Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 285, NWS Juneau, AK

April 29, 2012

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Apr 29, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
May 1, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

238 
FZAK52 PAJK 292335
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 29 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-301400-
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 29 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 998 MB LOW S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL SLOWLY TRACK E TO THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF THROUGH MON MORNING THEN BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND THE PANHANDLE THROUGH MON. 

$$

PKZ041-301400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 29 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SW
SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-301400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 29 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-301400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 29 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-301400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 29 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-301400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 29 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$
5 follow-up statements
731 
FZAK52 PAJK 301135
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-010100-
400 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 999 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL SLOWLY DRIFT E TO THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF TODAY THEN BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. THE
ASSOCIATED NEARLY STATIONARY WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN GULF
WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-010100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-010100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-010100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. SW
SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-010100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-010100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$
133 
FZAK52 PAJK 301852 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1052 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-011300-
1052 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 999 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EAST TO THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF TODAY THEN BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. THE
ASSOCIATED NEARLY STATIONARY WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN GULF
WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-011300-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1052 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-011300-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1052 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-011300-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1052 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-011300-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1052 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-011300-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1052 AM AKDT MON APR 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$
910 
FZAK52 PAJK 302330
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-011400-
400 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 1000 MB LOW IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WEAKEN THROUGH WED. THE ASSOCIATED NEARLY
STATIONARY WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-011400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING 20 KT THEN DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9
FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-011400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-011400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-011400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-011400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
SW SWELL. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$
097 
FZAK52 PAJK 010224 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
624 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-012030-
624 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 1000 MB LOW IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WEAKEN THROUGH WED. THE ASSOCIATED NEARLY
STATIONARY WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-012030-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
624 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 8 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-012030-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
624 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TUESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-012030-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
624 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TUESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-012030-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
624 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-012030-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
624 PM AKDT MON APR 30 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$
437 
FZAK52 PAJK 011118
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 1 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-020100-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 1 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 1001 MB LOW IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TODAY. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT OVER
THE PANHANDLE WILL MOVE EAST INTO CANADA TODAY. A SECOND LOW
NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THURSDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-020100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 1 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW. SEAS 9 FT. 
SW SWELL.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-020100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 1 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING S. SEAS 8 FT. SW
SWELL. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-020100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 1 2012 

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING S. SEAS 7 FT. SW
SWELL.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-020100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 1 2012 

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SW SWELL.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-020100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 1 2012 

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Apr 29, 3:56 PM AKDT, 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 3:56 PM AKDT, 4 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
356 PM AKDT SUN APR 29 2012

.SHORT TERM...EARLY AFTERNOON SATELLITE LOOP REVEALS A 996 MB
LOW JUST SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF. THE ASSOCIATED OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPPING
AROUND THE LOW CENTER AND STRETCHING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE EASTERN
GULF PUSHES WELL ORGANIZED RAIN BANDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND
SOUTHEAST ALASKA WITH MIN GALE FORCE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS UP TO
15 FEET ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS AND SOLID SMALL CRAFT WINDS OVER
THE WESTERN INNER CHANNELS AND OCEAN ENTRANCES...AS WELL AS
ACROSS NORTHERN LYNN CANAL. AHEAD AND ALONG THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 30 MPH PREVAIL ALONG THE
PANHANDLE COAST...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE AREAS.

MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW SOUTH OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND SLOWLY TRACKS EAST TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. THE LOW WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY THERE
THROUGH LATE MONDAY. THE ASSOCIATED OCCLUDED FRONT WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND THE PANHANDLE THROUGH MONDAY
WITH SOMEWHAT DECREASING POPS OVER THE SOUTHERN AND NORTHERN MOST
AREAS. REFRESHED THE INHERITED FORECAST PACKAGE WITH THE NAM12 FOR
A BETTER DETAILING OF THE LOW HANGING OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF.

THE SUPPORTING UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK WILL WEAKEN THIS EVENING
AND SHIFT FARTHER SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT AND THE MEAN UPPER TROUGH
SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST. AS A RESULT...THE LOW MOVING INTO THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF WILL SLIGHTLY WEAKEN AND SUBSIDE GALES TO SMALL
CRAFT ACROSS THE NORTHERN OUTER WATERS. LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...DIMINISHING LATE.
CENTRAL COAST AND PANHANDLE REGIONS WILL CONTINUE TO RECEIVED
CATEGORICAL POPS THROUGH EARLY MONDAY DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF THE
LOW.

&&

.LONG TERM...MODEL SOLUTIONS HAVE A GENERALLY GOOD IDEA OF THE
FORECAST PATTERN THROUGH EARLY PORTION OF THE WEEK. AT THE SURFACE
A LOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA WEAKENING
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A BAROCLINIC LEAF FORMATION OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL PACIFIC WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE EARLY PORTION OF THE
WEEK AS IT HEADS TOWARDS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST FOR THURSDAY
MORNING. A NEW LOW/TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BE DROPPING SOUTH ACROSS
THE BERING INTO THE NORTHWEST GULF LATE IN THE WEEK TO EARLY
WEEKEND ON THE OPERATIONAL MODELS.

OVERALL THE GENERAL TROUGH ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE GULF WITH
SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE MAIN FLOW CHANNELS/JET STREAMS FROM
THE ALEUTIANS TO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC/SOUTHERN GULF INTO THE WEST
COAST OF THE CONUS. THEREFORE SHOULD NOT EXPECT ANY SIGNIFICANT
PATTERN ALTERATIONS THROUGH THE WEEK. LOWS OVERALL IN THE MID TO
UPPER 30S AND HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE TO ABOUT MID WEEK WITH IT
LOWERING AS IT HEADS TO THE WEEKEND. ONLY LOWERING AS HPC GUIDANCE
WAS HEDGED WITH LOWER CONFIDENCE AFTER SEEING SOME FRESHER
INFORMATION.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ043-051-053.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-021-022-033-035-041-042-052.

&&

AHN/BEZENEK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 29, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK6 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.