Small Craft Advisory 178, NWS Fairbanks, AK

934 
FZAK51 PAFG 111200
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
300 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-120415-
300 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY....THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO CANADA ON MONDAY. STRONG LOW
PRESSURE NEAR THE NORTH POLE WILL MOVE SOUTH TO THE NORTHERN
BEAUFORT SEA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL BE OVER THE
SOUTHERN BEAUFORT SEA ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ225-120415-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
300 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
EVENING. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.WED...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-120415-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
300 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-120415-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
300 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT.  
.TUE...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT.  
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT.  
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-120415-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
300 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT.  
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR
LESS. 
.TUE...W WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.WED...W WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-120415-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
300 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.  
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TUE...W WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 9 FT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 11 FT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.WED...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.THU...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

NOV 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
446 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE FRONTAL PRECIPITATION BAND WHICH HAS BROUGHT SNOW AND
FREEZING RAIN TO ZONES 212-214-215-216-227 HAS BECOME
DISORGANIZED OVERNIGHT. WINTER STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
CANCELLED...EXCEPT FOR ZONE 216 WHERE ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
SNOW IS EXPECTED TODAY. PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE BUT
LITTLE ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED IN ANY AREAS WHERE
IT OCCURS. TEMPERATURES ALOFT OVER THESE ZONES WILL BE COOLING A
FEW DEGREES C TODAY. SOME LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF
THE EASTERN INTERIOR TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH THE REMNANTS OF
THE FRONTAL PRECIPITATION BAND.

IN ZONE 204...WESTERLY GALES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING AS THE 999 MB LOW CENTER NEAR BANKS
ISLAND MOVES FARTHER EASTWARD ACROSS THE CANADIAN ARCHIPELAGO.

CURRENT MODELS PROGGING A 960-965 MB LOW MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN
BERING SEA BY EARLY TUE. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT COULD BRING SNOW AND
POSSIBLY FREEZING RAIN TO ZONES 214-215-227 TUE NIGHT INTO EARLY
WED. EASTERLY GALE TO STORM WIND EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER PKZ210
LATE MON NIGHT OR EARLY TUE...EASTERLY GALES DEVELOPING PKZ200
TUE...WITH BRISK E TO NE WINDS AS FAR NORTH AS PKZ225.

THERE IS A LIKELIHOOD OF A STRONG SYSTEM DIVING SOUTHEAST OUT OF
THE HIGH ARCTIC ON A COURSE TOWARDS BANKS ISLAND AROUND THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK...MODELS DIFFER ON CENTRAL PRESSURE...SPEED AND
TRACK...BUT ALL SUGGEST WEST TO NORTHWEST GALES OVER ZONES
203-204-PKZ240-PKZ245-PKZ510...GUSTS TO 50-60 MPH POSSIBLE AT
BARTER ISLAND...DEVELOPING TUE AFTERNOON. A TROUGH PRECEDING THE
LOW MAY BRING A PERIOD OF MINIMUM GALES MON NIGHT.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ216.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ245.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ245.
&&

RF NOV 12