Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012

Gale Warning 457, NWS Juneau, AK

December 9, 2012

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 9, 2012, 4:50 PM AKST. It was in force for 11 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 9, 2012, 4:50 PM AKST (01:50 UTC)
Expired
Dec 10, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

803 
FZAK51 PAJK 100150 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-102000-
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL KEEP ONSHORE FLOW OVER SOUTHEAST
ALASKA SUN NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA
WILL DEEPEN TO 990 MB 200 NM WEST OF SITKA LATE MON.  

$$

PKZ011-102000-
GLACIER BAY-
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW IN THE EVENING.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-102000-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S WIND 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-102000-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-102000-
ICY STRAIT-
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN
THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW LATE. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-102000-
CROSS SOUND-
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-102000-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
SNOW LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-102000-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-102000-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING THEN DIMINISHING LATE.
SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT
12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-102000-
FREDERICK SOUND-
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-102000-
SUMNER STRAIT-
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-102000-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
450 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$
2 follow-up statements
191 
FZAK51 PAJK 100725 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-101500-
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL KEEP ONSHORE FLOW OVER SOUTHEAST
ALASKA SUN NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA
WILL DEEPEN TO 990 MB 200 NM WEST OF SITKA LATE MON.  

$$

PKZ011-101500-
GLACIER BAY-
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW IN THE EVENING.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-101500-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S WIND 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 


$$

PKZ013-101500-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 


$$

PKZ021-101500-
ICY STRAIT-
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN
THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW LATE. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-101500-
CROSS SOUND-
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-101500-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
SNOW LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-101500-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-101500-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT THEN DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT
9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT
12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-101500-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-101500-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-101500-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
650 
FZAK51 PAJK 101254
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-110100-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA WILL DEEPEN TO
990 MB BEFORE REACHING THE PANHANDLE AT BARANOF ISLAND SUN
NIGHT. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL REMAIN ALONG THE OUTER COAST ON
TUE. A MODERATE FRONT WILL APPROACH THE COAST ON WED.    

$$

PKZ011-110100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
EVENING...THEN SNOW LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-110100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-110100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-110100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN MIXING WITH SNOW LATE. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-110100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-110100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN MIXING WITH SNOW
LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-110100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-110100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-110100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-110100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-110100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 9, 4:12 PM AKST, 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 9, 4:12 PM AKST, 38 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
412 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

.SHORT TERM... AT 2100 UTC SATELLITE AND RADAR SHOWS A LARGE
CONCENTRATION OF CONVECTIVE SHOWERS OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND
SOUTHEAST ALASKA...EXCEPT OVER THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF
SITKA WHERE SHOWERS ARE MORE SCATTERED MOST STATIONS IN THE
PANHANDLE AND NORTHEAST GULF COAST ARE REPORTING ONSHORE
SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND
RAIN...HOWEVER IN THE CHILKAT RIVER VALLEY PERSISTENT NORTHWEST
WINDS HAVE KEPT TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S WITH SNOW. SHOULD SEE THE
WINDS SWITCH IN HAINES OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO
RISE AND SNOW TO MIX WITH RAIN.

 MODELS ARE SIMILAR DIFFERENT IN THE TONIGHT PERIOD ALTHOUGH
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES BEGIN GROW ON MONDAY AS A NEW LOW MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA AND DEEPENS TO
990 MB. PREFER THE ECMWF WHICH IS A BIT SLOWER AND A BIT WEAKER
WITH THE RETURN TO NORTHERLY FLOW LATE MONDAY. EXPECT SHOWERS
WILL DIMINISH OVER NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY BUT STEADY RAIN WILL
BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO THE PANHANDLE MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE
APPROACHING LOW. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALES IN THE OFFSHORE
LATE MONDAY WITH THE LOW.

.LONG TERM...CONFIDENCE IN THE POSITION OF THE NORTHERN GULF LOW
AS IT MOVES EASTWARD INTO THE PANHANDLE HAS NOT BEEN THE BEST FOR
A COUPLE OF DAYS NOW. CONFIDENCE STILL NOT THE BEST...BUT HAVE
OPTED FOR A SHIFT IN THINKING TODAY. THE ECMWF HAS FOLLOWED THE
GFS...THE MODEL OF CHOICE OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...MUCH
BETTER THAN THE NAM. BUT THE ECMWF SEEMS TO HAVE CUT OFF THE
NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE MID WEEK BY NOT SUSTAINING AN INVERTED
TROUGH IN THE NORTHEAST GULF AS THE GFS DOES. SO HAVE DECIDED TO
SWITCH THINGS AROUND AND FOLLOW THE ECMWF'S LOW AS IT DIPS INTO
THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TUESDAY. LIKEWISE...ECMWF PREFERS STRONGER
RIDGING IN THE NORTHEAST GULF TUESDAY NIGHT AND IS MORE AGGRESSIVE
IN THE NEXT FRONTAL PASSAGE AND HENCE NEXT WAVE OF PRECIP INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

THE CHANGE ALSO HAS STRENGTHENED THE LOW TO AT LEAST GALE FORCE
FOR THE SOUTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS MONDAY NIGHT. INSIDE CHANNELS WILL
UNDERGO A FLIP FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT FOR THE
GLACIER BAY...LYNN CANAL AND EVEN STEPHENS PASSAGE AT TIMES.
DIRECTIONAL WORDING WAS DIFFICULT FOR FREDERICK SOUND DUE TO A LOT
OF COMPLEX TERRAIN AND SOME GAP FLOWS.

THE PREVIOUSLY ADVERTISED BREAK IN THE CLOUDS AND THE WEATHER IS
STILL ON TAP FOR YAKUTAT AND THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE TUESDAY INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT BUT IT WILL BE A QUICK ONE...18 HOURS IF WE ARE
LUCKY. TUESDAY WORDED PRECIP IN THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PANHANDLE
AS SHOWERS. HOWEVER...THE PRECIP TUESDAY NIGHT MOVING INTO THE
NORTHEAST GULF IS WORDED AS STRATIFORM.

IN THIS PROGRESSIVE PATTERN...PHASE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MODELS ARE
MORE AND MORE PREVALENT THE MORE IN THE FUTURE YOU GO. ECMWF
TRANSITIONED ACCEPTABLY WITH HPC GUIDANCE FOR EXTENDED. ALL MODELS
ADVERTISING A NEW LOW TO ARRIVE IN THE GULF SOMETIME AROUND
FRIDAY...BUT DIFFER IN POSITION AND INTENSITY. ANOTHER LOW WILL
UNDERCUT THIS LOW SUNDAY. THE PROGRESSIVE WESTERLIES WILL KEEP
POPS HIGH THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

MODEL OF CHOICE WAS ECMWF...BUT BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
FORECAST...WHICH WAS VERY GFS-CENTRIC...SO IN A SENSE HAVE
CUSHIONED THE CHANGES MADE. CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST AVERAGE FOR
MIDRANGE AND IN THE EXTENDED RANGE.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-022-033.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-031-032-034>036-041>043-
     051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ053.

&&

CFD/JWA

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 9, 11:03 AM AKST, 5 hours 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1103 AM AKST SUN DEC 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     HEAVY SNOW       HAINES                  59.24N 135.44W
12/08/2012  M3.8 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            AHNA2 DOWNTOWN HAINES

0400 AM     HEAVY SNOW       SKAGWAY                 59.48N 135.33W
12/09/2012  M4.9 INCH                           AK   PUBLIC

0415 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
12/09/2012  M3.7 INCH                           AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            WSO JUNEAU

0422 AM     HEAVY SNOW       YAKUTAT                 59.54N 139.73W
12/09/2012  M8.0 INCH                           AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            DOWNTOWN YAKUTAT

0422 AM     HEAVY SNOW       YAKUTAT                 59.54N 139.73W
12/09/2012  M7.5 INCH                           AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            WSO YAKUTAT

0600 AM     HEAVY SNOW       PETERSBURG              56.81N 132.96W
12/09/2012  M4.3 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            PETERSBURG AIRPORT

0600 AM     HEAVY SNOW       PETERSBURG              56.81N 132.96W
12/09/2012  M5.0 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            USFS DISPATCH

0700 AM     HEAVY SNOW       40 NW HAINES            59.65N 136.25W
12/09/2012  M5.5 INCH        XXX                XX   CO-OP OBSERVER

            HAINES CUSTOMS

0745 AM     HEAVY SNOW       WHITE PASS              59.62N 135.14W
12/09/2012  M12.0 INCH                          AK   COUNTY OFFICIAL

0800 AM     HEAVY SNOW       HOONAH                  58.11N 135.44W
12/09/2012  M4.4 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

0815 AM     HEAVY SNOW       HAINES                  59.24N 135.44W
12/09/2012  M6.2 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

1015 AM     HEAVY SNOW       DYEA                    59.48N 135.37W
12/09/2012  M5.3 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

1020 AM     HEAVY SNOW       HYDER                   55.91N 130.02W
12/09/2012  M5.8 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

1023 AM     HEAVY SNOW       GUSTAVUS                58.41N 135.80W
12/09/2012  M4.1 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

1024 AM     HEAVY SNOW       PELICAN                 57.95N 136.21W
12/09/2012  M6.2 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

1045 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
12/09/2012  M4.3 INCH                           AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

1055 AM     HEAVY SNOW       WRANGELL                56.47N 132.40W
12/09/2012  M8.0 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

RCL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 9, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK48 hr
Dec 9, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK36 hr
Dec 10, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK36 hr
Dec 10, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2012Every gale warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.