Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 327, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 15, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 15, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 16, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
560 FZAK52 PAJK 152328 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-161400- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL SLOWLY DRIFT NE TO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TUE. A GALE FORCE LOW OVER SOUTHERN HAIDA GWAII WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE CENTRAL BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST MON EVENING. $$ PKZ041-161400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT BY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT LATE. W SWELL. SHOWERS LATE. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ042-161400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT BY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT LATE. W SWELL LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ043-161400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE EVENING. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ051-161400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL LATE. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN WITH SNOW. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ052-161400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N OF 59 N...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. S OF 59 N...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...NEAR SHORE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. OFFSHORE...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
340 FZAK52 PAJK 160621 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1021 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-161500- 1021 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL SLOWLY DRIFT NE TO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TUE. A GALE FORCE LOW OVER SOUTHERN HAIDA GWAII WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE CENTRAL BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST MON EVENING. $$ PKZ041-161500- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1021 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT BY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT LATE. W SWELL. SHOWERS LATE. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ042-161500- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1021 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND BECOMING 30 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT BY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT LATE. W SWELL LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ043-161500- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1021 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ051-161500- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1021 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL LATE. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN WITH SNOW. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ052-161500- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1021 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N OF 59 N...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. S OF 59 N...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...NEAR SHORE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. OFFSHORE...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
759 FZAK52 PAJK 161144 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-170100- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 980 MB LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF TUE MORNING WILL DRIFT TO NEAR KENAI PENINSULA TUE NIGHT AND WEAKEN TO 990 MB. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE BACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH WED. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SE AK TUE NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SE GULF WED MORNING...THEN INTERACT WITH THE LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF AND PUSH THE RIDGE OVER SE AK INTO CANADA THROUGH WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-170100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING... .TODAY...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ042-170100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ043-170100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ051-170100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ052-170100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
290 FZAK52 PAJK 161655 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 853 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-171100- 853 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 980 MB LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF TUE MORNING WILL DRIFT TO NEAR KENAI PENINSULA TUE NIGHT AND WEAKEN TO 990 MB. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE BACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH WED. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SE AK TUE NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SE GULF WED MORNING...THEN INTERACT WITH THE LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF AND PUSH THE RIDGE OVER SE AK INTO CANADA THROUGH WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-171100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 853 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ042-171100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 853 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ043-171100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 853 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ051-171100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 853 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ052-171100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 853 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
310 FZAK52 PAJK 162359 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-171400- 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 988 MB LOW NEAR THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE SE AND WEAKEN TO 998 MB BY WED NIGHT. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SE AK TUE NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE TO JUST W OF HAIDA GWAII WED AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WED EVENING AND INTO CANADA. A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE INNER CHANNELS WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-171400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS LATE. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ042-171400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .WED...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING THEN DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ043-171400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...W WIND BECOMING 25 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ051-171400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT...THEN BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ052-171400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...E WIND BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 15, 2:10 PM AKDT, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 2:10 PM AKDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
210 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012
.SHORT TERM...A LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL DRIFT NNE TO THE
NORTHERN GULF BY TUE AFTERNOON. A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHERN
HAIDA GWAII WILL MOVE NE AND INLAND ALONG THE CENTRAL BC COAST
THIS EVENING. A TROF OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE NE ACROSS
THE AREA TONIGHT. ENDED UP USING A BLEND OF THE 00Z AND 12Z ECMWF
FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...WITH SOME ADJUSTMENTS FOR LOCAL
EFFECTS.
MAIN FORECAST ISSUES WILL BE PRECIP POTENTIAL...CHANCES FOR ANY
TSTMS...AND WINDS. RIGHT NOW...A FAIRLY LARGE AREA OF RAIN IS
OVER MUCH OF THE MAIN PANHANDLE AREA AHEAD OF THE TROF OVER THE
EASTERN GULF. THIS RAIN AREA WILL SHIFT NE AS THE TROF MOVES
ONSHORE TONIGHT...WITH THE LAST PART OF THIS RAIN AREA OUT OF THE
FAR EASTERN AREAS BY LATE TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE A SMALL BREAK IN
THE PRECIP UNTIL SHOWERS MOVE IN FROM THE SW LATE TONIGHT AND TUE
MORNING. GIVEN ONSHORE FLOW...SEVERAL VORT LOBES...AND FAIRLY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS...EXPECT SHOWERS OVER MOST OF THE AREA TUE.
EXCEPTION TO THE HIGH POPS FOR TUE IS THE FAR NORTHERN INNER
CHANNELS WHERE THE MOUNTAINS SHOULD INTERCEPT MOST OF THE SHOWERS
BEFORE GETTING THERE SO AM KEEPING THE POPS LOWER IN THE
PAHN/PAGY AREAS. LOOKS LIKE ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER
LIFTING AHEAD OF A COUPLE OF STRONG VORT LOBES FOR ISOLATED TSTMS
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT...SO WILL INCLUDE THOSE FOR THAT
AREA.
AS FOR WINDS...RIGHT NOW STRONGEST WINDS ARE OVER THE SOUTHERN
AREA. AM EXPECTING THOSE TO DECREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
LOW TO THE SOUTH TURNS AND WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT THERE.
ONCE LOW MOVES INLAND THIS EVENING WINDS SHOULD FLIP AROUND TO NW
AND PICK UP AGAIN...BUT THEY WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
OVER THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS. THEN WINDS SHOULD COME BACK TO
SE TUE MORNING OVER THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS AND SCA LEVEL
WINDS ARE LIKELY BY TUE AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...THERE WILL BE SCA
LEVEL E WINDS OVER THE FAR N GULF TONIGHT INTO TUE MORNING...THEN
WIND SHOULD SHIFT TO S-SW WITH STRONGER WINDS FURTHER OFFSHORE. A
LARGER AREA OF SCA TO GALE FORCE W-SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
SOUTHERN GULF TONIGHT THEN REACH THE CENTRAL INTO MOST OF THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN GULF TUE IN THE STRONG COLD ADVECTION S OF
THE GULF LOW. THIS WILL KICK UP SOME FAIRLY LARGE SEAS AS
WELL...WITH 20+ FT SEAS LIKELY OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF LATER
TONIGHT AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF TUE.
&&
.LONG TERM...MODEL AGREEMENT HAS GOTTEN BETTER FOR THE MID WEEK
LOW OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THEY ARE NOW CONVERGING ON A TRACK
THAT TAKES THE LOW THROUGH NORTHERN HAIDA GWAII OR DIXON ENTRANCE
WED EVENING. THERE IS STILL SOME SPREAD ON STRENGTH HOWEVER.
MODELS RANGE FROM A 990 MB LOW IN THE ECMWF TO A 1001 MB LOW IN
THE UK AND GEM. DECIDED ON A BLEND SOME WHERE IN THE MIDDLE WITH
A 995 MB LOW COMING IN NEAR DIXON ENTRANCE WED EVENING. AS FAR AS
WHAT THE WEATHER WILL BE DOING, WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE
WILL BE INCREASING AS EARLY AS WED MORNING AS A TROUGH OUT AHEAD
OF THE LOW PASSES THROUGH THE PANHANDLE. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT
STRONG WIND HEADLINES FOR THE SOUTHERN PUBLIC ZONES AND A GALE
WARNING FOR CLARENCE STRAIT MAY BE NEEDED WED INTO WED NIGHT AS
THIS LOW PULLS THROUGH. WIND WARNINGS SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED AS
850 MB WINDS ONLY GET TO 50 KT OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THIS
FEATURE WILL ALSO BRING A BAND OF MORE FREQUENT PERIODS OF RAIN
TO THE MAIN PANHANDLE SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WED BEFORE THE PRECIP
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW GETS TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE LATER IN
THE DAY.
COMPLICATING THINGS FURTHER IS THE COLD AIR ADVECTION COMING IN
FROM THE WEST TUES NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT. SOME AREAS FROM ICE
STRAIT NORTHWARD MAY SEE SNOW EARLY WED AND EARLY THURS AS THE
-6C 850 MB TEMPERATURE LINE DROPS AS FAR SOUTH AS SUMNER STRAIT
WED MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD LIGHT AND MOSTLY BE
CONFINED TO NORTH OF THE ICE STRAIT CORRIDOR AS AIR AND GROUND
TEMPS ARE STILL A BIT WARM.
FOLLOWING THE MID WEEK SYSTEM PRECIP CHANCES START TO DIMINISH
LATE WEEK AS THE UPPER TROUGH STARTS TO SLOWLY DRIFT EAST. THE
WEAK SURFACE REFLECTION OF IT THAT HAS BEEN SITTING IN THE
NORTHERN GULF FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL SLOW DRIFT TO THE SE
WITH IT. AS IT DOES SO THE SW ONSHORE FLOW WILL DIMINISH AND
THINGS START TO DRY OUT AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND AS THE RETREATING
LOW TURNS INTO AN INVERTED TROUGH OVER THE AREA. ADDING TO THE
OFFSHORE FLOW THAT THIS PRODUCES IS A DEVELOPING COLD STRONG HIGH
IN THE ALASKA INTERIOR THAT WILL BE PUSHING INTO THE YUKON EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
OVERALL LONG RANGE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
PERIOD. DECIDED ON A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND THE GFS WITH HPC
TAKING OVER IN THE FAR EXTENDED. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT
AVERAGE.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ041-043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-022-036-042-051-052.
&&
RWT/EALThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 28 hr | |
| Oct 16, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 5 hr | |
| Oct 16, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 34 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.