Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 76, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 26, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 26, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 28, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
616 FZAK52 PAJK 270029 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-271400- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP TO 1000 MB JUST OFF CAPE EDGECUMBE TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY FRI BECOMING PART OF A LOW PRESSURE COMPLEX CENTERED NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND. A MUCH STRONGER LOW WILL APPROACH FROM THE SW ON SAT. $$ PKZ041-271400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ042-271400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE AND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ043-271400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S AND DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. .MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ051-271400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ052-271400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
833 FZAK52 PAJK 271241 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-280100- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY AND A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE PANHANDLE. A STRONGER LOW WILL APPROACH FROM THE SW ALONG WITH ITS WARM FRONT LATE FRI THROUGH SAT. $$ PKZ041-280100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS NEAR SHOWERS. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-280100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS NEAR SHOWERS. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ043-280100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS NEAR SHOWERS. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ051-280100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ052-280100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT SOUTHERN HALF...ELSEWHERE SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
040 FZAK52 PAJK 271953 AAB CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1049 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-280200- 1049 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY AND A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE PANHANDLE. A STRONGER LOW WILL APPROACH FROM THE SW ALONG WITH ITS WARM FRONT LATE FRI THROUGH SAT. $$ PKZ041-280200- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1049 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS DIMINISHING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-280200- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1049 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS DIMINISHING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ043-280200- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1049 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS NEAR SHOWERS. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ051-280200- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1049 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ052-280200- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1049 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT SE WIND 10 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
887 FZAK52 PAJK 280011 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-281400- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL GIVE WAY TO A DEVELOPING LOW THAT WILL DEEPEN TO 982 MB OFF DIXON ENTRANCE SAT AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN OFF CAPE DECISION SAT NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-281400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-281400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-281400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-281400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...E WIND BECOMING 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ052-281400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$
592 FZAK52 PAJK 281256 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-290100- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF THROUGH SAT WITH A WARM FRONT LIFTING OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THE LOW WILL DEEPEN TO 985 MB SOUTH OF CAPE DECISION LATE SAT NIGHT THEN WEAKEN AS IT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ041-290100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-290100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-290100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL LATE. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-290100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW...RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ052-290100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. SNOW...RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 26, 5:37 AM AKST, 10 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 26, 5:37 AM AKST, 10 hours 23 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
537 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2012
.SHORT TERM...SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE THIS
MORNING AS COLD OCEAN-MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR STREAMS IN FROM THE
WEST. SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NOT VERY COLD WITH MOST PLACES
HOVERING IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S THIS MORNING. IT IS ALOFT
WHERE THE AFFECTS OF THE WARMER OCEAN WATER CAN NOT REACH THAT
WELL, WHERE THE COLDER AIR IS. 850 MB TEMPS OVER THE PANHANDLE
ARE AROUND -14 C ACCORDING TO THE 12 Z RAOBS FROM YAKUTAT AND
ANNETTE. MORE THAN COLD ENOUGH FOR PRECIP TO BE IN THE FORM OF
SNOW. ALL THIS AIR IS ROTATING AROUND A NEARLY STATIONARY LOW IN
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THAT WILL NOT MOVE MUCH OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. EMBEDDED IN THE GENERAL WEST FLOW ARE A FEW WEAK WAVES
OF VORTICITY. ONE IS JUST NOW CROSSING 140 W LONGITUDE, AND THE
SECOND IS OVER BY 150 W AT THE MOMENT.
FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT, IT IS THESE WAVES THAT WILL BRING MOST OF
THE CHANGES IN THE WEATHER. WAVE ONE WILL REACH THE PANHANDLE LATE
THIS MORNING OR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND BRING A SLIGHT INCREASE
TO THE SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTH TODAY. WAVE TWO WILL BE THE ONE TO
WATCH AS IT MOVES EAST. ABOVE IT IS A DECENT LOBE OF VORTICITY AND
THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A 100 KT 500 MB JET STREAK. BUT BECAUSE
THIS WAVE IS NOT ON A NOTICEABLE BOUNDARY OF ANY SORT, IT WILL NOT
STRENGTHEN VERY MUCH BEFORE IT MAKES IT ASHORE LATER TONIGHT. EVEN
SO, I AM STILL EXPECTING SOME GALE FORCE WESTERLY WINDS ON THE
SOUTH SIDE OF THE LOW TO AFFECT MARINE ZONES 41 AND 42 LATER
TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES BY. ON LAND, THE EXISTING SHOWERS WILL BE
ENHANCED BY THE TWO WAVES, PARTICULARLY OVER THE SOUTH. HYDER
LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BEAR THE BRUNT OF THE SHOWERS. I HAVE DECIDED
TO ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HYDER AS IT LOOKS LIKE THE
SNOW WILL PILE UP ENOUGH TO WARRANT IT THERE LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE,SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SOME 1 TO 3 INCH
SNOWFALLS HERE AND THERE, BUT TRAINING MAY CAUSE LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS.
MODEL AGREEMENT WAS NOT TOO BAD TODAY BUT SOME DISAGREEMENT WERE
PRESENT IN REGARDS TO THE TWO WEAK WAVES. MOSTLY THESE DIFFERENCES
WERE IN REGARD TO TIMING AND STRENGTH. DECIDED TO STICK WITH NAM
WITH SOME MIXING OF SOME OF OUR HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS TO GET
THE DETAILS THAT I WANTED. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS A LITTLE ABOVE
AVERAGE.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...FRIDAY STARTS OFF WITH A
TROUGH EXITING THE REGION TO THE EAST AND CAUSING SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS. A WESTERLY JET WILL HELP TO ENHANCE SHOWERS ALONG WEST
FACING MOUNTAINS. MOST PERSISTENT/HEAVIEST SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL VORT MAX PASSES THEN
DIMINISH INTO THE AFTERNOON. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO
THE GULF OVERNIGHT FRIDAY. THE ASSOC WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH
INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE EARLY SATURDAY...STARTING AS SNOW THEN
CHANGING OVER TO RAIN. AS THE LOW CENTER APPROACHES FLOW WILL TURN
OFFSHORE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE...DECREASING CHANCES OF
SNOW...AND TURNING SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH WITH COOLER AIR
BEING DRAWN IN FROM CANADA. FROM ABOUT JUNEAU SOUTH TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM ENOUGH TO BE MAINLY RAIN BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND HEAVY
AT TIMES ALONG THE FAR SOUTHERN COAST. PRECIP CHANCES WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE FOR THE FAR NORTHERN AREAS AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH THROUGH
SUNDAY ALONG WITH THE SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AS WELL. THE
YAKUTAT AREA LOOKS TO BE THE LAST TO SEE SNOW/RAIN FROM THIS
SYSTEM.
MODELS DIVERGE AFTER SUNDAY...KEEPING FORECASTER CONFIDENCE BELOW
AVERAGE FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK. IN GENERAL SHOWERS ARE LIKELY
EACH DAY AND TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE JUST AT THE RAIN/SNOW MIX LINE.
DUE TO MODEL VARIABILITY ONLY MADE MINOR CHANGES TO PRESSURE AND
WINDS. NUDGED OTHER FIELDS TOWARD THE ECMWF SINCE IT INITIALIZED
WELL AND USED BOTH GFS AND ECMWF FOR TEMPERATURES AS THEY SHOWED THE
COLDER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTH WHEN EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM AKST
FRIDAY FOR AKZ029.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ036-041>043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-013-022-031-033>035-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ053.
&&
EAL/HANNONThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Jan 26, 6:26 PM AKST | Special Marine Warning | AJK | 64 min | |
| Jan 26, 9:33 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 6 hr | |
| Jan 26, 11:30 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 5 hr | |
| Jan 27, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 27, 11:15 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 4 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.