Small Craft Advisory 641, NWS Juneau, AK

665 
FZAK52 PAJK 030206 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
605 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-031400-
400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE SW GULF WILL MOVE NE INTO THE CENTRAL
GULF THROUGH SAT. OUTLOOK. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE OUT OF
THE NORTH PACIFIC TO  THE FAR EAST GULF LATE SUN. 

$$

PKZ041-031400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE.
SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 29
FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-031400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE.
SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO
28 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-031400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
605 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 

UPDATED TONIGHT

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING
TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 22 FT. S SWELL.
RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-031400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
605 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 

UPDATED TONIGHT

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18
FT BUILDING TO 22 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. S
SWELL.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-031400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
605 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 

UPDATED TONIGHT

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT
BUILDING TO 22 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

510 
FZAK52 PAJK 030747 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1147 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-040200-
1147 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE SW GULF WILL MOVE NE INTO THE CENTRAL
GULF THROUGH SAT. OUTLOOK. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE OUT OF
THE NORTH PACIFIC TO  THE FAR EAST GULF LATE SUN. 

$$

PKZ041-040200-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1147 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 29
FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-040200-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1147 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO
28 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-040200-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1147 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 22 FT. S SWELL.
RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-040200-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1147 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.  
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. S
SWELL.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-040200-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1147 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

970 
FZAK52 PAJK 031153
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-040100-
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE SW GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NE INTO
THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SAT. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE OUT OF
THE NORTH PACIFIC TO THE SE GULF SUN AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ041-040100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 29
FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-040100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...E GALE INCREASING TO TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-040100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 18
FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-040100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. S
SWELL.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-040100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

305 
FZAK52 PAJK 032021 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1221 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-040100-
1221 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE SW GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NE INTO
THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SAT. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE OUT OF
THE NORTH PACIFIC TO THE SE GULF SUN AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ041-040100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1221 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 29
FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-040100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1221 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...E GALE INCREASING TO TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-040100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1221 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 18
FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-040100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1221 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. S
SWELL.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-040100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1221 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

189 
FZAK52 PAJK 032332
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-041400-
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL DISSIPATE IN THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT. A
STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC TO THE SE
GULF SUN AFTERNOON...THEN RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS
CENTRAL SOUTHEAST ALASKA SUN NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ041-041400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT
BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT
LATE. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-041400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT LATE. SEAS 23 FT
BUILDING TO 27 FT LATE. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-041400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING
TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO
22 FT LATE. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-041400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT
SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-041400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT
SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SE SWELL.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
329 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012

.SHORT TERM...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN INNER
CHANNELS THROUGH LATE SATURDAY, WITH RAIN SHOWERS ELSEWHERE.
INCREASING RAIN AND WIND ESPECIALLY FOR THE EASTERN GULF AND THE
NORTH GULF COAST  SATURDAY. CHANGES ARE SMALL. CONFIDENCE IS
AVERAGE.

 GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS ON LARGER SCALES AND IN THE GULF. AT 18Z
SAT THE GFS/ECMWF/NAM/EC ALL HAVE THE LOW 300 NM S OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND, WITHIN ABOUT 30 NM OF EACH OTHER. CENTRAL PRESSURES
GFS/NAM 968, EC 966, UKMET 971. EVEN A QUITE LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGH
EXTENDING E FM LOW TO OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE IS A REASONABLE
MATCH. THERE ARE DIFFERENCES, BUT THIS IS NOT A DAY TO PICK A
SINGLE MODEL, AND BLENDING IS TO BE DONE EXCEPT FOR FEATURES THAT
INDIVIDUAL MODELS ARE NOT BEST AT.

.LONG TERM...ON SATURDAY NIGHT THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL CONTINUE TO FILL AND DRIFT TO THE NORTH.
THIS LOW WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE FAR NORTHERN GULF
THIS WEEKEND AND REMAIN THERE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SEPARATE
RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN PACIFIC
WILL LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND REACH THE SOUTHEAST GULF SUNDAY
EVENING. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE AIDED BY BEING
LOCATED IN THE LEFT EXIT AND RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A 120 KT
SPLIT UPPER LEVEL JET. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO
AROUND 970MB BEFORE PUSHING INLAND. THE FORECASTED TRACK AT THIS
MOMENT TAKES THE LOW OVER FAR SOUTHERN BARANOF ISLAND
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE AND INTO BRITISH
COLUMBIA WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY THE EC...UKMET...AND NAM. WITH THIS
TRACK...AM EXPECTING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS FOR THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF ZONE 26. IF THE STRENGTH AND
TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM VERIFY...WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY REACH UP THE
HIGH WIND CRITERIA OF 60 MPH. THE OUTSIDE WATERS AND CLARENCE
STRAIT WILL EXPERIENCE STORM FORCE WINDS SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY.
A MAJORITY OF THE REST OF THE INNER CHANNELS ARE EXPECTED TO
EXPERIENCE GALE FORCE WINDS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED THE GFS TRACKS THE SYSTEM FARTHER TO THE NORTHWEST WHICH
WOULD EXPAND THE HIGH WIND THREAT TO ALSO INCLUDE MUCH OF CENTRAL
PANHANDLE BUT IS BEING CONSIDERED AN OUTLIER AT THIS TIME. HAVE
ISSUED AN SPS TO HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL STRONG WINDS WITH THIS
SYSTEM.

 THE REMNANT PARENT LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN AND BEGIN TO DRIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST TUESDAY...REACHING THE
SOUTHEAST GULF LATER WEDNESDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...A STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE INTERIOR AND YUKON WILL BEGIN TO BUILD
SOUTHWARD INTO THE PANHANDLE. THIS WILL CREATE A TIGHTENING
NORTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH OUTFLOW WINDS INCREASING LATE
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. WITH THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
AND HIGH BUILDING INTO THE AREA PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE
TO GET ABOVE FREEZING OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE THE LATTER
PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE CAN EXPECT HIGHS
NEAR 40 AND LOWS NEAR FREEZING.

 BLENDED IN THE 12Z EC WITH THE INHERITED GRIDS WHICH PROVIDED A
GOOD REPRESENTATION OF THE SUNDAY STORM FORCE LOW. THE LATTER
PERIODS TRANSITIONED TO HPC WHICH WAS HEAVILY DOMINATED BY THE
EC. FORECASTER CONFIDENCE REMAINS AVERAGE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-042-043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-031-033>036-041-053.

&&

JBT/TPS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
349 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012

AKZ026>029-031300-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
349 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY...

A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING VERY STRONG WINDS TO A LARGE PORTION OF
THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE MIDDAY SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY. AT THIS
TIME THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR SOUTHERN BARANOF
ISLAND AND QUICKLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST INTO BRITISH
COLUMBIA LATE MONDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS COULD GUST TO 60 MPH OR MORE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF KUIU
AND KUPREANOF ISLANDS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH A
SECOND BURST OF WINDS OVERNIGHT SUNDAY. VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE SURROUNDING MARINE AREAS WITH LINCOLN
ROCK LIKELY REACHING STORM FORCE.

THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SYSTEM IS STILL UNCERTAIN AND WILL
DETERMINE EXACTLY WHICH AREAS SEE THE STRONGEST WINDS. IF THE
SYSTEM TRACKS FARTHER NORTH THAN EXPECTED THE STRONGER WINDS WILL
NEED TO BE EXPANDED TO COVER MORE OF THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE.