ESPECIALLY PROBLEMATIC ON EAST-WEST ROADWAYS. * UP TO 3 INCHES ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. BRISK WINDS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ016>019-022>024-028-029-034-131700- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120113T1700Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA- CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...GRAYLING...MIO... HOUGHTON LAKE 502 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL BEGIN TO WIND DOWN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 7 AM AND 1 PM. * SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ008-015-131700- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120113T1700Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 502 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY NOON TIME...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED THIS MORNING. * EXPECT SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * SNOW...AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ027-033-131815- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ KALKASKA-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...LAKE CITY 502 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL THIS MORNING...TRANSITIONING TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. * ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE BY THIS EVENING. IMPACTS... * DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$
530 WWUS43 KAPX 131619 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1119 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 ...SNOWFALL WINDS DOWN TODAY... .WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING WILL TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND WEST OF THE US- 131 CORRIDOR IN NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE AFTERNOON. SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH WIND GUSTS FROM THE NORTH OF 20 TO 30 MPH. MIZ008-015>017-019-022-023-028-029-034-131730- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120113T1700Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY- CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE... PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...GAYLORD...ATLANTA... GRAYLING...MIO...HOUGHTON LAKE 1119 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. $$ MIZ020-021-025-026-031-032-140000- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...FRANKFORT... TRAVERSE CITY...MANISTEE...CADILLAC 1119 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING...WHILE THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AROUND SUNDOWN. SNOW DRIFTS MAY BE ESPECIALLY PROBLEMATIC ON EAST-WEST ROADWAYS. * UP TO 3 INCHES ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. BRISK WINDS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AT TIMES. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ018-024-140000- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA 1119 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO GET ENHANCED OFF LAKE HURON INTO THIS AFTERNOON. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL BY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY SUNDOWN. * AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. DRIFTS MAY BE PROBLEMATIC ON EAST-WEST ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ027-033-140000- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ KALKASKA-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...LAKE CITY 1119 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. * ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE BY THIS EVENING. IMPACTS... * DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ SMD
136 WWUS43 KAPX 132058 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 358 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 MIZ020-021-025-026-031-032-132200- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...FRANKFORT... TRAVERSE CITY...MANISTEE...CADILLAC 358 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA INTO THIS EVENING...BUT GRADUALLY TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. WINDS WILL ALSO SUBSIDE INTO THE EVENING. THUS...THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ MIZ018-024-027-033-132200- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA-KALKASKA-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA...KALKASKA... LAKE CITY 358 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. ONLY SOME LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED INTO THE EVENING WHILE WINDS CONTINUE TO DROP OFF...ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING. THUS...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ SMD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Jan 11, 11:41 PM EST, 4 hours 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 11:41 PM EST, 4 hours 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1141 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012
.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 331 PM/
LOW PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH WILL DEEPEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COMING OUT OF THE PLAINS. THIS STRENGTHENING
STORM SYSTEM WILL SPREAD SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN STARTING
THURSDAY...AND CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
AJS
&&
.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 926 PM/...TONIGHT
WHILE THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL CERTAINLY BRING A CONTINUATION OF
RATHER TRANQUIL WX...THEY DO COME WITH A FEW ISSUES...NAMELY CLOUD
COVER AND TEMPS ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR PRECIP OVER THE FAR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES BY MORNING. EARLY EVENING ANALYSIS PLACES A
SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE LIFTING INTO THE MID ATLANTIC/OHIO VALLEY
STATES...WITH ASSOCIATED 996MB SFC LOW LOCATED JUST NORTHEAST OF
LOUISVILLE. ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDS FROM THIS FEATURE UP
THE SPINE OF LAKE MICHIGAN...TIED TO REMNANTS OF EARLIER WARM FRONT
DRAPED ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR. MEANWHILE...MUCH MORE IMPRESSIVE UPPER
TROUGH IS NOTED DROPPING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS OF 02Z ON THE
HEELS OF 85+ KNOT JET CROSSING THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES.
SATELLITE OBS SHOW QUITE THE THICK HIGH CLOUD SHIELD IMPINGING UPON
MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER...DRIVEN BY ELONGATING DEFORMATION AXIS
BETWEEN THE TWO UPPER FEATURES...WITH A LOWER STRATUS DECK GRADUALLY
FILLING BACK WESTWARD OVER EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. RADAR ANALYSIS
ALSO SHOWS A RATHER BROAD SWATH OF MAINLY LIGHT RAIN ARCING
NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER...ALSO DRIVEN BY DEFORMATION
DYNAMICS AND LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ASCENT ONGOING DOWN THAT WAY.
FIRST THINGS FIRST...SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE A THICKER CIRRUS SHIELD
COVER MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE SOUTHERN
STREAM WAVE LIFTS INTO THE EASTERN LAKES. ALL THE WHILE...STREAMLINE
ANALYSIS OF SUB-925MB FLOW THROUGH THE NIGHT CONTINUES TO SUGGEST
TAPPING OF LOWER STRATUS DECK/MOISTURE FIELD ACROSS OHIO WILL
OCCUR...WITH A LOW STRATUS DECK LIKELY SPILLING INTO NORTHEAST LOWER
BEFORE 12Z. IN BETWEEN ITS ARRIVAL...SOME AREAS OF FOG ARE INDEED
POSSIBLE PER GOING FCST WITHIN SLACK FLOW REGIME AND WITHIN RATHER
MOIST AIRMASS. IN FACT...HAVE ALREADY SEEN A FEW OBS TANKING DOWN
TOWARD 1/2 MILE AT TIMES...SO THIS LOOKS LIKE A GOOD CALL. BIGGER
QUESTION IS WILL PRECIP REACH THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES AS
AFOREMENTIONED SOUTHERN STREAM LOW CONTINUES ITS NORTHWARD JAUNT.
ANSWER IS PROBABLY YES...AND PER BOTH GUIDANCE AND RADAR
TRENDS...HAVE UPPED POPS SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER 09Z TOWARD SAGINAW BAY.
PRECIP TYPE LOOKING LIKE JUST PLAIN RAIN GIVEN WARM BOUNDARY LAYER
TO START AND LITTLE ROOM FOR TEMPS TO DIP BENEATH THICKENING CLOUD
SHIELD AND PERSISTENT LIGHT WIND. FCST RAOBS SHOW MELTING LAYERS UP
AROUND 2KFT...AND THIS IS INDEED POSSIBLE GIVEN 00Z APX RAOB SHOWING
A FREEZING LEVEL AT A WHOPPING 6.5KFT! ALONG THIS SAME LINE...GOING
WARM OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 30 TO 35 DEGREE RANGE LOOK GREAT.
LAWRENCE
&&
.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 331 PM/...THURSDAY AND BEYOND
CHALLENGING FORECAST CONTINUES FOR OUR NEXT UPCOMING WEATHER
MAKER FOR THE THURSDAY-FRIDAY TIMEFRAME. PRIMARY CHALLENGE IS THAT
THE UPCOMING SETUP IS CERTAINLY NOT ONE WOULD CALL
TEXTBOOK...RATHER IT IS A VERY UNIQUE PATTERN THAT WILL LIKELY
THROW US A FEW SURPRISES AS IT UNFOLDS.
MODEL TRENDS: GFS/NAM HAVE BEEN STEPPING CLOSER AND CLOSER TO A
PRETTY STEADFAST ECMWF OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS...WITH THE PRIMARY
CHANGES BEING TO HAVE A SLIGHTLY WEAKER UPSTREAM TROUGH THAT IS
SLIGHTLY SLOWER. THIS RESULTS IN A SLOWER EVOLUTION TO THE SURFACE
LOW...SLOWER ARRIVAL OF COLD AIR ON THURSDAY...AND A LOW TRACK THAT
REMAINS JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR CWA /RATHER THAN PUSHING OVER IT
AS HAD BEEN SUGGESTED YESTERDAY BY THE NAM/ AS THE UPPER FEATURE
DOESN/T QUITE HAVE THE STRENGTH TO PULL THE DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW
ALL THAT FAR NORTH AND WEST. THIS RESULTS IN A CONSENSUS POSITION
OF THE H7 LOW THURSDAY EVENING AROUND OR JUST NORTH OF SAGINAW
BAY...WITH NORTHWEST LOWER IN THE BEST POSITION /IN A DYNAMICAL
PERSPECTIVE/ FOR SIGNIFICANT SYNOPTIC SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT.
WITH THE TREND FOR A SLOWER OVERALL EVOLUTION TO THE SYSTEM...WE/LL
START THE DAY THURSDAY SOMEWHAT IN A FORCING NO MAN/S LAND...WITH
PRETTY MILD TEMPERATURES. A DOUBLE-BARRELED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL BE LOCATED FROM WESTERN LAKE ERIE DOWN TO THE JERSEY COAST. AS
THE DAY WEARS ON...STRONG QG FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A
NEGATIVELY-TILTED TROUGH ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL FORCE THE
NORTHWESTERN SURFACE LOW TO BECOME DOMINANT WITH TIME /I.E...A
PRETTY ATYPICAL SCENARIO!/. THIS FORCING FOR ASCENT IS PRETTY
IMPRESSIVE AND DEEP...AND AS IT OVERSPREADS THE TROWAL
AIRSTREAM...EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO BLOSSOM PRETTY MUCH OVERHEAD BY
AFTERNOON. WHILE BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES MAY INITIALLY BE A
LITTLE MARGINAL FOR ALL SNOW /MID TO UPPER 30S AT THE SURFACE/
EXPECT ALL LOCATIONS TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW PRETTY MUCH IMMEDIATELY
AS THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATING DEVELOPS... SAVE THE FAR SOUTHEAST
/GLADWIN...STANDISH...EAST TAWAS/ WHERE A RA/SN MIX /DUE TO THE
SURFACE-BASED WARM LAYER/ WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO EARLY EVENING
BEFORE CONTINUED COLUMN COOLING /GIVEN LOW PRESSURE LOCATION TO OUR
SOUTHEAST/ CHANGES EVERYONE OVER TOWARDS EVENING. LOOK FOR 1-2
INCHES OF SNOWFALL FOR MOST LOCATIONS...LESS OVER EASTERN UPPER /DRY
NORTHEASTERLY LLEVEL FLOW/ AND LESS OVER THE FAR SOUTHEAST /WITH THE
LATER CHANGEOVER/.
THURSDAY NIGHT...ROADS WILL LIKELY GET SLOPPY QUICK THURSDAY NIGHT
AS SNOWFALL CONTINUES WITH GRADUALLY COOLING TEMPERATURES.
DEFORMATION/FGEN BAND SITS OVERHEAD THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH STRONG
QVECTOR CONVERGENCE /AS H5 LOW CLOSES OFF TO OUR SOUTH/ AND LEFT
EXIT DYNAMICS OF A 120KT JET STREAK /OVER THE OHIO VALLEY/ ASSISTING
LIFT. PRIMARY QUESTION OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS IS THE AMOUNT OF
MOISTURE THAT WILL BE AVAILABLE...AND CURRENT THINKING IS THAT IT
WON/T BE TERRIFIC AS PWATS/DEEP MOISTURE WILL ACTUALLY BE DECREASING
AS THE NIGHT GOES ON AS THE EASTERN LOW PEELS OFF INTO NEW ENGLAND.
BANDING POTENTIAL IN THE TROWAL ENVIRONMENT DOES NOT LOOK THAT
IMPRESSIVE WITH EPV REMAINING WELL ABOVE ZERO. SNOW MICROPHYSICS
LOOK PRETTY GOOD...WITH A GOOD DEAL OF LIFT IN THE DGZ /ALTHOUGH THE
DGZ WILL BE QUITE ELEVATED/. SO...OVERALL...EXPECT A STEADY
SNOW...WITH A FEW BOUTS OF HEAVY SNOW NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION GIVEN
THE DYNAMICS. OVERNIGHT SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2-4 INCHES LOOK
REASONABLE FOR MOST AREAS...MAXIMIZED ON AN ARC FROM ROGERS CITY TO
GAYLORD TO MANISTEE...WITH TOTALS A LITTLE LESS THAN THIS OVER THE
FAR SOUTHEAST WHICH MAY BE VERY NEAR AN APPROACHING DRYSLOT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NIGHT.
FRIDAY...H5 CLOSED LOW AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FEATURE WILL LIFT
NORTH AND EAST WITH DYNAMICAL FORCING FOR ASCENT FALLING APART
PRETTY QUICKLY DURING THE MORNING. SO...EVENT WILL TRANSITION FROM
A SYNOPTICALLY-DRIVEN ONE...TO LAKE ENHANCED...AS T85 COOL TO THE
MINUS TEENS WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW OCCURRING /HELPED BY
LAKE AGGREGATE EFFECTS/ AND PLENTY OF REMNANT SYNOPTIC MOISTURE.
BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW LOOKS TO BE NORTHERLY /OR PERHAPS NORTH
NORTHWEST....WHICH IS NOT GOING TO FAVOR MUCH OVER EASTERN
UPPER...WITH AREAS WEST OF US 131 LIKELY SEEING THE MOST LAKE
ASSISTANCE. THE DIRECTION WILL BACK SLIGHTLY BY AFTERNOON...WHICH
POSSIBLY WILL BRING ACTIVITY AS FAR EAST AS I-75...BUT EXPECT
AMOUNTS WILL BE MAXIMIZED FURTHER WEST.
FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTH-NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES...BUT SYNOPTIC
MOISTURE QUICKLY WANES IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH DELTA T/S STILL
PUSHING 20C. WITH THIS SETUP...ACCUMULATIONS LOOK LIGHT /AS THE
ENVIRONMENT BECOMES MORE HOSTILE/...AND THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH
LOCAL SOUNDING ANALOG TOOL WHICH SUGGESTS THAT 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
ADDITIONAL SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEST OF US-131...WITH AN INCH OR TWO
OVER WESTERN CHIP POSSIBLE AS WELL. WITH THE MUCH CHILLIER AIRMASS
IN PLACE...LOWS WILL MAKE A RUN AT THE SINGLE DIGITS OUTSIDE OF THE
THICKER LAKE INDUCED CLOUD COVER...WITH TEENS LIKELY WHERE SNOW IS
ACCUMULATING.
AS FOR HEADLINES...STORM TOTAL SNOW FOR 12Z THURSDAY THROUGH 12Z
SATURDAY LOOKS TO FALL SOMEWHERE IN THE 5-10 INCH RANGE OVER THE
CURRENT WATCH AREA...WITH MY BEST GUESS FOR A MAXIMUM SOMEWHERE IN
THE KTVC-KALKASKA-MANTON AREA. THIS IS A 48 HOUR PERIOD OF
ACCUMULATION...AND MANY LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA WILL LIKELY NOT
EXCEED WARNING LEVEL AMOUNTS /6 INCHES IN 12 HOUR OR 8 IN 24 HOUR/
BY MUCH...IF AT ALL. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE LAKE COMPONENT
/WHICH WILL LIKELY PUSH SOME LOCATIONS OVER THE THRESHOLD FOR A
WARNING/ WILL HOLD ONTO THE WATCH WITH THIS PACKAGE. THIS WAS
COLLABORATED WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES AND WILL GIVE TONIGHT/S SHIFT
ONE MORE GOOD LOOK AT THINGS.
SATURDAY...THE NORTH-NORTHWEST FLOW LINGERS...BUT WEAKENS
SIGNIFICANTLY AND WITH A DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE...SHOULDN/T SEE MUCH
MORE THAN A FEW SNOW SHOWERS FOR NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN COAST...AND
WESTERN CHIP/MACK. T92 IN THE MID MINUS TEENS SUGGEST MOST
LOCATIONS WILL NOT REACH 20F FOR HIGHS...WITH CONSENSUS GUIDANCE IN
THE MIDDLE TO UPPER TEENS /A LITTLE WARMER NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN
COAST/
ARNOTT
EXTENDED FORECAST (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY
RESULTING IN A PROGRESSIVELY MILDER AND STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY
FLOW. STRONG WARM ADVECTION IN COMBINATION WITH AN ALBERTA CLIPPER
WILL LEAD TO A GOOD CHANCE FOR MAINLY LIGHT SNOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR WILL THEN RESULT IN A
CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS IN NORTHWEST FLOW FAVORED LOCALS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THE FLOW FLATTENS OUT ON WEDNESDAY
SO ANY LES INDUCED SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD WEAKEN AS THE FLOW LIKELY
BACKS INTO THE SOUTHWEST. MILDER WITH HIGHS OF WELL INTO THE 20S
TO THE LOWER 30S SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY (FALLING TEMPERATURES
TUESDAY AFTERNOON?). COLDER WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE
UPPER TEENS TO THE MIDDLE 20S. LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE
ZERO FOR THE MOST PART SATURDAY NIGHT...TEENS SUNDAY NIGHT...20S
MONDAY NIGHT THEN BACK DOWN INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS FOR
TUESDAY NIGHT.
SULLIVAN
&&
.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 331 PM/
NO ISSUES ON THE NEARSHORES TONIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE SLIDES THROUGH LAKE MICHIGAN. OUTSIDE OF STRATUS
EXPECTED AND AREAS OF FOG EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...THE ONLY
PRECIPITATION CHANCE IS FOR NEARSHORE WATERS NEARER TO SAGINAW
BAY. HERE SOME LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE TOWARD DAYBREAK.
SMD
&&
.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 1141 PM/...VALID FOR 06Z TAFS
DETERIORATING CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINAL SITES THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT
TO SEE AN IFR TO LOW END MVFR STRATUS DECK ADVANCE INTO MOST SITES
FROM BOTH THE WEST AND EAST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...GIVING WAY
TO DEVELOPING SNOW (PROBABLY MIXED WITH RAIN INITIALLY) THROUGH
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SHOULD SEE A PERIOD OF MODERATE
TO PERHAPS HEAVY SNOW AT MANY IF NOT ALL SITES INTO THE EVENING AS
STRONG DEFORMATION DYNAMICS CROSS THE AREA...BEFORE SNOWS BEGIN TO
LIGHTEN (STILL IFR VISBYS) TOWARD 06Z TONIGHT.
LAWRENCE
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 7 AM EST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
FOR MIZ016-017-019>022-025>028-031>033.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THURSDAY TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
LHZ345>349.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THURSDAY TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
LMZ323-341-342.
GALE WARNING FROM 5 PM THURSDAY TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
LMZ344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THURSDAY TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
LSZ321.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 11, 10:40 PM EST, 5 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1040 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012 LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042- 121200- STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT- STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY- SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG- SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT- MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA- MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO- GLADWIN-ARENAC- 1040 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR. .DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WINTER STORM WATCH FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. A PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS IS EXPECTED FROM MANISTEE TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE INFORMATION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. REPORTS MAY BE MADE ONE OF TWO WAYS: BY PHONE: 1-800-647-8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) BY FACEBOOK: FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.GAYLORD.GOV LAWRENCE/ARNOTT
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 10:26 PM EST | Gale Warning | APX | 41 hr | |
| Jan 11, 10:26 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | APX | 48 hr | |
| Jan 12, 3:54 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | APX | Antrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau, Manistee, Wexford | 36 hr |
Nearby
Winter Weather Advisories in Michigan, 2012Every winter weather advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.