Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 593, NWS Juneau, AK

October 15, 2012

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 15, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 28 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 15, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Oct 16, 2012, 7:33 PM AKDT
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

643 
FZAK51 PAJK 152332
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-161400-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL SLOWLY DRIFT NE TO THE NORTHERN
GULF THROUGH TUE. A GALE FORCE LOW OVER SOUTHERN HAIDA GWAII
WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE CENTRAL BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST MON
EVENING. 

$$

PKZ011-161400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN
SHOWERS LATE. 
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-161400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN IN THE EVENING.
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-161400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING...
THEN SHOWERS LATE. 
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-161400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN
SHOWERS LATE. 
.TUE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-161400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 8 FT. SW
SWELL LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-161400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN
SHOWERS LATE. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-161400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN
SHOWERS LATE. 
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-161400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS
BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING
TO 8 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-161400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN
THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-161400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-161400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT EARLY...THEN BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE
EVENING...THEN BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT
7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS LATE.
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
7 follow-up statements
016 
FZAK51 PAJK 160635 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-170045-
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL SLOWLY DRIFT NE TO THE NORTHERN
GULF THROUGH TUE. A GALE FORCE LOW OVER SOUTHERN HAIDA GWAII
WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE CENTRAL BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST MON
EVENING. 

$$

PKZ011-170045-
GLACIER BAY-
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-170045-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-170045-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-170045-
ICY STRAIT-
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-170045-
CROSS SOUND-
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 8 FT. SW
SWELL LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-170045-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-170045-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-170045-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-170045-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-170045-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT LATE. SEAS
3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-170045-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1035 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT
7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS LATE.
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
460 
FZAK51 PAJK 161152
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-170100-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 980 MB LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF TUE MORNING WILL DRIFT TO NEAR
KENAI PENINSULA TUE NIGHT AND WEAKEN TO 990 MB. THE LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE BACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH
WED. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SE AK TUE
NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SE
GULF WED MORNING...THEN INTERACT WITH THE LOW IN THE NORTHERN
GULF AND PUSH THE RIDGE OVER SE AK INTO CANADA THROUGH WED
NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-170100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-170100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING AND THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AND DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-170100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-170100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-170100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-170100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-170100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AND BECOMING N IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-170100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG
IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-170100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-170100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-170100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING NW AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
LATE. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
855 
FZAK51 PAJK 161700 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-171100-
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 980 MB LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF TUE MORNING WILL DRIFT TO NEAR
KENAI PENINSULA TUE NIGHT AND WEAKEN TO 990 MB. THE LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE BACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH
WED. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SE AK TUE
NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SE
GULF WED MORNING...THEN INTERACT WITH THE LOW IN THE NORTHERN
GULF AND PUSH THE RIDGE OVER SE AK INTO CANADA THROUGH WED
NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-171100-
GLACIER BAY-
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-171100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING AND THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AND DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-171100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-171100-
ICY STRAIT-
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-171100-
CROSS SOUND-
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-171100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-171100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AND BECOMING N IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-171100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-171100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-171100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-171100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
900 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING NW AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
LATE. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$
214 
FZAK51 PAJK 161749 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-171200-
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 980 MB LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF TUE MORNING WILL DRIFT TO NEAR
KENAI PENINSULA TUE NIGHT AND WEAKEN TO 990 MB. THE LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE BACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH
WED. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SE AK TUE
NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SE
GULF WED MORNING...THEN INTERACT WITH THE LOW IN THE NORTHERN
GULF AND PUSH THE RIDGE OVER SE AK INTO CANADA THROUGH WED
NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-171200-
GLACIER BAY-
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-171200-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AND DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-171200-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-171200-
ICY STRAIT-
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

UPDATED

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-171200-
CROSS SOUND-
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-171200-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

UPDATED

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-171200-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AND BECOMING N IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-171200-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-171200-
FREDERICK SOUND-
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-171200-
SUMNER STRAIT-
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-171200-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
947 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING NW AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
LATE. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$
968 
FZAK51 PAJK 161900 AAC
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-171300-
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 980 MB LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF TUE MORNING WILL DRIFT TO NEAR
KENAI PENINSULA TUE NIGHT AND WEAKEN TO 990 MB. THE LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE BACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH
WED. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SE AK TUE
NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SE
GULF WED MORNING...THEN INTERACT WITH THE LOW IN THE NORTHERN
GULF AND PUSH THE RIDGE OVER SE AK INTO CANADA THROUGH WED
NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-171300-
GLACIER BAY-
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-171300-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AND DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-171300-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-171300-
ICY STRAIT-
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-171300-
CROSS SOUND-
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-171300-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-171300-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AND BECOMING N IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-171300-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-171300-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

UPDATED

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-171300-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-171300-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1100 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING NW AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
LATE. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$
739 
FZAK51 PAJK 162356
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-171400-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 988 MB LOW NEAR THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE
SE AND WEAKEN TO 998 MB BY WED NIGHT. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SE AK TUE NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN
THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE TO JUST W OF HAIDA GWAII WED
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WED EVENING
AND INTO CANADA. A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE INNER CHANNELS WED
NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-171400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-171400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-171400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-171400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. HIGHEST WINDS WESTERN HALF. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-171400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL
LATE.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-171400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING.
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-171400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-171400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-171400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-171400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-171400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
595 
FZAK51 PAJK 170333 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-171500-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 988 MB LOW NEAR THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE
SE AND WEAKEN TO 998 MB BY WED NIGHT. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SE AK TUE NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN
THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE TO JUST W OF HAIDA GWAII WED
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WED EVENING
AND INTO CANADA. A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE INNER CHANNELS WED
NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-171500-
GLACIER BAY-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-171500-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-171500-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-171500-
ICY STRAIT-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. HIGHEST WINDS WESTERN HALF. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-171500-
CROSS SOUND-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
9 FT. SW SWELL LATE.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-171500-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING.
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-171500-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-171500-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-171500-
FREDERICK SOUND-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-171500-
SUMNER STRAIT-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-171500-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 15, 2:10 PM AKDT, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 2:10 PM AKDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
210 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

.SHORT TERM...A LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL DRIFT NNE TO THE
NORTHERN GULF BY TUE AFTERNOON. A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHERN
HAIDA GWAII WILL MOVE NE AND INLAND ALONG THE CENTRAL BC COAST
THIS EVENING. A TROF OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE NE ACROSS
THE AREA TONIGHT. ENDED UP USING A BLEND OF THE 00Z AND 12Z ECMWF
FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...WITH SOME ADJUSTMENTS FOR LOCAL
EFFECTS.

 MAIN FORECAST ISSUES WILL BE PRECIP POTENTIAL...CHANCES FOR ANY
TSTMS...AND WINDS. RIGHT NOW...A FAIRLY LARGE AREA OF RAIN IS
OVER MUCH OF THE MAIN PANHANDLE AREA AHEAD OF THE TROF OVER THE
EASTERN GULF. THIS RAIN AREA WILL SHIFT NE AS THE TROF MOVES
ONSHORE TONIGHT...WITH THE LAST PART OF THIS RAIN AREA OUT OF THE
FAR EASTERN AREAS BY LATE TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE A SMALL BREAK IN
THE PRECIP UNTIL SHOWERS MOVE IN FROM THE SW LATE TONIGHT AND TUE
MORNING. GIVEN ONSHORE FLOW...SEVERAL VORT LOBES...AND FAIRLY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS...EXPECT SHOWERS OVER MOST OF THE AREA TUE.
EXCEPTION TO THE HIGH POPS FOR TUE IS THE FAR NORTHERN INNER
CHANNELS WHERE THE MOUNTAINS SHOULD INTERCEPT MOST OF THE SHOWERS
BEFORE GETTING THERE SO AM KEEPING THE POPS LOWER IN THE
PAHN/PAGY AREAS. LOOKS LIKE ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER
LIFTING AHEAD OF A COUPLE OF STRONG VORT LOBES FOR ISOLATED TSTMS
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT...SO WILL INCLUDE THOSE FOR THAT
AREA.

 AS FOR WINDS...RIGHT NOW STRONGEST WINDS ARE OVER THE SOUTHERN
AREA. AM EXPECTING THOSE TO DECREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
LOW TO THE SOUTH TURNS AND WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT THERE.
ONCE LOW MOVES INLAND THIS EVENING WINDS SHOULD FLIP AROUND TO NW
AND PICK UP AGAIN...BUT THEY WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
OVER THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS. THEN WINDS SHOULD COME BACK TO
SE TUE MORNING OVER THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS AND SCA LEVEL
WINDS ARE LIKELY BY TUE AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...THERE WILL BE SCA
LEVEL E WINDS OVER THE FAR N GULF TONIGHT INTO TUE MORNING...THEN
WIND SHOULD SHIFT TO S-SW WITH STRONGER WINDS FURTHER OFFSHORE. A
LARGER AREA OF SCA TO GALE FORCE W-SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
SOUTHERN GULF TONIGHT THEN REACH THE CENTRAL INTO MOST OF THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN GULF TUE IN THE STRONG COLD ADVECTION S OF
THE GULF LOW. THIS WILL KICK UP SOME FAIRLY LARGE SEAS AS
WELL...WITH 20+ FT SEAS LIKELY OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF LATER
TONIGHT AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF TUE.

 &&

 .LONG TERM...MODEL AGREEMENT HAS GOTTEN BETTER FOR THE MID WEEK
LOW OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THEY ARE NOW CONVERGING ON A TRACK
THAT TAKES THE LOW THROUGH NORTHERN HAIDA GWAII OR DIXON ENTRANCE
WED EVENING. THERE IS STILL SOME SPREAD ON STRENGTH HOWEVER.
MODELS RANGE FROM A 990 MB LOW IN THE ECMWF TO A 1001 MB LOW IN
THE UK AND GEM. DECIDED ON A BLEND SOME WHERE IN THE MIDDLE WITH
A 995 MB LOW COMING IN NEAR DIXON ENTRANCE WED EVENING. AS FAR AS
WHAT THE WEATHER WILL BE DOING, WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE
WILL BE INCREASING AS EARLY AS WED MORNING AS A TROUGH OUT AHEAD
OF THE LOW PASSES THROUGH THE PANHANDLE. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT
STRONG WIND HEADLINES FOR THE SOUTHERN PUBLIC ZONES AND A GALE
WARNING FOR CLARENCE STRAIT MAY BE NEEDED WED INTO WED NIGHT AS
THIS LOW PULLS THROUGH. WIND WARNINGS SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED AS
850 MB WINDS ONLY GET TO 50 KT OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THIS
FEATURE WILL ALSO BRING A BAND OF MORE FREQUENT PERIODS OF RAIN
TO THE MAIN PANHANDLE SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WED BEFORE THE PRECIP
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW GETS TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE LATER IN
THE DAY.

 COMPLICATING THINGS FURTHER IS THE COLD AIR ADVECTION COMING IN
FROM THE WEST TUES NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT. SOME AREAS FROM ICE
STRAIT NORTHWARD MAY SEE SNOW EARLY WED AND EARLY THURS AS THE
-6C 850 MB TEMPERATURE LINE DROPS AS FAR SOUTH AS SUMNER STRAIT
WED MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD LIGHT AND MOSTLY BE
CONFINED TO NORTH OF THE ICE STRAIT CORRIDOR AS AIR AND GROUND
TEMPS ARE STILL A BIT WARM.

 FOLLOWING THE MID WEEK SYSTEM PRECIP CHANCES START TO DIMINISH
LATE WEEK AS THE UPPER TROUGH STARTS TO SLOWLY DRIFT EAST. THE
WEAK SURFACE REFLECTION OF IT THAT HAS BEEN SITTING IN THE
NORTHERN GULF FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL SLOW DRIFT TO THE SE
WITH IT. AS IT DOES SO THE SW ONSHORE FLOW WILL DIMINISH AND
THINGS START TO DRY OUT AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND AS THE RETREATING
LOW TURNS INTO AN INVERTED TROUGH OVER THE AREA. ADDING TO THE
OFFSHORE FLOW THAT THIS PRODUCES IS A DEVELOPING COLD STRONG HIGH
IN THE ALASKA INTERIOR THAT WILL BE PUSHING INTO THE YUKON EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

 OVERALL LONG RANGE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
PERIOD. DECIDED ON A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND THE GFS WITH HPC
TAKING OVER IN THE FAR EXTENDED. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT
AVERAGE.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ041-043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-022-036-042-051-052.

&&

RWT/EAL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 15, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Oct 16, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK5 hr
Oct 16, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK34 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.