Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012

Gale Warning 324, NWS Juneau, AK

October 13, 2012

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 13, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 42 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 13, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Oct 14, 2012, 10:10 PM AKDT
In force
42 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

771 
FZAK52 PAJK 131144
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-140100-
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 978 MB LOW S OF KODIAK WILL WEAKEN THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON THEN
DISSIPATE BY SAT EVENING. A DEVELOPING GALE FORCE LOW IN THE FAR
S CENTRAL GULF ON SAT EVENING WILL MOVE NE INTO THE EASTERN GULF
THROUGH SUN MORNING...THEN QUICKLY DRIFT NW TO THE NORTHERN GULF
BY SUN NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SE
AK THROUGH SUN NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ041-140100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT GALE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 22 FT
BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-140100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-140100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO
18 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-140100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND BECOMING 30 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT GALE LATE. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-140100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$
5 follow-up statements
263 
FZAK52 PAJK 131953 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1153 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-140100-
1153 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 978 MB LOW S OF KODIAK WILL WEAKEN THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON THEN
DISSIPATE BY SAT EVENING. A DEVELOPING GALE FORCE LOW IN THE FAR
S CENTRAL GULF ON SAT EVENING WILL MOVE NE INTO THE EASTERN GULF
THROUGH SUN MORNING...THEN QUICKLY DRIFT NW TO THE NORTHERN GULF
BY SUN NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SE
AK THROUGH SUN NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ041-140100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1153 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT GALE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 22 FT
BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-140100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1153 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-140100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1153 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING
TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-140100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1153 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND BECOMING 30 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT GALE LATE. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-140100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1153 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$
154 
FZAK52 PAJK 132332
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-141400-
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A DEVELOPING GALE FORCE LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE NE INTO
THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH SUN MORNING...THEN QUICKLY DRIFT NW TO
THE NORTHERN GULF BY SUN NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
WILL MOVE ACROSS SE AK SUN AND SUN NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-141400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING
TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT
BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT LATE. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-141400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING
TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS
20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-141400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 35 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING
TO 17 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW GALE TO 30 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-141400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 
14 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN.
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-141400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT.
SE SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN.
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$
421 
FZAK52 PAJK 141144
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-150100-
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 968 MB LOW ENTERING THE EASTERN GULF ON SUN MORNING WILL
QUICKLY DRIFT NW TO THE NORTHERN GULF AND WEAKEN TO 980 MB BY
SUN NIGHT...THEN DISSIPATE THERE THROUGH EARLY MON MORNING. A
LOW NEAR KODIAK ON SUN NIGHT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT E TO THE NORTHERN
GULF THROUGH TUE. 

$$

PKZ041-150100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22
FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT
SUBSIDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-150100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-150100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-150100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-150100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
391 
FZAK52 PAJK 142332
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-151400-
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STRONG GALE FORCE LOW OVER THE SE GULF WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS
CENTRAL SE ALASKA AND WEAKEN SUN EVENING. A DEVELOPING LOW OVER
THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE NE ACROSS SOUTHERN HAIDA GWAII LATE MON
AFTERNOON...THEN INLAND OVER THE CENTRAL BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST
MON NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-151400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT
SUBSIDING TO 17 FT LATE. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN LATE.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN IN THE
EVENING. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-151400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT EARLY IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT
LATE. SW SWELL LATE.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE TO 15 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND BECOMING 25 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING
TO 14 FT LATE. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-151400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN IN THE
EVENING.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-151400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
11 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN IN THE
EVENING. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-151400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING S
LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
10 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN LATE. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$
339 
FZAK52 PAJK 150610
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1010 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-151500-
1010 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STRONG GALE FORCE LOW OVER THE SE GULF WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS
CENTRAL SE ALASKA AND WEAKEN SUN EVENING. A DEVELOPING LOW OVER
THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE NE ACROSS SOUTHERN HAIDA GWAII LATE MON
AFTERNOON...THEN INLAND OVER THE CENTRAL BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST
MON NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-151500-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1010 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS
20 FT. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN LATE.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN IN THE
EVENING. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-151500-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1010 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
17 FT. SW SWELL LATE.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE TO 15 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND BECOMING 25 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING
TO 14 FT LATE. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-151500-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1010 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-151500-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1010 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
11 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN IN THE
EVENING. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-151500-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1010 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 10 FT. S
SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
10 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN LATE. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 12, 3:33 PM AKDT, 12 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 12, 3:33 PM AKDT, 12 hours 27 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
333 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.SHORT TERM...SNOW LEVEL AT 300 - 500 FEET IN THE INNER CHANNELS
NE OF A LINE FROM JUNEAU TO GUSTAVUS. GFS SHOWS SNOW LEVEL THAT
IS A NICE FIT. TROUGH NE ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA TO SITKA  WILL
MOVE N TO NORTH GULF COAST TONIGHT.

 TIMING OF FASTER TROUGH IS HARD TO GIVE A DETERMINISTIC POSITION
TO, BUT DATA HOLE OF SURFACE FEATURES LOWERS CONFIDENCE FOR THE
TRACK OF A FEATURE THIS IMPORTANT TO THE SHORT RANGE FORECAST
PACKAGE. BUT SMOOTHING THE LOCATION DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN
POSITION.

 POST LANDFALL OF TROUGH WILL INCLUDE RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES, AND
FOR THE MARINE WILL INCLUDE BARRIER FLOW ON OUTER COAST.

.LONG TERM...LONG RANGE STARTS WITH A RATHER COMPLEX DEVELOPING
LOW MOVING NNE INTO THE GULF SAT NIGHT. MODELS HAVE BEEN
STRUGGLING HANDLING THE DETAILS WITH THIS SYSTEM BUT A GOOD
CONSENSUS DEVELOPED WITH THE 12Z ECMWF...UKMET AND GEM MODELS ON
IT. THEY SUGGEST ONE LOW WILL PROBABLY MOVE INTO THE FAR SE GULF
LATE SAT NIGHT THEN CURVING ALONG THE OUTER COAST SUN. ANOTHER
LOW CENTER SHOULD TRACK TOWARD THE S-CENTRAL GULF LATE SAT NIGHT
THEN SWING AROUND THE S SIDE OF THE FIRST LOW TOWARD THE CENTRAL
COAST SUN...THEN INLAND SUN NIGHT. MAY SEE ANOTHER LOW MOVE OUT
OF THE WESTERN GULF INTO THE NE GULF MON...ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER
LOW DIGGING SE INTO THE SW GULF THIS WEEKEND. USED THE 12Z ECMWF
FOR THE FORECAST PRESSURES AND WINDS FOR SAT NIGHT INTO MON
NIGHT.

 MAIN CONCERNS FOR THE SAT NIGHT INTO SUN TIME FRAME ARE THE
WINDS. THERE WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE SOME HEADLINES MAINLY FOR THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA LATER SAT NIGHT AND SUN...BUT WHAT
LEVEL OF HEADLINE REMAINS TRICKY AS THAT WILL DEPEND ON EXACTLY
HOW STRONG THE TWO LOWS GET. AT THIS POINT THINK STRONG WIND
HEADLINES WILL SUFFICE. WILL HAVE GALES AND EVEN SOME STORM FORCE
WINDS OVER THE SERN HALF OF THE MARINE AREA DURING THIS TIME AS
WELL.

 ONCE THIS SYSTEM MOVES OUT LATER SUN NIGHT WILL PROBABLY SEE A
PERIOD OF MORE SHOWERY WEATHER BUT ARRIVAL OF NEXT LOW MON SHOULD
MEAN MORE STEADY PRECIP AGAIN. FOR FORECAST SIMPLICITY...HAVE
KEPT PRECIP CHARACTER AS STRATIFORM SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT.

 DID NOT CHANGE ANYTHING BEYOND MON NIGHT DUE TO TIME CONSTRAINTS
AND WANTING TO FOCUS ON THE WEEKEND SYSTEMS. HPC USED A GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN APPROACH TO THEIR GRIDS WHICH SOUNDS REASONABLE
GIVEN MODEL SPREAD LATER IN THE WEEK.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ043-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-013-021-022-031-033>036-041-042-
     052-053.

&&

JBT/RWT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 12, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK48 hr
Oct 12, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK5 days
Oct 12, 8:42 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK7 hr
Oct 13, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK4 days
Oct 13, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK5 days
Oct 13, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2012Every gale warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.