Gale Warning 162, NWS Juneau, AK

658 
FZAK52 PAJK 262240 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
140 PM AKST SUN FEB 26 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-270100-
140 PM AKST SUN FEB 26 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL MOVE EAST
INTO CANADA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE
EASTERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT AND WEAKEN THERE THROUGH MONDAY.
 

$$

PKZ041-270100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
140 PM AKST SUN FEB 26 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO
9 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-270100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
140 PM AKST SUN FEB 26 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN
LATE. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-270100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
140 PM AKST SUN FEB 26 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-270100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
140 PM AKST SUN FEB 26 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE LATE EVENING. SEAS 11
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-270100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
140 PM AKST SUN FEB 26 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
418 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2012

.SHORT TERM...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL
BE GIVING WAY TO THE EAST AS THE STRONG FRONT OVER BRISTOL BAY
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AN TO THE SOUTH WILL BE MOVING INTO THE WEST
CENTRAL GULF BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH GALE FORCE WINDS WILL
SPREADING INTO THE WESTERN PORTION OF MARINE ZONE 310 BY LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
REGION WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF TONIGHT ALLOWING ONE MORE COOL
NIGHT DUE TO GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING. FOR THE NORTHEAST GULF
COAST AND SOME MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS FOR THIS EVENING WILL SEE
INCREASING/THICKENING AND LOWERING CLOUDS PRIMARILY FOR THE AREA
WEST OF ICY BAY TONIGHT. FOR SUNDAY MORE GENERAL CLOUDINESS AND
SNOW FOR THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST...AND MORE CLOUDS AND SOME
LIGHT OVERRUNNING SNOW FOR THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE PANHANDLE.
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE MAY ACTUALLY HAVE ANOTHER DAY OF SUNSHINE.

&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY EVENING STARTS OFF WITH A RIDGE OVER THE
PANHANDLE KEEPING SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 35KT THROUGH NORTHERN LYNN
CANAL. A LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF AND ITS ASSOC FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL
BRING A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW...CHANGING TO MAINLY SNOW...TO THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT. PRECIP WILL START IN THE YAKUTAT AREA FIRST
THEN MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT THEN
OVER THE REST OF THE REGION MONDAY. HAVE GONE WITH A WINTER STORM
WATCH FOR YAKUTAT SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AS 6 TO 11
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. OTHER AREAS OVER THE NORTH WILL SEE ABOUT 3
TO 5 INCHES AND MAY NEED AN ADVISORY AS TIME GETS CLOSER. THE LOW
WILL BECOME STATIONARY IN THE GULF TUESDAY THROUGH MID
WEEK...KEEPING SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST
EACH DAY. WED NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CAUSE
A SURFACE TROUGH OR WAVE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
WITH PRECIP LIKELY. ANOTHER STRONGER LOW IS THEN ABLE TO MOVE INTO
THE GULF FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE NAM AND EC
INITIALIZED THE BEST AND WERE USED FOR MOST UPDATES THEN
TRANSITIONED TO HPC. MAIN DIFFERENCES ARE WITH TEMPERATURES FOR
SUNDAY NIGHT...THE GFS IS SLIGHTLY WARMER AND WOULD RESULT IN MORE
OF A MIX OR CHANGE PRECIP TO ALL RAIN AND KEEP SNOW TOTALS BELOW
WARNING/ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR THE YAKUTAT AREA. ALSO THE SOUTHERLY
WINDS MAY KEEP IT MIXED A BIT LONGER AREAWIDE AND LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS.
HOWEVER DEWPOINT VALUES LOOK TO FALL BELOW FREEZING AGAIN AND
RETURN PRECIP TO MAINLY SNOW. FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
     FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-022-031-041>043-051-052.

&&

BEZENEK/HANNON