Small Craft Advisory 657, NWS Juneau, AK

618 
FZAK51 PAJK 081617 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-091030-
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 1040 MB HIGH WILL PERSIST OVER THE YUKON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
THEN MOVE OFF TO THE EAST SATURDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA FRIDAY AND
INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
EASTERN GULF FRIDAY AND DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA
SATURDAY. 

$$

PKZ011-091030-
GLACIER BAY-
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-091030-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

REST OF TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-091030-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-091030-
ICY STRAIT-
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

UPDATED

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EARLY...THEN BECOMING E AND INCREASING
TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-091030-
CROSS SOUND-
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-091030-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-091030-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-091030-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-091030-
FREDERICK SOUND-
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN
THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-091030-
SUMNER STRAIT-
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-091030-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
717 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

002 
FZAK51 PAJK 090030
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-091400-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 1037 MB HIGH WILL PERSIST OVER THE YUKON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
THEN START TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST EARLY SATURDAY. A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHEAST
ALASKA FRIDAY AND INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF FRIDAY AND DISSIPATE OVER
SOUTHEAST ALASKA SATURDAY. 

$$

PKZ011-091400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-091400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING...DIMINISHING
LATE. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-091400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-091400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-091400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-091400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG LATE. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-091400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-091400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-091400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG LATE.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-091400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG
LATE. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-091400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG LATE. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
338 PM AKST WED NOV 7 2012

.SHORT TERM...SHORT TERM FORECAST IS SOMEWHAT QUIET WITH A
WEAKENING LOW SPINNING ITSELF OUT JUST WEST OF BARANOF ISLAND.
THE OLD WEAK FRONTAL BAND ASSOCIATED WITH IT IS RESPONSIBLE FOR
THE HIGH TO MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER THAT IS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PANHANDLE. SHOWERS ARE STILL AROUND AS WELL
BUT THEY ARE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN. SOME OF THESE WERE FALLING AS
SNOW THIS MORNING ACROSS THE NORTH WITH LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION, BUT MOST HAVE CHANGED BACK TO RAIN AT THE MOMENT.
MEANWHILE THE HIGH THAT HAS BEEN BUILDING IN THE YUKON HAS
BROUGHT STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS TO DISENCHANTMENT BAY, THE PASSES
EAST OF YAKUTAT, LYNN CANAL, AND WHITE PASS. LYNN CANAL HAS BEEN
ESPECIALLY STRONG AS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 45 KT HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED AT ELDRED ROCK SINCE LAST NIGHT. SKAGWAY ITSELF HAS NOT
SEEN MUCH WIND SO FAR AS AN INVERSION MAY HAVE KEPT MOST OF THE
WINDS ALOFT OVER THE TOWN. THIS HIGH HAS ALSO BROUGHT COLDER AIR
TO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE AS DEW POINTS IN SOME LOCATIONS HAVE
DROPPED INTO THE TEENS.

CLOUDS AND ANY REMAINING SHOWERS WILL START TO CLEAR OUT TONIGHT
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BUT IT WILL TAKE UNTIL THE LOW IN THE GULF
SLIDES SE BEFORE THE HIGHER CLOUDS GET OUT OF THE AREA. THE LOW IS
ALREADY STARTING ITS SE SLIDE. BY TOMORROW MOST PLACES SHOULD BE
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH THE MOST CLOUDS STILL HANGING AROUND THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AS A VERY WEAK UPPER TROUGH PUSHES THE CLOUDS
OUT.

THE COLD AIR DRAINAGE IN THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TOMORROW WITH NORTHERLY WINDS CONTINUING. HOWEVER, WITH
THE GULF LOW WEAKENING AND SLIDING SE THE WINDS WILL NOT BE AS
STRONG AS THEY ARE TODAY. THE GALE IN NORTHERN LYNN AND THE STRONG
WIND HEADLINE IN SKAGWAY WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING BUT A
WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL NOT SUPPORT IT THROUGH THE REST
OF THE NIGHT. STILL WITH THE CONTINUED COLD AIR DRAINAGE, SMALL
CRAFT WINDS WILL STILL BE PRESENT IN LYNN CANAL THROUGH TOMORROW.
MEANWHILE LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL START DROPPING AS SKIES
CLEAR OUT. LOWS IN MOST PLACES IN THE NORTH WILL BE IN THE 20S AND
HIGHS TOMORROW WILL ONLY GET INTO THE 30S.

SHORT RANGE MODELS WERE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH FEW DIFFERENCES NOTED BETWEEN THEM. DECIDED ON A BLEND OF THE
ECMWF AND THE NAM FOR UPDATES TODAY AS BOTH INITIALIZED RATHER
WELL AND USUALLY DISPLAY BETTER DETAILS ALONG THE MOUNTAIN RANGES
DURING THESE COLD AIR SCENARIOS. FORECAST CONFIDENCES IS ABOVE
AVERAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM...THE INTERIOR HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHWESTERN CANADA
CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON TAKING WITH
ITS COLD POOL OF AIR. THE WEAK TROUGH EXTENDING NORTHWARD ALONG
THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. WHILE THIS IS GOING ON CLEARING
CONDITIONS OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE WILL LAST ONLY A SHORT TIME
WITH CLOUDS STARTING TO SPREAD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. A LONG WAVE TROUGH IS SLOWLY MOVING INTO THE WESTERN
GULF FRIDAY WITH THE SURFACE LOW MOVING TOWARDS THE BRISTOL BAY
REGION. RAIN ASSOCIATED THE SLOW MOVING FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO
SPREAD IN TO THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. THINK
THAT THE RAIN/SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE PANHANDLE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT.

GENERALLY CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST IS ABOVE AVERAGE INTO
SATURDAY AS MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE SHOWING FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH EACH OTHER. HEADED INTO THE NEXT WEEK PART AGREEMENT BETWEEN
THE SOLUTIONS BREAK DOWN. LEANED MORE TOWARD THE HPC SOLUTION
WHICH WAS USING PRIMARY THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN FOR ITS FORECAST
IN THE LATER PERIOD.

THE GUSTY WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE AREA IN THE MARINE
WATERS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE AND THE PERIODS OF SOME FREEZING SPRAY
TAPERING OFF AS WELL WITH AIR TEMPERATURES RISING AND THE WINDS
SUBSIDING.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-022-031-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041.

&&

EAL/BEZENEK