Wind Chill Warning 7, NWS Fairbanks, AK

423 
WWAK42 PAFG 291237
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
337 AM AKST SUN JAN 29 2012

AKZ215-300100-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WC.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120129T1500Z/
/X.EXB.PAFG.WC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-120130T0300Z/
LOWER YUKON VALLEY-
INCLUDING...RUSSIAN MISSION...GRAYLING...HOLY CROSS...SHAGELUK...
ANVIK...FLAT
337 AM AKST SUN JAN 29 2012

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING...
...WIND CHILL WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING. THE
WIND CHILL WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 


* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 55 BELOW.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS 20 TO 25 BELOW TODAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* TIMING...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS HARSH THIS
  EVENING AS THE WIND DIMINISHES TO LESS THAN 15 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$

AKZ211-291345-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-120129T1500Z/
SOUTHERN SEWARD PENINSULA COAST-
INCLUDING...NOME...WHITE MOUNTAIN...GOLOVIN
337 AM AKST SUN JAN 29 2012

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. 

THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH AND THEREFORE THE
WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

$$

AKZ213-291345-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-120130T0300Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
337 AM AKST SUN JAN 29 2012

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. 

THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH IN MOST AREAS AND
THEREFORE THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ALONG THE
BERING STRAIT COAST A 15 TO 20 MPH WIND AT WALES WILL LOCALLY
PRODUCE WIND CHILLS TO 35 BELOW THIS MORNING.

$$

AKZ207-300100-
/X.NEW.PAFG.WC.W.0008.120129T1237Z-120130T0300Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
337 AM AKST SUN JAN 29 2012

...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 60 BELOW.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...THE LOWEST WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING INTO
  EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND CHILLS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LESS
  HARSH TOWARD EVENING AS THE WIND DIMINISHES.

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN LESS THAN TEN MINUTES
  RESULTING IN FROSTBITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILLS WITH
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.
IF OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$

AKZ209-300100-
/X.NEW.PAFG.WC.W.0008.120129T1237Z-120130T0300Z/
BALDWIN PENINSULA AND SELAWIK VALLEY-
INCLUDING...KOTZEBUE...SELAWIK...NOORVIK
337 AM AKST SUN JAN 29 2012

...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING. 

* LOCATION...AROUND KOTZEBUE.

* TEMPERATURES...30 TO 40 BELOW. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 75 BELOW.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.

* TIMING...THE LOWEST WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE WIND CHILLS WILL BECOME LESS HARSH TOWARD EVENING
  AS THE WIND DIMINISHES TO LESS THAN 15 MPH.

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN LESS THAN TEN MINUTES
  RESULTING IN FROSTBITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILLS WITH
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.
IF OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$

AKZ214-300100-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-120130T1500Z/
YUKON DELTA-
INCLUDING...MOUNTAIN VILLAGE...EMMONAK...ALAKANUK...KOTLIK...
PILOT STATION...ST MARYS...SCAMMON BAY...MARSHALL...NUNAM IQUA...
PITKAS POINT
337 AM AKST SUN JAN 29 2012

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST MONDAY...

THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST MONDAY. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 55 BELOW.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS 10 TO 20 BELOW THIS AFTERNOON. LOWS 15 TO
  25 BELOW. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH. LOCAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH. 

* TIMING...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE ON MONDAY AS THE WIND
  SLOWLY DIMINISHES. THE HARSHEST WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED THIS
  MORNING AND AGAIN LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH AT LEAST 48 HOURS WITH JUST THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW POSITION DIFFERING BY LATE MON NIGHT. THE UKMET IS
VERY FAR OFF IN TERMS OF 500H LEVEL WHERE THE NAM...ECMWF AND GFS
ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT.

BY THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK...AROUND 00Z WED IS WHEN THE MODELS
ARE STARTING TO DIVERGE GREATLY. THE ECMWF DECIDES TO PUSH THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW BACK SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD MAINLAND ALASKA AND
DRIVE A TROUGH DEEP INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. HOWEVER THE NEW GFS
18Z RUN DOES COME BACK MORE IN LINE WITH THAT OF THE ECMWF. A
BRIEF WARM-UP IN THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK BEFORE BUT IT APPEARS
NOW THAT THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA WILL
BE ABLE TO CHOKE BACK THE BUILDING RIDGE FROM THE SOUTHEAST.

A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL ENTER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND
PROVIDE RETURN FLOW OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE STATE WHICH
WOULD BE A GOOD SET UP FOR OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION TOWARDS THE
END OF THE WEEK.

CURRENTLY...MID RANGE MODELS DO NOT INDICATE ANY LONG TERM
MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES OVER NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGH THE NEXT
180 HOURS.

WINDS ALONG THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOW
WIND CHILLS THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ211-AKZ213-AKZ214.

DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR AKZ222.

WIND CHILL WARNING FOR AKZ201-AKZ202-AKZ203-AKZ215.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

CF JAN 12