Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 86, NWS Juneau, AK

January 30, 2012

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 30, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Jan 31, 2012, 9:55 AM AKST
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

555 
FZAK51 PAJK 310022
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-311400-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 980 MB LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NE
TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF BY TUE MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT. A SMALL LOW WILL
MOVE NE INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BY TUE AFTERNOON. OUTLOOK. A
STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF WED.

$$

PKZ011-311400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW BECOMING
MIXED WITH RAIN LATE.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN...MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE
MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-311400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN IN THE
MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-311400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW
BECOMING MIXED WITH RAIN LATE.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-311400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN LATE. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-311400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. W
SWELL LATE. RAIN AND SNOW BECOMING RAIN LATE. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
W SWELL. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-311400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-311400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-311400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...
EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-311400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-311400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-311400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
4 follow-up statements
449 
FZAK51 PAJK 310634 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-010045-
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 980 MB LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NE
TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF BY TUE MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT. A SMALL LOW WILL
MOVE NE INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BY TUE AFTERNOON. OUTLOOK. A
STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF WED.

$$

PKZ011-010045-
GLACIER BAY-
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN...MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE
MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-010045-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN IN THE
MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-010045-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-010045-
ICY STRAIT-
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN LATE. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-010045-
CROSS SOUND-
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. W
SWELL LATE. RAIN AND SNOW BECOMING RAIN LATE. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
W SWELL. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-010045-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-010045-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-010045-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...
EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-010045-
FREDERICK SOUND-
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-010045-
SUMNER STRAIT-
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-010045-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
934 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$
813 
FZAK51 PAJK 310844 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-010245-
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 980 MB LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NE
TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF BY TUE MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT. A SMALL LOW WILL
MOVE NE INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BY TUE AFTERNOON. OUTLOOK. A
STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF WED.

$$

PKZ011-010245-
GLACIER BAY-
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-010245-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-010245-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-010245-
ICY STRAIT-
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN LATE. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-010245-
CROSS SOUND-
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. W
SWELL LATE. RAIN AND SNOW BECOMING RAIN LATE. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
W SWELL. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-010245-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-010245-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-010245-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...
EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-010245-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-010245-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-010245-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1144 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$
215 
FZAK51 PAJK 311235
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-010100-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 983 MB LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NE
TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TUESDAY. A SMALL LOW IN THE
SOUTHEAST GULF WILL MOVE NE OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. OUTLOOK. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY.

$$

PKZ011-010100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO A GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-010100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-010100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-010100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-010100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. W
SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN IN THE
EVENING. 
.WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-010100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-010100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-010100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-010100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-010100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-010100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$
232 
FZAK51 PAJK 311855 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-010100-
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 983 MB LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NE
TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TUESDAY. A SMALL LOW IN THE
SOUTHEAST GULF WILL MOVE NE OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. OUTLOOK. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY.

$$

PKZ011-010100-
GLACIER BAY-
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO A GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-010100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-010100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-010100-
ICY STRAIT-
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-010100-
CROSS SOUND-
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. W
SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN IN THE
EVENING. 
.WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-010100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

UPDATED

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-010100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-010100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-010100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-010100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-010100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
955 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 30, 2:04 PM AKST, 1 hour 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 2:04 PM AKST, 1 hour 56 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
204 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

.SHORT TERM...OCCLUDED FRONT OVER THE ERN GULF WILL CONTINUE NNE
THRU THE AREA TONIGHT AND TUE MORNING. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NE
TO THE N-CENTRAL GULF BY TUE MORNING. A SMALL LOW PRESSURE AREA
WILL MOVE NE TO THE SRN PANHANDLE BY LATE TUE AFTERNOON. USED THE
12Z ECMWF DUE TO ITS SUPERIOR INITIALIZATION ON THE FRONT AND
LOWS.

 MAIN FORECAST ISSUE WILL BE TIMING THE PTYPE TRANSITION. AIRMASS
BEHIND THE FRONT IS RATHER MILD SO AS FRONT MOVES THRU EXPECT
PRECIP TO GO OVER TO RAIN. HOWEVER...THE FRONT MAY GO ALOFT AS IT
MOVES OVER THE FAR NRN INNER CHANNEL AREA TONIGHT...SLOWING DOWN
THE NWD TIMING OF PRECIP CHANGEOVER SOME THERE. THE PAYA AREA IS
EVEN TRICKIER AS THEIR MIX/CHANGEOVER WILL BE PEGGED TO WHEN LOW
LEVEL WINDS SHIFT FROM ENE TO ESE OR SE. MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING
THIS...AND BASED ON THE 12Z ECMWF...WINDS WOULD SHIFT TO SE BY
12Z TONIGHT. THINK THIS WILL KEEP THEM FROM GETTING TO 6+ INCHES
OF SNOWFALL TONIGHT SO WILL BE DROPPING THE WS WATCH FOR THEM. DO
NOT EVEN THINK THEY WILL GET TO ADVY LEVELS AS HEAVIEST PRECIP
WILL ARRIVE DURING TIME OF THE WINDS TURNING SELY. THE PAHN AREA
IS A DIFFERENT STORY...AND WILL BE ISSUING A WW ADVY FOR THEM
TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUE MORNING. FURTHER S ALONG THE PAJN-PAEL
CORRIDOR...SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE UP TO 3 INCHES BEFORE IT MIXES
WITH OR CHANGES TO RAIN LATE TONIGHT. S OF THAT AREA SHOULD BE
ALL RAIN BY TIME FORECAST GOES OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

 OTHERWISE...WILL HAVE TEMPS SLOWLY RISING OVER THE NRN HALF OF
THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE OVER THE S. WINDS SHOULD
PEAK AT SCA LEVELS AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND ON E SIDE OF LOW MOVING
INTO THE N-CENTRAL GULF. ONLY GOING SCA WINDS FOR THAT SMALL LOW
MOVING NE INTO THE SRN AREA TUE...BUT IT BEING A RATHER SMALL LOW
THERE COULD BE A LOCALLY STRONGER BAND OF WINDS ON ITS SE
SIDE...SO LATER SHIFTS WILL HAVE TO WATCH THIS CLOSELY.

&&

.LONG TERM...MAIN FOCUS OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD IS THE STRONG
SYSTEM APPROACHING THE PANHANDLE ON WED. CURRENTLY A WEAK
DISTURBANCE SW OF THE ALEUTIANS THIS FEATURE WILL START INTERACTING
WITH THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A 100 KT 500 MB JET STREAK EARLY
TUESDAY. THE CLOSE ASSOCIATION OF THE MID LEVEL FEATURE WILL STICK
WITH THE SYSTEM UNTIL WED WHEN THE SURFACE LOW SEPARATES FROM THE
EXIT REGION AND GETS LEFT BEHIND IN THE WESTERN GULF. BY THIS TIME
THE LOW WILL HAVE STRENGTHENED TO AROUND 944 MB. THE LOW WILL
DRIFT NORTH AND FILL IN THROUGH FRI.

THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL BE THE MAIN WORRY FOR US AS IT PLOWS
INTO THE PANHANDLE WED THROUGH WED NIGHT. PRECIP WILL BE ONE HALF OF
THAT PROBLEM AS FOR MOST AREAS OF THE PANHANDLE TEMPERATURES WILL
BE NEAR FREEZING WITH 850 MB TEMPS WARMING UP ABOVE -6 C AS EARLY
AS WED MIDDAY FOR MOST OF THE PANHANDLE. THIS IS WARM ENOUGH THAT
MOST AREAS SHORT OF THE EXTREME NORTH MAY START OUT AS SNOW BUT
QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN. AND WITH FORECAST QPF VALUES RANGING
FROM 3 TENTHS TO UP TO .75 INCHES, AREAS THAT STILL HAVE A
SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK MAY BE FACING HEAVY SNOW LOADS ON ROOFS AND
PONDING OF WATER WHERE ICE AND SNOW BLOCK DRAINAGE. NORTH OF HAINES
AND SKAGWAY, THE PROBLEM SHIFTS FROM RAIN ON SNOW PACK TO PUTTING
MORE SNOW ON TOP OF WHAT IS ALREADY THERE AS AREAS UP THE HAINES
AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS MAY SEE SOME SIGNIFICANT SNOW OUT OF THIS
SYSTEM. PRECIP LIGHTENS UP AND CHANGES TO SHOWERS BY THURS.

THE SECOND HALF OF PROBLEM OF THE FRONT WILL BE THE WIND THAT IT
BRINGS WITH IT. AREAS OUT IN THE GULF WILL BE EXPERIENCING STORM
FORCE WINDS WED PARTICULARLY IN THE NORTHERN GULF WHERE THE USUAL
BARRIER JET WILL BE SETTING UP AS THE FRONT COMES NORTHWARD.
FARTHER SOUTH THE INTERACTION BETWEEN THE ENCROACHING FRONT AND A
BUILDING RIDGE OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL BUILD UP THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WED EVENING. 850 MB WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO EXCEED 70 KT WHICH COULD MEAN GUST TO 60 MPH AT THE
SURFACE WED EVENING. OTHER INNER CHANNEL AREAS MAY SEE HIGH ENOUGH
GUSTS FOR STRONG WIND HEADLINES TO BE NEEDED WED NIGHT.

MODEL AGREEMENT IS FAIRLY GOOD FOR THIS SYSTEM WITH THE NAM BEING
A BIT OF AN OUTLIER WITH FASTER FRONTAL SPEED. DECIDED TO APPLY
A BLEND WITH MORE WEIGHT TO THE 12Z EC WITH SOME LESSER AMOUNTS OF
THE GFS THROWN IN TO GET A DECENT AVERAGE FROM THE SMALL
DIFFERENCES STILL PRESENT BETWEEN THE MODELS. PAST FRI MODEL
AGREEMENT IS STILL IN LIMBO WITH THE MODEL STILL NOT AGREEING ON
THE NUMBER AND TRACK OF VARIOUS WEAK SMALL SYSTEMS. THE ONLY PLACE
THEY SOMEWHAT AGREE IS ON THE OVERALL MID LEVEL PATTERN OF A
RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE PANHANDLE AND INTERIOR OVER THE WEEKEND
WITH A TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC. WENT WITH
HPC DATA FOR THE EXTENDED RANGE FOR ITS USE OF THE MORE CONSISTENT
ENSEMBLE MEANS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT AVERAGE OUT TO FRI
THEN DROPS TO POOR AFTER THAT.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM AKST TUESDAY FOR AKZ019.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-022-033>036-041>043-051-052.

&&

RWT/EAL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 3:22 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK4 hr
Jan 30, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Jan 30, 7:30 PM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAJK14 hr
Jan 30, 11:44 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK16 hr
Jan 31, 9:55 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK6 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.