Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 628, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 29, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 29, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 31, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
622 FZAK52 PAJK 291135 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-300100- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL SLOWLY DRIFT S INTO B.C. THROUGH TUE MORNING. A LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NW GULF MON EVENING THEN MOVE TO THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF BY LATE MON NIGHT...THEN REMAIN THERE TUE. $$ PKZ041-300100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ042-300100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ043-300100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ051-300100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...NEAR SHORE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. OFFSHORE...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN. .TUE...NEAR SHORE...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OFFSHORE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ052-300100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...NEAR SHORE...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. OFFSHORE...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN. .TUE...NEAR SHORE...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OFFSHORE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
603 FZAK52 PAJK 292330 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-301400- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW WILL FORM MONDAY EVENING SOUTH OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND STRENGTHEN AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH TUESDAY. THE LOW WILL PERSIST IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA INTO WEDNESDAY. $$ PKZ041-301400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 5 FT. W SWELL. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-301400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. W SWELL. .THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-301400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN WITH SNOW LATE. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ051-301400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NEAR SHORE...SE INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. OFFSHORE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN. .TUE...NEAR SHORE...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. OFFSHORE...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ052-301400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NEAR SHORE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. OFFSHORE...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN. .TUE...NEAR SHORE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. OFFSHORE...SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$
230 FZAK52 PAJK 301132 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-310100- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW S OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY E TO THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF TUESDAY. THE LOW WILL THEN DRIFT SW AND WEAKEN WEDNESDAY. $$ PKZ041-310100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL LATE. .WED...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ042-310100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .WED NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 5 FT. W SWELL. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ043-310100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. $$ PKZ051-310100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...ALONG THE OUTER COAST...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .WED...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ052-310100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...ALONG THE OUTER COAST...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$
845 FZAK52 PAJK 302327 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-311400- 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 996 MB LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF TUE NIGHT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT SW AND WEAKEN TO 1002 MB NEAR KODIAK BY WED EVENING THEN DISSIPATE THROUGH EARLY THU MORNING. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE N PACIFIC WILL MOVE NE AND ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF ON THU NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-311400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ042-311400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .WED NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-311400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ051-311400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ052-311400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
551 FZAK52 PAJK 311159 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 31 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-010100- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 31 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 995 MB LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WED MORNING WILL SLOWLY DRIFT SW AND WEAKEN TO 1002 MB NEAR KODIAK BY WED EVENING THEN DISSIPATE THROUGH EARLY THU MORNING. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE N PACIFIC WILL MOVE NE AND ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF ON THU NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-010100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 31 2012 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING LATE. W SWELL. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ042-010100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 31 2012 .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING LATE. W SWELL. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-010100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 31 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .THU...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-010100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 31 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ052-010100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 31 2012 .TODAY...NEAR SHORE...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 28, 4:19 PM AKDT, 11 hours 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 28, 4:19 PM AKDT, 11 hours 41 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
419 PM AKDT SUN OCT 28 2012
.SHORT TERM...AFTERNOON SATELLITE LOOP REVEALS A WEAK LOW
DEVELOPS IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF...JUST OFF YAKUTAT BAY. HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON SLOWLY DRIFTS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE YUKON
AND BRITISH COLUMBIA BORDER. ANOTHER DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR
SOUTHEASTERN GULF SLOWLY MOVES NORTHEASTWARD HEADING TO HAIDA
GWAII. OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES WITH SMALL CRAFT WINDS PREVAIL
OVER NORTHERN LYNN CANAL AND NEAR SHORE OF THE CENTRAL OUTSIDE
WATERS. GUSTY OUTFLOW CONTINUES NEAR INTERIOR PASSES. SOME MID
CLOUDS INCREASE ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOST AREA AS THE HIGH OVER
THE YUKON SLIDES SOUTHWARD. THE LOW HEADING TOWARDS HAIDA GWAII
PUSHES MID TO HIGH CLOUDS OVER DIXON ENTRANCE AND SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE AREAS.
MODELS REMAIN FAIRLY PERSISTENT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
YUKON CONTINUES TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA
THROUGH LATE MONDAY. THE WEAK LOW OVER HAIDA GWAII TONIGHT WILL
FURTHER WEAKEN AND DRIFT EASTWARD INTO CANADA BY MONDAY NIGHT.
REFRESHED THE INHERITED FORECAST PACKAGE WITH THE 12Z RUN NAM FOR
ITS BEST INITIALIZATION. AFTERNOON OBSERVATIONS HINT A
DEVELOPMENT OF LOW PRESSURE OVER KENAI PENINSULA. AS THIS LOW
DEVELOPS...THE WEAK LOW ROTATING IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF WILL
SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTH AND DISSIPATE EARLY THIS EVENING. AN UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SHARPEN OVER SOUTHEAST
ALASKA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING THEN MOVES TO THE EAST AWAY FROM
THE AREA AS A WEAK UPPER RIDGE MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN AREAS.
THE SHARPENING UPPER TROUGH WILL ENHANCE THE LOW OVER HAIDA
GWAII A LITTLE TONIGHT AND BRING A CHANCE POP OF RAIN AND SNOW.
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AND THE
ALASKAN PANHANDLE WILL ENTER A TRANSITION PERIOD FROM OFFSHORE
FLOW TO ONSHORE FLOW. THE TRANSITION WILL BEGIN LATE MONDAY
MORNING FROM THE NORTHWEST AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE. CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER
YAKUTAT AREA WITH A CHANCE SNOW BEGINS WEST OF ICY BAY IN THE
AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT WINDS OVER THE OUTSIDE WATERS WILL EAST
DOWN IN THE MORNING AND THE WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
INNER CHANNELS WILL DIMINISH TO BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. ROUGH SMALL CRAFT SEAS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
CENTRAL OUTER WATERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOWEVER.
.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT'S DEVELOPMENT OF THE NORTHERN GULF OF
ALASKA LOW IS ON SCHEDULE. GFS HAS BACKED OFF THE STRENGTH OF IT
SOMEWHAT...FALLING BETTER IN LINE WITH NAM AND ECMWF. STILL
DISCOUNTED ECMWF BECAUSE IT SHEARS APART FASTER ON WEDNESDAY.
YAKUTAT SHOULD RECEIVE ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW MONDAY NIGHT
WITH POSSIBLY ONE OR TWO MORE TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE IT CHANGES TO
RAIN. THIS IS BELIEVABLE DUE TO THE COLD AIR COMING SOUTHEAST FROM
THE BERING STRAIT INTERACTING WITH THE WARMER WATERS OF THE GULF...
SO IT SHOULD BE A CASE OF QUICK CYCLOGENESIS. THE PRECIPITATION
SPREADS EASTWARD TUESDAY AS THE MOIST ONSHORE FLOW OVERRUNS THE
ARCTIC AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE. WET BULB
TEMPERATURES WILL BE LOW SO THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
INCHES IN NORTHERN LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY WHERE COLD AIR HAS A
TENDENCY TO SCOUR OUT LAST. JUNEAU ALSO LOOKS A STRONG CANDIDATE TO
SEE ITS FIRST ACCUMULATION OF THE SEASON.
WINDS FOR THIS SYSTEM ARE ALSO ON SCHEDULE TO DEVELOP WITH SMALL
CRAFT SOUTHEASTERLIES SPREADING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE OUTSIDE
WATERS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHILE SOLID WESTERLIES ARISE
OFFSHORE. DUE TO THE ORIENTATION OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BECOMING
PARALLEL TO MANY OF THE NORTHERN INSIDE CHANNELS...DECIDED TO
FLIP DIRECTIONS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY TO SOUTH IN SOME KEY AREAS.
MASSIVE LONG WAVE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWEST FROM MAINLAND ALASKA
WILL DIG DEEPER MIDWEEK TO SPAWN A NEW LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC
WHICH WILL ARRIVE IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF THURSDAY. THE NEW LOW WILL
QUICKLY DEPRIVE THE NORTHERN GULF LOW OF ENERGY AND THE BIG STORY
FOR SOUTHEAST WILL BE WARMING TEMPERATURES AND RAIN FOR LATE IN
THE WORK WEEK SPREADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
GFS/NAM MIX WAS USED FOR NEAR SHORT-TERM WITH GFS BLENDING INTO
SUN 00Z HPC FOR EXTENDED. CONFIDENCE IN LONG TERM FORECAST
AVERAGE.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-022-031-035-042-043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ051.
&&
AHN/JWAThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 days | |
| Oct 28, 9:45 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 6 hr | |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Oct 29, 4:25 AM AKDT | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Oct 29, 3:36 PM AKDT | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 39 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.