Gale Warning 445, NWS Juneau, AK

Issued

Dec 1, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)

Expired

Dec 1, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST

In force

12 hr

Issued by

NWS Juneau, AK

158 
FZAK51 PAJK 011352
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-020100-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 980 MB LOW SW OF HAIDA GWAII SAT MORNING WILL SLOWLY DRIFT
NORTH TO BE OVER DIXON ENTRANCE BY SUNDAY MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED
WEATHER FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SAT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE YUKON AND WESTERN
BRITISH COLUMBIA.    

$$

PKZ011-020100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-020100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-020100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW
IN THE EVENING. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
SNOW.
.MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-020100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-020100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-020100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT . FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-020100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY LATE.
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-020100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-020100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-020100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-020100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN MIXING WITH SNOW OVER THE NORTHERN AREAS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN MIXING WITH SNOW OVER THE NORTHERN AREAS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 30, 3:30 PM AKST, 12 hours 30 minutes earlier.

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
330 PM AKST FRI NOV 30 2012

.SHORT TERM...OVERALL THE PATTERN HAS NOT ALTER SIGNIFICANTLY.
SAME VERTICALLY STACKED LOW WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHWEST
CANADA. ORIGINALLY THOUGHT TONIGHT FORECAST  ISSUE WAS GOING TO
BE THE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS. STORM FORCE
SUSTAINED OVER MARINE WATERS IN THE PANHANDLE...AND STRONGER
GUSTS AS WELL. REISSUED THE WARNING FOR TAKU WINDS IN THE JUNEAU
AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. INITIAL THINKING IS THAT
IT SHOULD TAPER OFF THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.

 FOR SATURDAY THE ISSUE WAS TO BE WINDS IN THE NORTH WITH SNOW
SPREADING INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL PANHANDLE. SNOW AMOUNTS WAS TO
BE THE CONCERN BUT THOUGHT TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY BUT WITH
FURTHER REVIEW WAS COLDER AIR BEING PULLED SOUTH UNDER THE
SOUTHERLY AIR ALOFT. WILL BE GOING WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME
FREEZING RAIN LATE.

 ADDITIONAL MARINE PRODUCT ISSUE IS THE FREEZING SPRAY AND HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY AFFECTING NORTHERN INNER CHANNEL AREAS SOME OUTER
WATERS NEAR YAKUTAT WITH THE STRONGER OUTFLOW LOCATIONS.

&&

 .LONG TERM...INTERESTING FORECAST UPCOMING FOR THE WEEKEND AS WE
HAVE A SHORT WAVE RIDING UP THE OUTER COAST SAT NIGHT WITH
CONTINUED OUTFLOW WINDS. AREAS ALONG THE PANHANDLE FROM SUMNER
STRAIT NORTHWARD WILL BE UNDER THE GUN FOR SNOW SAT NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY WITH THE SUBSTANTIAL COLD AIR STILL IN PLACE IN THE INNER
CHANNELS. THERE IS NOT A VERY STRONG MOISTURE PLUME ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SHORT WAVE SO MOST OF THE PRECIP WILL BE COMING FROM THE
OVERRUNNING OF THE WARMER AIR OVER THE COLD ARCTIC AIR. THE MAIN
BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE JUST SOUTH OF
JUNEAU EARLY SAT EVENING AND WILL SLOWLY SPREAD OVER ANGOON,
JUNEAU AND HOONAH BY LATE SAT EVENING. HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS
SEEM TO BE IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON THIS BUT THE BAND LOOKS TO BE
RATHER NARROW SO SNOW AMOUNTS MAY TURN OUT TO BE LOWER IN SOME
AREAS DEPENDING ON WHERE THE BAND GOES. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED
TO BE IN EXCESS OF 4 TO 9 INCHES BY MIDDAY SUNDAY AS THE MAIN
BAND SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. AREAS FARTHER WEST AND NORTH
MAY SEE SNOW OUT OF THIS A LITTLE LATER INTO THE DAY ON SUN BUT
DUE TO THE CONTINUED OUTFLOW THE BAND WILL BE WEAKENING ON SUNDAY.

 OUTFLOW WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD AS THE HIGH
IN THE YUKON REMAINS BUT IN A WEAKER STATE THAN IT HAS BEEN.
LACKING THE REINFORCING SHOTS OF COLD AIR THE ONLY THING
SUSTAINING IT IS THE LINGERING COLD AIR THAT IS TRAPPED ON THE
CANADIAN SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS. AS A RESULT THE OUTFLOW WIND WILL
NOT BE A STRONG AS THEY HAVE BEEN. LYNN CANAL SHOULD STILL HAVE
ENOUGH PRESSURE GRADIENT AND SOME COLD AIR FLOWING OVER THE
PASSES TO HAVE MIN GALE FORCE WINDS CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEK WITH
FREEZING SPRAY. OTHER OUTFLOW AREAS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BLOW
BUT AT LOWER MAGNITUDES THAN WHAT HAS BEEN OBSERVED THIS WEEK.

 LOOKING FARTHER OUT MODELS ARE STILL IN FLUX FOR HOW THEY ARE
HANDLING THE VARIOUS SHORTWAVES THAT ARE COMING INTO THE
PANHANDLE FROM THE SOUTH. THE STRONGER WAVE THAT WAS FORECAST FOR
TUES HAS NOW BEEN ABANDON BY MOST OF THE LONG RANGE MODELS. IN
ITS PLACE IS A BROAD WEAKER TROUGH THAT WILL LIFT NORTH OVER THE
PANHANDLE ON TUES INSTEAD. OVERALL GUIDANCE WENT TOWARD THE EC
AND NAM IN THE MID RANGE AND EC/HPC IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT AVERAGE.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ025.
         STRONG WIND THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR AKZ025.
         STRONG WIND UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ022.
         STRONG WIND THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR AKZ017>019-029.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ013.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ012.
         STORM WARNING FOR PKZ012-022.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011-013-021-031-032-035-043-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ033-034-036-041-042-053.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ052.

&&

BEZENEK/EAL

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2012Every gale warning in 2012

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.