Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2012

Storm Warning 52, NWS Juneau, AK

November 19, 2012

NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 19, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 19, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 20, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

084 
FZAK51 PAJK 200021
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-201400-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 981 MB LOW IN THE NE GULF OF ALASKA WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
SOUTHEAST THROUGH TUE MORNING. A 988 MB LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
SE GULF TUE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CANADIAN YUKON
THROUGH TUE.  

$$

PKZ011-201400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-201400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE
TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-201400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 40 KT LATE.
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-201400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-201400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-201400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 70 KT
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE.
GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-201400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-201400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-201400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE. GUSTS
TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6
FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-201400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-201400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5
FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
155 
FZAK51 PAJK 200611 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-210015-
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 981 MB LOW IN THE NE GULF OF ALASKA WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
SOUTHEAST THROUGH TUE MORNING. A 988 MB LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
SE GULF TUE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CANADIAN YUKON
THROUGH TUE.  

$$

PKZ011-210015-
GLACIER BAY-
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-210015-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE
TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-210015-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 40 KT LATE.
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-210015-
ICY STRAIT-
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-210015-
CROSS SOUND-
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-210015-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 70 KT
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE.
GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-210015-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-210015-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-210015-
FREDERICK SOUND-
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE. GUSTS
TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6
FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-210015-
SUMNER STRAIT-
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-210015-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
911 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5
FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$
081 
FZAK51 PAJK 201228
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-210100-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 987 MB LOW WILL MOVE N TO JUST W OF HAIDA GWAII BY LATE TUE
AFTERNOON...THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THERE TUE NIGHT AND WED. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE YUKON THROUGH WED. OUTLOOK...A
POWERFUL STORM WILL MOVE N INTO THE SE GULF THU NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ011-210100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-210100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-210100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-210100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-210100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-210100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-210100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-210100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-210100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT
OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-210100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-210100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS...MIXED
WITH SNOW LATE.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
003 
FZAK51 PAJK 202036 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-210100-
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 987 MB LOW WILL MOVE N TO JUST W OF HAIDA GWAII BY LATE TUE
AFTERNOON...THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THERE TUE NIGHT AND WED. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE YUKON THROUGH WED. OUTLOOK...A
POWERFUL STORM WILL MOVE N INTO THE SE GULF THU NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ011-210100-
GLACIER BAY-
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-210100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-210100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-210100-
ICY STRAIT-
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-210100-
CROSS SOUND-
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-210100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-210100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-210100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-210100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-210100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-210100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS...MIXED
WITH SNOW LATE.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 19, 3:15 PM AKST, 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 19, 3:15 PM AKST, 45 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
315 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE AND BIORKA RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A COMPLEX
LOW ROTATING OFFSHORE MOVING TO THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOW
HAS BROUGHT SOME SNOW SHOWERS TO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR
PANHANDLE...SOME RAIN SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST AND IN THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE AS WELL AS SOME PERSISTENT WINDS TO 30 MPH IN SPOTS
OVER THE COAST AND THE SOUTH. YUKON HIGH PRESSURE IS STILL FIRMLY
IN PLACE WITH SOME COLD TEMPERATURES...LIKE 3 DEGREES IN WATSON
LAKE AND 1 DEGREE IN WHITEHORSE. PRESSURE GRADIENT...ALTHOUGH
RELAXING SOMEWHAT OVERNIGHT WILL STILL YIELD STORM FORCE WINDS IN
LYNN CANAL INTO TUESDAY. STRONG GALE WILL CONTINUE FOR CROSS
SOUND...MUCH OF THE NORTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS...AS WELL SEVERAL
ZONES IN THE NORTHERN INSIDE. IN ADDITION...FREEZING SPRAY WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT IN LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY.

 AS COMPLEX LOW MOVES TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT AND EVENTUALLY
SOUTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF...ANOTHER LOW ROTATING AROUND
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SITTING OVER THE GULF WILL APPROACH THE
SOUTHEAST GULF TUESDAY. THIS WILL ENSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AGAIN
OVER THE PANHANDLE...PARTICULARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION
THE EXITING LOW TONIGHT WILL USHER IN SOME DRIER FLOW FROM THE
INTERIOR THAT WILL EVENTUALLY ERODE SOME OF THE CLOUDY SKIES
TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE INTERIOR PANHANDLE. POPS WILL
RETREAT FROM ALL BUT THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN COAST ZONES BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

 USED THE ECMWF TO REFRESH GRIDS. MODELS STILL NOT RESOLVING
SMALL SHORTWAVES ROTATING AROUND THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN
THE GULF OF ALASKA....BUT ECMWF SEEMS TO SIMPLIFY THINGS IN AN
ACCEPTABLE WAY. MADE LITTLE CHANGES TO INNER CHANNEL WINDS. DID
MAKE SOME MINOR TWEAKS TO TEMPERATURE GRIDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
TO GIVE SOME NECESSARY HIGH AND LOW DIFFERENCES, ALTHOUGH MINIMAL
TO WINDY AREAS OF LYNN CANAL. CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST IS AVERAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY WITH A DEVELOPING LOW MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST
GULF. SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES STILL EXIST AMONG THE MODEL
OUTPUTS...BUT THE OVERALL GENERAL CONSENSUS SHOWS HIGHLY
ACCEPTABLE PERFORMANCE. REFRESHED THE INHERITED FORECAST PACKAGE
WITH THE MOST PERSISTENT ECMWF THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY. POTENTIAL
WINDY CONDITIONS ARE NOW MORE PRONOUNCED FROM THANKSGIVING DAY
THROUGH SATURDAY. A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT HAS BEEN POSTED. AT
THIS TIME...THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES INTO
THE SOUTHEAST GULF AND DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTH ACROSS THE EASTERN
GULF. WITH PERSISTING ARCTIC HIGH OVER THE YUKON...NORTHERLY
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BECOME EVEN TIGHTER. MODELS BEGIN DIVERTING
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND OPTED TO LEAN OVER THE NEW HPC ENSEMBLE
APPROACH WITH THEIR PREVIOUS FORECAST.

 WITH GROWING UNCERTAINTIES...THE STORM MAY TRACK A LITTLE MORE
TO THE WEST. IF THAT HAPPENS...THE STRONG WINDS MAY NOT REACH AS
FAR TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST. WITH THE SAME
TOKEN...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL FROM THE STORM MOVEMENT MAY SHIFT
MORE WESTWARD. HOWEVER...RELATIVELY WARM AIR MASS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE STORM AND THE AIR MASS WILL BE MODIFIED AS IT MOVES ONSHORE
OVER THE PANHANDLE. WITH PERSISTING ARCTIC AIR TO THE
NORTH...POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL CANNOT BE RULED OUT
COMPLETELY AND/OR POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PANHANDLE. THE ENSEMBLE APPROACH DEPICTS THE STORM
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OVER THE WEEKEND AND
TRACK BACK SOUTHEASTWARD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ018-019-025.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ012.
         STORM WARNING FOR PKZ012-013.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011-021-022-031-032-035-043-051-053.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ033-034-036-041-042-052.

&&

JWA/AHN

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 19, 2:14 PM AKST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
214 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

AKZ017>020-022-023-025-027-029-200115-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
GLACIER BAY-SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY...HAINES...GUSTAVUS...
ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...JUNEAU...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK...HYDER
214 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THANKSGIVING THROUGH SATURDAY...

A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL INTENSIFY
AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF EARLY ON THANKSGIVING DAY.
THIS INCOMING LOW WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS IN THE ALASKAN
PANHANDLE FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

AT THIS TIME...THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE
EASTERN GULF AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THERE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
PERSISTING ARCTIC HIGH OVER THE YUKON WILL ENHANCE NORTHERLY
STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE...WHILE THE INCOMING
STORM WILL BRING STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THE ADJACENT COASTAL MARINE AREAS WILL BE
AFFECTED WITH POSSIBLE STORM FORCE WINDS.

THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SYSTEM IS STILL UNCERTAIN AT THIS MOMENT BUT
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING WITH EVERY MODEL RUN TO DETERMINE EXACTLY
WHICH AREAS SEE THE STRONGEST WINDS IN LATER FORECASTS. IF THE SYSTEM
TRACKS A LITTLE FARTHER WEST THAN CURRENT FORECASTS...THE STRONG
WINDS MAY NOT REACH AS FAR TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 19, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Nov 19, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 19, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 19, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Nov 19, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Nov 19, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 20, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Nov 20, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Nov 20, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2012Every storm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.