Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 506, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 29, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 29, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 31, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
150 FZAK52 PAJK 300026 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 29 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-301400- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 29 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 956 MB STORM FORCE LOW IN THE SW GULF WILL MOVE N TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND BY SUN. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE PANHANDLE LATE SAT NIGHT AND STALL ALONG THE OUTER COAST SUN. A WEAK WAVE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND MOVE NORTH ALONG THE OUTER COAST SUN NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-301400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 29 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ042-301400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 29 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ043-301400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 29 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ051-301400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 29 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ052-301400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 29 2012 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT LATE. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
184 FZAK52 PAJK 301244 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-310100- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A GALE FORCE NEAR KODIAK ISLAND WILL TRACK NORTH TOWARDS THE BERING SEA BY SUN AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL SLOWLY MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT. A WEAK WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG THE OUTER COAST SUN EVENING THEN DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT. OUTLOOK. ANOTHER LOW WILL APPROACH KODIAK ISLAND FROM THE SOUTH ON TUE. $$ PKZ041-310100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-310100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ043-310100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT LATE. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ051-310100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ052-310100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$
964 FZAK52 PAJK 301530 CCA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 629 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-310400- 629 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW NEAR KODIAK ISLAND WILL TRACK NORTH TOWARDS THE BERING SEA BY SUN AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL SLOWLY MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT. A WEAK WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG THE OUTER COAST SUN EVENING THEN DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT. OUTLOOK. ANOTHER LOW WILL APPROACH KODIAK ISLAND FROM THE SOUTH ON TUE. $$ PKZ041-310400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 629 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-310400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 629 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ043-310400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 629 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT LATE. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ051-310400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 629 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ052-310400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 629 AM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$
054 FZAK52 PAJK 310028 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-311400- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A WEAK LOW IN THE SE GULF SUN AFTERNOON WILL MOVE N ALONG THE OUTER COAST THROUGH SUN NIGHT THEN DISSIPATE OVER SW YUKON BY MON MORNING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK ON MON AND MOVE EAST BY TUE. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE N PACIFIC WILL ENTER THE WESTERN GULF ON MON THEN APPROACH KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ041-311400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ042-311400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-311400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT LATE. SW SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ051-311400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ052-311400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. S SWELL. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE 35 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$
609 FZAK52 PAJK 311238 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST MON DEC 31 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-010100- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 31 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK THROUGH MON NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE N PACIFIC WILL ENTER THE WESTERN GULF ON MON THEN APPROACH KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH TUE. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE CENTRAL GULF MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-010100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 31 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ042-010100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 31 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-010100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 31 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ051-010100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 31 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ052-010100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 31 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 29, 5:39 AM AKST, 10 hours 21 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 29, 5:39 AM AKST, 10 hours 21 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
539 AM AKST SAT DEC 29 2012
.SHORT TERM...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE EASTERN GULF AS OF
EARLY THIS MORNING IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE COASTAL
MARINE WATERS WEST OF ICY BAY. WIND OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL
STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AND MOST OF TONIGHT AS THE
FIRST FRONT GOES ALOFT AND MOVES INLAND AND A SECOND FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH A FAST MOVING STORM FORCE LOW ENTERS THE EASTERN
GULF. ASSOCIATED LOW WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE WEST, SO THE FRONT
WILL WEAKEN AS IT PUSHES INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND STORM FORCE
WINDS EAST OF ICY BAY WILL DIMINISH PRIOR TO SUNDAY MORNING. WILL
LIKELY SEE WIND GUSTS ALONG THE OUTER COAST TO 35 MPH BUT DID NOT
HAVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO PUT STRONG WIND HEADLINES IN THE
MORNING FORECAST. STORM AND GALE WARNINGS ON THE OUTSIDE TODAY
AND TONIGHT. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR MAINLY THE EAST-WEST
INNER CHANNELS AS WELL AS GLACIER BAY, CLARENCE STRAIT, AND
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT. ALSO HAVE A SMALL CRAFT OUT FOR YAKUTAT
BAY.
WARM SECTOR AIR MASS WILL CAUSE A RISE IN TEMPS ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE TODAY THAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN MANY LOCATIONS
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WITH OTHER LOCATIONS SEEING LITTLE TO NO
DIURNAL VARIABILITY. ADJUSTED DAYTIME HIGHS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
DOWN IN RESPONSE TO A SIGNIFICANT WARM BIAS IN RECENT FORECASTS,
BUT RESULTING SNOW LEVELS STILL SUPPORTING RAIN TONIGHT
EVERYWHERE EXCEPT ALONG THE HAINES AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS, NEAR
HYDER, AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF ZONE 26. NO SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
GREATER THAN ONE INCH IN THE SHORT TERM FORECAST. HIGHEST QPF
VALUES CONCENTRATED OVER CENTRAL ZONE 17 SLIGHTLY WEST OF YAKUTAT
BAY TONIGHT BUT STILL EXPECT TO SEE HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT IN THE
TOWN OF YAKUTAT.
USED ECMWF FOR PRESSURE AND WIND DIRECTION. WIND SPEEDS BIASED
TOWARDS NAM. POP AND QPF BASED ON NAM. TEMPS ADJUSTED USING NAM
AND GFS40. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.
&&
.LONG TERM...ACTIVE LONG RANGE WEATHER PATTERN AS SERIES OF LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVE UP FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC TOWARD THE
ALEUTIANS AND WESTERN GULF WITH ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONTS MOVING
ACROSS THE AK GULF TOWARDS THE PANHANDLE. THIS STABLE PATTERN IS
DUE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE BERING AND RIDGE OVER THE AK
GULF AND PANHANDLE. AS EACH FRONT TRACKS EASTWARD WILL INCREASE
WINDS OVER THE AK GULF TO GALE FORCE AND THE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
KEEP MOST OF THE REGION UNDER WARM AND WET CONDITIONS.
FOR SUNDAY THE STORM FORCE LOW NEAR KODIAK WILL WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST. WINDS IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL DIMINISH
AS THE BARRIER JET WEAKENS WITH THE EXITING LOW. THE ASSOCIATED
FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SHEAR APART AS IT MOVES TO THE EAST. BEFORE
THIS FRONT SHEARS APART THE LONG FETCH OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP HIGH
QPF VALUES THROUGH THE DAY. THE HEAVIER RAINFALL FROM THIS
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER COULD PRODUCE ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
AT HIGHER ELEVATION ALONG THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE HIGHWAYS..BUT AS
OF NOW HAVE KEPT SNOW AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES FOR THESE
AREAS. THERE ARE INDICATIONS OF A SHORT WAVE MOVING UP FROM THE
PACIFIC INTO THE SOUTHERN AK GULF BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON BUT THERE
IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD AMONG THE MODELS REGARDING THIS
FEATURE. PREVIOUS RUNS HAD A CLOSED LOW FORMING BUT NEWER RUNS
NOW INDICATE A MUCH WEAKER SYSTEM OR AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH. MAIN
DIFFERENCES WOULD BE WIND MAGNITUDE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AK GULF
AND PANHANDLE COAST.
BY MONDAY REPEATING THIS PATTERN OF A GALE FORCE LOW MOVING FROM
THE NORTH PACIFIC TOWARD THE ALEUTIANS WITH WEATHER FRONT MOVING
ACROSS THE GULF. SEEING SIMILAR ATMOSPHERIC RIVER MOVING IN
SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE AND A DEVELOPING LOW MOVING INTO THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BY TUESDAY EVENING AS THE MAIN LOW TRACKS
NORTH TOWARDS THE BERING SEA. BY MID WEEK WHILE THERE IS NOT MUCH
CHANGE TO THE PATTERN BUT MODEL SPREAD WITH RESPECT TO SURFACE
DETAILS INCREASES. MAY SEE TEMPERATURES DROPPING SLIGHTLY LATER
IN THE WEEK BUT OVERALL WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW THE REGION WILL
REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING WITH MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION FALLING AS
RAIN.
WHILE MODELS WERE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR SUNDAY FOR THE
DEVELOPING LOW MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF THEY FALL BACK IN
LINE WITH THE NEXT WESTERN GULF SYSTEM BY MONDAY. UPDATED
FORECAST WITH GFS ON SUNDAY THEN TRANSITIONED TO A GFS/ECMWF
BLEND. KEPT THE HPC ENSEMBLE SOLUTION FOR DAY 4 ONWARD DUE TO THE
LARGER MODEL SPREAD. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE FOR THE
GENERAL WARM AND WET SYNOPTIC PATTERN BUT BELOW AVERAGE WITH
SURFACE DETAILS AND SYSTEM TIMING.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ051-052.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ041>043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-021-022-033>036-053.
&&
FRITSCH/PRBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 3:45 PM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 32 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Dec 30, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Dec 30, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.