Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 133, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 7, 2012, 10:52 PM AKST. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 7, 2012, 10:52 PM AKST (07:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 8, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
357 FZAK51 PAJK 080752 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-090200- 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA AND THE YUKON THROUGH WED. A WEAK FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND AK PANHANDLE THROUGH WED. $$ PKZ011-090200- GLACIER BAY- 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-090200- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT DIMINISHING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN LATE. .THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-090200- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-090200- ICY STRAIT- 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. STRONGEST WINDS OVER WESTERN AREAS. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-090200- CROSS SOUND- 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-090200- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-090200- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-090200- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-090200- FREDERICK SOUND- 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-090200- SUMNER STRAIT- 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-090200- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1052 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
141 FZAK51 PAJK 081300 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-090100- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A WEAK WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL DRIFT N ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK THROUGH WED NIGHT. A LOW MOVING INTO THE FAR SE GULF THU MORNING WILL WEAKEN OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND MOVE TO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH FRI MORNING. $$ PKZ011-090100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-090100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING LATE. RAIN LATE. .THU...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-090100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING LATE. RAIN LATE. .THU...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-090100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS OVER WESTERN AREAS. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-090100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-090100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-090100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-090100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-090100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .THU...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-090100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .THU...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-090100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 7, 2:00 PM AKST, 8 hours 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 7, 2:00 PM AKST, 8 hours 52 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
2 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012
.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWING A 963 MB
LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC TRACKING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE WESTERN AK
GULF. THIS LOW WILL MOVE TOWARD THE AK PENINSULA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTHWARD
OVER THE EASTERN AK GULF AND PUSH OVER THE PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. THIS FRONT IS FAIRLY WEAK AND IS SHOWING SIGNS OF
SHEARING APART SO INCREASED CLOUDS WILL BE THE MAIN RESULT TONIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY WITH SOME RAIN MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE
LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE MAIN ISSUES FOR TONIGHT WILL BE WITH
THE SURFACE HIGH REMAINING OVER THE YUKON WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN
OUTFLOW WINDS WAS THE EAST-WEST PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES. WHILE
THE WINDS WILL NOT BE EXCEPTIONAL A WARM MID LEVEL AIR MASS IS
MOVING UP WITH THE FRONT AND THESE WARM TEMPS WILL EITHER MIX DOWN
WITH STRONGER WINDS WHICH WILL INCREASE TEMPERATURES OVER NIGHT IN
THESE WIND SPOTS. IN ADDITION ANY DOWNSLOPING EFFECTS WILL HELP TO
INCREASE TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER IN WIND SHELTERED ARES TEMPERATURES
SHOULD FOLLOW A MORE DIURNAL TREND. WEDNESDAY HIGHS TEMPS WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S SO ANY PRECIP THAT MOVES
IN THROUGH THE DAY WILL BE RAIN. WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL
PICK UP TO GALE OR NEAR GALE FORCE THROUGH THE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING IN THE AFTERNOON. N LYNN CANAL WILL
REMAIN AT GALE FORCE THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE TIGHT NORTH-SOUTH
PRESSURE GRADIENT. SKAGWAY WINDS GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN AT OR JUST
BELOW 35 KTS BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR IN CASE THEY REACH 40 KTS.
MODELS START IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM FORECAST. MAIN
DIFFERENCES WERE SOME TIMING OF THE FRONT MOVING IN WITH THE ECMWF
A BIT FASTER THEN THE GFS FOR THE 12Z RUN. UPDATED GRIDS WITH A
BLEND OF 12Z NAM AND 12Z ECMWF AS THE PRESSURE FIELD OVER THE
YUKON PANHANDLE BORDER LOOKED A BIT BETTER. OVERALL CHANGES WERE
FAIRLY MINOR. FORECAST CONFIDENCE WITH THE GENERAL WEATHER PATTERN
IS ABOVE AVERAGE BUT OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ARE IN QUESTION IF THE
STRONGER WINDS WILL MIX DOWN THESE HIGHER MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES.
PRB
&&
.LONG TERM...
MAIN FEATURE TO BE CONSIDERED IS THE PLANETARY SCALE UPPER LOW THAT
WILL PERSIST FOR A WEEK IN THE VICINITY OF KAMCHATKA. THE WEST
COAST (US) UPR RIDGE IS LESS CONSISTENT. SUCCESSIVE MINOR WEATHER
SYSTEMS MOVING AGAINST THIS RIDGE WILL FLATTEN IT AND PERHAPS CAUSE
A RETROGRADE ON THE RIDGE AXIS DUE TO A STRENGTHENING ON THE HUDSON
BAY UPPER LOW. HAVE REASONABLE CONFIDENCE THAT THIS PATTERN WILL
GENERALLY PAN OUT SO THAT FLOW ALOFT OVER THE PANHANDLE THAT IS
SOUTH WILL EVENTUALLY SHIFT TO SW THIS WEEKEND.
IMMEDIATE PROBLEM IS A WEAK WARM FRONT MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE WED EVENING FOLLOWED BY SOME SORT OF SURFACE WEATHER
SYSTEM WSW OF DIXON ENTRANCE ON THU. ALL 07/12Z OPS MODELS VARY IN
IMPORTANT DETAILS THROUGH DAY 3. WEIGHED THE EVIDENCE OF THE
DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS AND RELUCTANTLY ACCEPTED THE 07/12 ECMWF WHICH
WAS CLOSE TO THE GFS-ENSEMBLE AND SREF MEANS. CONFIDENCE IS LOW TO
MODERATE ON DETAILS & TIMING. JC
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADV PKZ011-013-021-022-033-035-036-041-042.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Feb 7, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 7, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 7, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 8, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Feb 8, 11:35 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 11 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.