Winter Storm Warning 7, NWS Juneau, AK

984 
WWAK47 PAJK 101608 CCA
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
705 AM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

AKZ017-102330-
/X.UPG.PAJK.WS.A.0002.120110T1800Z-120111T1800Z/
/X.COR.PAJK.WS.W.0007.120110T2100Z-120111T1400Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
705 AM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 AM AKST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND STRONG WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
NOON TODAY TO 5 AM AKST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SNOW...1 TO 3 INCHES TODAY WITH 6 TO 9 INCHES TONIGHT. STORM TOTAL
  ACCUMULATION OF 7 TO 12 INCHES. HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* WIND...SOUTHEAST WIND INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
  40 MPH. STRONGEST WINDS WEST OF ICY BAY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND INCREASE IN 
  INTENSITY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED 
  TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW MIXES WITH RAIN. 

* IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS. AVIATION ACTIVITIES WILL
  BE HAMPERED. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ019-102330-
/X.NEW.PAJK.WS.W.0007.120111T0300Z-120112T0100Z/
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HAINES
705 AM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
AKST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM AKST WEDNESDAY. 

* SNOW...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT WITH 5 TO 6 INCHES WEDNESDAY. STORM
  TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 8 TO 11 INCHES. HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE
  BORDER.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND INCREASE IN
  INTENSITY LATE TUESDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS. AVIATION ACTIVITIES WILL
  BE HAMPERED. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

246 
WWAK47 PAJK 102034
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1134 AM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

AKZ017-110100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0007.120110T2100Z-120111T1400Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
1134 AM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM AKST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM AKST
WEDNESDAY. 

* SNOW...1 TO 3 INCHES TODAY WITH 6 TO 9 INCHES TONIGHT. STORM 
  TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 7 TO 12 INCHES. HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* WIND...SOUTHEAST WIND INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 
  40 MPH. STRONGEST WINDS WEST OF ICY BAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY THIS
  AFTERNOON. HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
  THE SNOW MIXES WITH RAIN.

* IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS. AVIATION ACTIVITIES 
  WILL BE HAMPERED. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ019-110100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0007.120111T0300Z-120112T0100Z/
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HAINES
1134 AM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 PM AKST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 PM AKST WEDNESDAY. 

* SNOW...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT WITH 5 TO 6 INCHES WEDNESDAY. 
  STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 8 TO 11 INCHES. HIGHEST AMOUNTS 
  NEAR THE BORDER. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INCREASE 
  IN INTENSITY LATE TUESDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS. AVIATION ACTIVITIES 
  WILL BE HAMPERED. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

909 
WWAK47 PAJK 110051
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
351 PM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

AKZ019-110900-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WS.W.0007.120111T0051Z-120112T0100Z/
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HAINES
351 PM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST WEDNESDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST
WEDNESDAY. 

* SNOW...5 TO 8 INCHES TONIGHT WITH 4 TO 7 INCHES WEDNESDAY. 
  STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 9 TO 15 INCHES. HIGHEST AMOUNTS 
  NEAR THE BORDER. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY.
  SNOW INTENSITY WILL TAPER OFF WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE IN HEAVY
  AND BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ017-110900-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120111T1400Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
351 PM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM AKST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM AKST
WEDNESDAY. 

* SNOW...AN ADDITIONAL 6 TO 9 INCHES TONIGHT WITH A STORM TOTAL
  ACCUMULATION OF 10 TO 16 INCHES. HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* WIND...SOUTHEAST WIND INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 
  40 MPH. STRONGEST WINDS WEST OF ICY BAY. 

* TIMING...HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. HEAVIEST
  AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW MIXES WITH RAIN
  LATE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS IN HEAVY
  AND BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ020>022-110900-
/X.NEW.PAJK.WW.Y.0004.120111T0051Z-120111T1400Z/
GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...ELFIN COVE...
PELICAN
351 PM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM AKST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM AKST
WEDNESDAY.

* SNOW...3 TO 7 INCHES OVERNIGHT.

* WIND...SOUTHEAST GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH FOR ELFIN COVE.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND START TO MIX
  WITH RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN
  HEAVY SNOW. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

195 
WWAK47 PAJK 110747
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1047 PM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

AKZ017-110900-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120111T1400Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
1047 PM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

THE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED AND THE SNOW HAS BEGUN TO MIX WITH
RAIN. SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
STORM TOTALS REPORTED RANGED FROM 12 INCHES TO 18 INCHES. 

THIS WILL BETHE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT. 

$$

AKZ019-111500-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120112T0100Z/
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HAINES
1047 PM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST
WEDNESDAY. 

* SNOW...5 TO 8 INCHES TONIGHT WITH 4 TO 7 INCHES WEDNESDAY. 
  STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 9 TO 15 INCHES. HIGHEST AMOUNTS 
  NEAR THE BORDER. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO 
  WEDNESDAY. SNOW INTENSITY WILL TAPER OFF WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE IN 
  HEAVY AND BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO 
  MANAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM AKST WEDNESDAY OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ020>022-111400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-120111T1400Z/
GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...ELFIN COVE...
PELICAN
1047 PM AKST TUE JAN 10 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM AKST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM AKST
WEDNESDAY. 

* SNOW...3 TO 7 INCHES OVERNIGHT.

* WIND...SOUTHEAST GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH FOR ELFIN COVE.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND START TO MIX 
  WITH RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN 
  HEAVY SNOW. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM AKST WEDNESDAY OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

768 
WWAK47 PAJK 111348
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
448 AM AKST WED JAN 11 2012

AKZ020>022-111500-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-120111T1400Z/
GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...ELFIN COVE...
PELICAN
448 AM AKST WED JAN 11 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 AM AKST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 AM AKST EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

$$

AKZ019-112100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120112T0100Z/
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HAINES
448 AM AKST WED JAN 11 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW...AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
  STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 9 TO 15 INCHES. HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR
  THE BORDER.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW INTENSITY
  WILL TAPER OFF WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE IN 
  HEAVY AND BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO 
  MANAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST WEDNESDAY OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

972 
WWAK47 PAJK 112016
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1116 AM AKST WED JAN 11 2012


AKZ019-112130-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120112T0100Z/
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HAINES
1116 AM AKST WED JAN 11 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY WITH
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
439 PM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

.SHORT TERM...RATHER QUIET SHORT TERM PERIOD TODAY. THE REMAINS
OF LAST NIGHTS LOW IS CURRENTLY MOVING EAST THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE. ACCOMPANYING IT ARE NUMEROUS SHOWERS THAT ARE FORMING
IN THE COLD AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE OLD LOW FROM PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND. WITH 850 MB TEMPS DROPPING TO -14 C ABOVE YAKUTAT AND -6 C
OR LESS AS FAR SOUTH AS ANNETTE MOST OF THESE SHOWERS HAVE BEEN
IN THE FORM OF SNOW. SOME OF THESE SNOW SHOWERS HAVE BEEN HEAVY
AS VISIBILITIES AT SOME OBS SITES HAVE DROPPED TO LESS THEN
1 MILE AT TIMES AND A QUICK INCH OR TWO OF SNOW ACCUMULATED
BEFORE THE SHOWER MOVED OFF. WINDS HAVE ALSO BEEN SOMEWHAT OF A
PROBLEM WITH HIGHER WIND GUSTS NEAR SHOWERS UP TO 35 KT SHOWING
UP EVERY NOW AND THEN. WINDS HAVE ALSO BEEN SOMEWHAT BRISK OUT IN
THE GULF WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 30 KT RESULTING FROM
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE OLD LOW AND A RIDGE BUILDING UP
FROM THE SOUTH.

 FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW, WINDS AND SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH
THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE GULF MOVES EAST
OVER THE PANHANDLE WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENTS. ANY REMAINING
SHOWERS SHOULD BE SNOW WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AS 850 TEMPS
REMAIN WELL BELOW -6 C OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. THE COLDER AIR
ALOFT AND THE BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER TONIGHT WILL CAUSE
SURFACE LOW TEMPERATURES TO DIP INTO THE 20S AND POSSIBILITY INTO
THE TEENS IN SOME PLACES. LIGHT NORTH WINDS LATE TONIGHT IN THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE WILL ALSO REINFORCE THE COLDER CONDITIONS AS
IT BRINGS SOME COLDER AIR FROM CANADA INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL
NOT BE VERY COLD AIR AIR MASS IN CANADA IS NOT DEEP ENOUGH TO
MAKE IT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

 INTO TOMORROW, MOST AREAS WILL START SEEING INCREASING HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS AS OUR NEXT FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE WIND
AND HEAVIER PRECIP WILL NOT QUITE MAKE IT TO THE PANHANDLE BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT ENOUGH ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL BE PRESENT FOR
LIGHT SNOW TO START FALLING OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE. THE
EXCEPTION WILL BE YAKUTAT WHICH WILL START SEEING LIGHT SNOW TUES
MORNING AND HEAVIER SNOW TUES AFTERNOON. YAKUTAT MAY SEE 2 TO
5 INCHES BY TUES EVENING. OUT IN THE GULF, SEAS WILL BE
INCREASING AS PRE- FRONTAL SE WINDS INCREASE TO GALE FORCE OVER
MUCH OF THE GULF BY TUES AFTERNOON. SEAS COULD BE REACHING INTO
THE 22 FT MARK OVER THE CENTRAL GULF BY AFTERNOON.

 SHORT RANGE MODELS WERE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH TOMORROW.
DECIDED TO STAY WITH THE EC FOR UPDATES AS IT PROVIDED THE BEST
INITIALIZATION AND HAD THE DETAIL THAT I WAS LOOKING FOR OVER THE
PANHANDLE. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS A LITTLE ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM...HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE
NORTHEAST GULF COAST TUESDAY NIGHT BUT EVENTUALLY CHANGE TO RAIN
AS THE AIR BECOMES WELL MIXED IN THE STRONG SOUTHEAST FLOW.
ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION WILL BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT IT IS STILL
UNCERTAIN WHEN THE CHANGE TO RAIN WILL TAKE PLACE SO A WATCH WAS
CONTINUED FOR THAT AREA THROUGH WED MORNING.

THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES BY THE
LATER HALF OF THE WEEK AS THE LONGWAVE PATTERN SLOWLY TRANSITIONS
TO BRING COLDER AND DRIER CONDITIONS INTO THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA BY
THE WEEKEND. THE GFS HAS BEEN WAFFLING FOR THE LAST FEW CYCLES SO
THE ECMWF SOLUTION WAS PREFERRED WITH MODIFICATIONS. THE ECMWF
MOVES AN UPPER LEVEL LOW FROM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF AK
THU NIGHT SLOWLY DROPPING SOUTHEASTWARD TO BE SOUTH OF THE
PANHANDLE NEAR THE B.C. COAST BY SATURDAY NIGHT. WHILE THIS MAY BE
THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC TREND IT IS TYPICAL THAT A WEAK RESIDUAL
SURFACE LOW REMAINS IN THE NORTHEAST GULF SUPPORTED BY COLD AIR
FROM INTERIOR AK. THIS WILL TEND TO LEAVE AN INVERTED NW-SE TROUGH
AT THE SURFACE AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES SOUTH AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN THE YUKON.

DURING THE WEEKEND AN ARCTIC FRONT IS PUSH DOWN FROM THE YUKON
BRINGING GALES NORTHERLIES AND COLDER TEMPERAUTURES. THERE IS
STILL A LARGE ENSEMBLE SPREAD IN THE LOW LEVEL SYNOPTIC PATTERN
OVER THE WEEKEND SO THE TIMING OF THIS SWITCH TO ARCTIC OUTFLOW IS
STILL UNCERTAIN.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     MORNING FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-042-043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-021-041-053.

&&

EAL/CFD