Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 89, NWS Juneau, AK

January 31, 2012

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 31, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 31, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Feb 1, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

704 
FZAK51 PAJK 010029
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-011400-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 992 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NE
TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF THIS EVENING. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY AND ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ011-011400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-011400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-011400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-011400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-011400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-011400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-011400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-011400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-011400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-011400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-011400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT...EXCEPT 14
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
918 
FZAK51 PAJK 010200 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
500 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-011400-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 992 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NE
TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF THIS EVENING. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY AND ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ011-011400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-011400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-011400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-011400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-011400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-011400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-011400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-011400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
500 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-011400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-011400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
500 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-011400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT...EXCEPT 14
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$
837 
FZAK51 PAJK 010828 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1130 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-011400-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 992 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NE
TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF THIS EVENING. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY AND ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ011-011400-
GLACIER BAY-
1130 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-011400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1130 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-011400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1130 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-011400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-011400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-011400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-011400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-011400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1130 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES.  
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-011400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1130 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-011400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
500 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-011400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT...EXCEPT 14
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$
939 
FZAK51 PAJK 011235
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-020100-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL BRING STORM FORCE WIND INTO THE
EASTERN GULF THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THEM MOVE ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. OUTLOOK. A 974 MB STORM FORCE LOW
WILL MOVE IN THE SOUTHERN AK GULF THURSDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-020100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-020100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-020100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-020100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-020100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-020100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-020100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-020100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT
13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-020100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO
50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-020100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT...
EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-020100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT
13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 31, 6:07 AM AKST, 9 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 6:07 AM AKST, 9 hours 53 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
607 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

.SHORT TERM...TRANSITION FROM COLD AND SNOWY TO WARM AND WET
WEATHER HAS BEGUN.

SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS A 9854 MB LOW IN THE WESTERN
AK GULF THAT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST MOVING
JUST NORTH OF YAKUTAT BAY BY EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED
OCCLUDED FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE AK PANHANDLE AND EXITING
THE REGION THROUGH THE DAY. AS TEMPERATURES WARMED OVER NIGHT
PRECIPITATION BEGAN TO TRANSITION FROM SNOW TO RAIN OVER THE
CENTRAL PANHANDLE. EXPECT NORTHERN REGIONS TO SWITCH TO RAIN
THROUGH THE DAY AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST. THE
PROBLEM AREAS ARE YAKUTAT AND HAINES. HAINES REMAINS IN COLD AIR
AS WINDS ARE NORTHWESTERLY, BUT THESE SHOULD WITH TO THE SOUTHEAST
THIS MORNING MOVING WARM AIR INTO THE REGION WITH RAIN DEVELOPING.
HAVE ALREADY SEEN THIS OCCUR IN SKAGWAY AS TEMPERATURES INCREASE 7
DEGREES OVER 2 HOURS AS WINDS SHIFTED TO THE SOUTH AND INCREASED
TO 20 KT. PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD WEAKEN THIS MORNING SO DO NOT
EXPECT THE STRONG WINDS OVER SKAGWAY AND NORTHERN LYNN CANAL TO
LAST. FOR YAKUTAT TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY NEARED FREEZING AND
ARE EXPECTED TO RISE AS WINDS SHIFT FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST.

A SECOND LOW IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF HAS DEEPENED TO 995 MB AS
ROTATION DEVELOPS ALONG ITS NORTHEAST TRACK. EXPECT THE LOW TO
MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE THROUGH THE DAY BECOMING AN OPEN
WAVE AS IT MOVES OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA. PRECIP FROM THE ASSOCIATED
FRONT AS ALREADY BEGUN OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AN SHOULD
PROGRESS NORTHWARD TO ABOUT FREDERICK SOUND. DO HAVE SOME CONCERNS
ABOUT HYDER AS THIS LOW COULD PRODUCE SOME FAIR SNOW FALL IF COLD
AIR REMAINS IN PLACE. RIGHT NOW WESTERLY FLOW WOULD KEEP COLD AIR
IN PLACE BUT EXPECTING WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTH WITH WARM AIR
ADVECTION THIS MORNING CAUSING PRECIP TO TRANSITION TO RAIN OR A
RAIN SNOW MIX BEFORE ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOW CAN ACCUMULATE. IN
ADDITION THE LOW IS FAIRLY FAST MOVING WITH PRECIP TIMING LIMITED.
PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
PANHANDLE ALONG THE BACKSIDE OF THE FRONT BUT THE BREAK WILL BE
SHORT LIVED BEFORE THE NEXT STRONG FRONT MOVES IN. TEMPERATES
RETURN TO A MORE DIURNAL TREND AND MAY SEE SOME SNOW MIXING WITH
RAIN AS TEMPS FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS DROP TO NEAR
FREEZING.

MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE DEPICTION OF THE NORTHERN
GULF LOW. FOR THE SOUTHERN SYSTEM ECMWF AND NAM WERE SHOWING MORE
DEVELOPMENT COMPARED TO THE GFS, BUT NOT SURE IF EVEN THOSE WERE
SHOWING A DEEP ENOUGH LOW. UPDATED FORECAST GRIDS WITH A BLEND OF
06Z NAM12 FOR SOME DETAILS IN THE GULF WINDS. THE AK WAVE MODEL
HAS BEEN RUNNING A BIT HIGH WITH SEA HEIGHTS SO TONED DOWN WAVES
BY A FEW FEET. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS A BIT BELOW AVERAGE DUE TO
PRECIP TYPE BEING VERY DEPENDENT ON WIND DIRECTION AND QUESTIONS
REGARDING THE LOW IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF.

.LONG TERM...A SHARP RIDGE BUILDS NORTH ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA
AHEAD OF DEEPENING SYSTEM IN WESTERN GULF WEDNESDAY MORNING THAT
SHIFTS EAST INTO CANADA BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

A POWERFUL 944 MB LOW MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF WEDNESDAY AND
DRIFTS NORTH TO THE KENAI PEN THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS ACCESS TO
VERY COLD AIR MASS OVER BERING AND THE REMAINS OF A TROPICAL
SYSTEM HEADING NE FROM CENTRAL PACIFIC. THIS COMBINED WITH A
160-180 KT JET MAX ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH LEADS TO
EXPLOSIVE DEEPENING OF THE LOW. JET STREAM TURNS SLY ON WEST SIDE
OF UPPER RIDGE AND BECOMES PERPENDICULAR TO TERRAIN ACROSS NE GULF
AND SUPPORTS A STRONG 70 KT LOW LEVEL BARRIER JET OVER COASTAL
WATERS. THE ASSOCIATED OCCLUSION IS WELL AHEAD OF THE LOW CENTER
AND WILL SPREAD STORM FORCE WINDS TO COASTAL WATERS AS EARLY AS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. WITH LOW
STAYING IN WESTERN GULF WIND WILL DIMINISH TO GALES ACROSS THE
INNER CHANNELS EXCEPT FOR CLARENCE STRAIT WHICH HAS FAVORABLE
GRADIENT ORIENTATION. CURRENT GRIDS CARRYING 55 MPH WIND GUSTS FOR
SOUTHERN AND COASTAL AND STRONG WINDS FOR ALL OTHER ZONES.

SINCE SYSTEM HAS TROPICAL CONNECTION AND HIGH P-WATER VALUES RAIN
SHOULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES ALONG FAVORABLE TERRAIN OF COASTAL AND
SOUTHERN ZONES. THE SYSTEM DOES MOVE THROUGH RELATIVELY FAST WHICH
WILL HELP TO LIMIT DURATION OF HEAVIEST RAIN. WITH A DEEP SNOW
PACK ON THE GROUND AND STORM DRAINS AND DITCHES FULL OF SNOW WILL
LIKELY HAVE SOME POUNDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS
AND HAVE SP'S CONTINUING. ALSO WITH A WARMER AIR MASS SPREADING OVER
THE AREA SNOW LEVELS CLIMB AND WILL SEE INCREASED AVALANCHE DANGER.

A TIGHTLY WOUND LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND
NEARLY BOMBS BY DROPPING 20 MB IN 24 HOURS AS IT MOVES INTO THE
SOUTHEAST GULF THURSDAY EVENING AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKENS AS IT
MOVES NORTH THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS. MODELS STILL HAVE
DIFFERENCES WITH THIS FEATURE CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS IS STILL LOW
BUT AM CONCERNED THIS LOW COULD BE HIGH WIND MAKER FOR SE AK.

ON FRIDAY NEXT LOW TRACKS SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLE WITH ASSOCIATED
OCCLUSION WRAPPING NORTH. AT SAME TIME A HIGH STARTS TO BUILD
ACROSS YUKON AND WE END UP WITH AN EASTERLY WIND PATTERN ACROSS
PANHANDLE SO POPS BEGIN TO DROP OFF AND COULD SEE A BIT COOLER
AIR MASS OVER THE WEEKEND.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...WINTER
STORM WARNING UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING FOR AKZ019.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-036. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041>043-051-052.

&&

PRB/MM

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 31, 10:26 AM AKST, 5 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1026 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1007 AM     SNOW             7 S HAINES              59.14N 135.44W
01/31/2012  E10.0 INCH                          AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            10 INCHES OF SNOW FELL YESTERDAY IN MUD BAY.

1007 AM     SNOW             11 WSW MOSQUITO LAKE    59.45N 136.36W
01/31/2012  M8.0 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            8 INCHES OF SNOW FELL YESTERDAY AT HAINES CUSTOMS.

1007 AM     SNOW             HAINES                  59.24N 135.44W
01/31/2012  M8.1 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            8.1 INCHES OF SNOW FELL YESTERDAY IN DOWNTOWN HAINES.

&&

TPS
Special weather statement, Jan 31, 2:43 PM AKST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
243 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

AKZ017>029-011400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY...HAINES...GUSTAVUS...
HOONAH...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...ANGOON...
JUNEAU...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...
KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
243 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...WARM AND WET ACROSS THE PANHANDLE THROUGH THE WEEK...

A WEATHER PATTERN CHANGE IS ONGOING ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA WITH
WARMER CONDITIONS ALONG WITH SOME STRONG WINDS DEVELOPING LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY. FREEZING LEVEL WILL RISE AND
RANGE FROM AROUND 1200 FEET OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL AREAS TO 2200
FEET OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS BY WEDNESDAY. THESE FREEZING LEVELS
WILL HOVER AROUND THERE THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. A SERIES OF
WEATHER FRONTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION WITH RAIN BEING DOMINANT
AND POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THE RAIN ON SNOW/ICE COVERED ROADS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS
THROUGH THE WEEK. ALSO WITH MOST AREAS ACROSS THE REGION WITH
ABOVE NORMAL SNOW ON THE GROUND THERE MAYBE AREAS OF PONDING WATER
DUE TO POOR DRAINAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT
WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA PRODUCING HEAVY PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THE RAIN WILL MAKE SNOW VERY HARD TO MANAGE
DUE TO THE INCREASE OF WATER CONTENT AND ALSO INCREASE SNOW LOADS
ON ROOFS. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO CLEAR STORM DRAINS OF SNOW TO HELP
ALLEVIATE THE FLOODING POTENTIAL AND CLEAR OFF ROOFS TO ALLEVIATE
THE LOAD ON THE STRUCTURES.

AS THE FREEZING LEVELS RISE IT WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE AVALANCHES DUE TO HIGH DENSITY OF SNOW OVER LESS DENSE SNOW.
THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO
INCREASE THE AVALANCHE DANGER WITH WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 55 MPH AT
THE SURFACE...WINDS WILL BE MUCH HIGHER IN THE MOUNTAINS. PEOPLE
WHO VENTURE INTO THE BACK-COUNTRY SHOULD REMAIN CAUTIOUS IN STEEP
TERRAIN AND IN AVALANCHE PRONE AREAS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 31, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Jan 31, 4:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAJK24 hr
Jan 31, 4:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAJK36 hr
Jan 31, 4:19 PM AKSTWinter Storm WatchAJK13 hr
Feb 1, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Feb 1, 4:53 AM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAJK19 hr
Feb 1, 4:53 AM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAJK28 hr
Feb 1, 4:53 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK17 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.