Gale Warning 307, NWS Juneau, AK

884 
FZAK51 PAJK 271451 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-280900-
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 962 MB LOW JUST E OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL SLOWLY FILL AS IT
DRIFTS NE TO BE NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND BY THU NIGHT. A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ON THE INNER CHANNELS THROUGH
FRIDAY. 

$$

PKZ011-280900-
GLACIER BAY-
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-280900-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-280900-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-280900-
ICY STRAIT-
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT W WIND WEST OF POINT ADOLPHUS.
SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-280900-
CROSS SOUND-
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-280900-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-280900-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-280900-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ034-280900-
FREDERICK SOUND-
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-280900-
SUMNER STRAIT-
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-280900-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
651 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
407 PM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012

.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED HURRICANE
FORCE LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON. IT HAS A
MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 952 MB THIS AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD
ALONG 150W INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS LOW WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN
AS IT APPROACHES KODIAK ISLAND...AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
BEFORE MOVING INLAND ON FRIDAY. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS WILL
BE PRESENT ALONG THE OUTER WATERS TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL PASSAGE LATER TONIGHT. SOME STRONG GUSTS ALONG THE COAST
AND OUT OF BAYS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AS WELL. THE FRONT WILL
PASS TONIGHT WITH STRONG WINDS PASSING THROUGH THE INNER CHANNELS
AS WELL FROM THE SOUTH. EASTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BLOW
THE STRONGEST THROUGH GENERALLY EAST-WEST ORIENTED CHANNELED
TERRAIN AND BAYS.

A STORM WARNING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST FROM ICY CAPE TO
CAPE SUCKLING...WHILE GALE WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED ALONG THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF COAST AND FOR MOST OF THE INNER CHANNELS.

PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES FOR LARGE
PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLE...PARTICULARLY OVER NIGHT TONIGHT WITH
24 HOUR TOTALS RANGING FROM 1 TO NEARLY 3 INCHES. EXPECT RAPID
RISES ON SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS IN RESPONSE TO HEAVY RAIN AND
BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES.

MAINLY USED THE NAM FOR WIND TWEAKS...ALTHOUGH ALL THE MODELS
WERE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

&&

.LONG TERM...RIDGING WILL INCREASE OVER THE EASTERN GULF FOR THE
FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND BEFORE ANOTHER MUCH WEAKER STORM SYSTEM
AFFECTS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THE STRONGEST
WINDS WITH THIS NEXT LOW WILL BE ALONG THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AS
IT APPROACHES THE AREA ON SUNDAY MORNING. MADE VERY FEW CHANGES TO
THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST AS IT LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND TONIGHT FOR AKZ017-021.
	 STRONG WIND FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
 	 AKZ018.
 	 STRONG WIND FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
 	 AKZ022-023.
 	 STRONG WIND TONIGHT FOR AKZ024-025.
	 STRONG WIND FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR
 	 AKZ026.
	 STRONG WIND FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR
	 AKZ027.
 	 STRONG WIND TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR AKZ028.

MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ052.
	 GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-013-021-022-033>036-041>043-051-053.
	 SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-031-032.

&&