Small Craft Advisory 176, NWS Fairbanks, AK

837 
FZAK52 PAFG 081123
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
223 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-090430-
223 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1016 MB LOW 150 MILES E OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE
BY THU AFTERNOON. A 990 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 240 MILES S OF 
NIKOLSKI THU MORNING AND MOVE TO 200 MILES E OF ST PAUL 
ISLAND AS A 984 MB LOW BY NOON FRIDAY. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE 
OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TO THE 
CHUKCHI SEA BY SAT MORNING.


$$

PKZ200-090430-
NORTON SOUND-
223 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT.   
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.   
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT.   
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT.   
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.   
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT.   
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT.   
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-090430-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
223 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO
5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.   
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.   
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-090430-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
223 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT.   
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.   
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.   
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.   
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.   
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT.   
.SUN...NE WINDS 5 KT.   
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-090430-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
223 AM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING
TO 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.SAT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.   
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

RF/DA NOV 12

466 
FZAK52 PAFG 082259
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
159 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-091230-
159 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1018 MB LOW 300 NM NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY WILL MOVE TO BANKS
ISLAND AS A 1010 MB LOW FRI AM. A STRONG LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST BERING SEA THU NIGHT AND
INTO BRISTOL BAY ON FRI BEFORE MOVING EAST INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA
SAT. WEATHER FRONT WITH THIS LOW WILL MOVE NORTH OVER THE YUKON
DELTA FRI AM AND OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ200-091230-
NORTON SOUND-
159 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-091230-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
159 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-091230-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
159 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-091230-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
159 PM AKST THU NOV 8 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

NOV 12

600 
FZAK52 PAFG 091145
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
245 AM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-100015-
245 AM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 992 MB LOW NEAR DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO 300 MILES
SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND BY SAT AFTERNOON WEAKENING TO
994 MB. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER CENTRAL
SIBERIA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS THE 
NORTHERN SIBERIA COAST AND THE CHUKCHI SEA.

$$

PKZ200-100015-
NORTON SOUND-
245 AM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 40 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-100015-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
245 AM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 8 FT. FREEZING RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 30 KT NEAR THE BERING
STRAIT AND NW OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING RAIN. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT NEAR THE BERING STRAIT 
AND ST LAWRENCE ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-100015-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
245 AM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-100015-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
245 AM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

RF/DA NOV 12

056 
FZAK52 PAFG 092343
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
243 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-101245-
243 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A STRONG LOW IN THE SOUTHEAST BERING SEA WILL MOVE EAST. A WEATHER
FRONT EXTENDING FROM THIS LOW NORTHEAST OVER THE YUKON DELTA WILL
MOVE OVER NORTON SOUND FRI NIGHT AND THEN SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH
SUN. A COLD FRONT LYING ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA WILL
MOVE INLAND FRI NIGHT. A SECOND COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH TO LIE ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA SAT PM
AND TO ALONG THE BROOKS RANGE SUN PM.

$$

PKZ200-101245-
NORTON SOUND-
243 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 40 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 40 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-101245-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
243 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...N WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-101245-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
243 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-101245-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
243 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

NOV 12

151 
FZAK52 PAFG 101110
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
210 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-110030-
210 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA SAT 
NIGHT THROUGH SUN. A 990 MB LOW OVER THE WESTERN ALASKA PENINSULA
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN SAT AS A NEW 990 MB LOW DEVELOPS
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA.


$$

PKZ200-110030-
NORTON SOUND-
210 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-110030-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
210 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-110030-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
210 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-110030-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
210 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

RF/DA NOV 12

025 
FZAK52 PAFG 102330
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
230 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-111230-
230 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA THROUGH
MON. A 990 MB LOW OVER THE WESTERN ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN SUN. A DEEP LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
NORTHERN PACIFIC AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST BERING SEA MON.

$$

PKZ200-111230-
NORTON SOUND-
230 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-111230-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
230 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-111230-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
230 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-111230-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
230 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

MK/CC NOV 12

377 
FZAK52 PAFG 111205
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
305 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-120315-
305 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 993 MB LOW OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
AND STRENGTHEN. ON MONDAY AT 3PM AKST...THE LOW WILL BE 958 MB 240
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ADAK. ON TUESDAY AT 3PM AKST...THE LOW WILL BE
963 MB 250 MILES NORTHEAST OF ADAK.

$$

PKZ200-120315-
NORTON SOUND-
305 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-120315-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
305 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
EVENING.
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.WED...NE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-120315-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
305 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-120315-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
305 AM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

DA NOV 12

376 
FZAK52 PAFG 112249
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
149 PM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-121400-
149 PM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 993 MB LOW OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
AND STRENGTHEN. ON MONDAY AT 3PM AKST...THE LOW WILL BE 958 MB 240
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ADAK. ON TUESDAY AT 3PM AKST...THE LOW WILL BE
963 MB 250 MILES NORTHEAST OF ADAK.

$$

PKZ200-121400-
NORTON SOUND-
149 PM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 40 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 40 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-121400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
149 PM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-121400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
149 PM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-121400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
149 PM AKST SUN NOV 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

JK NOV 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
436 PM AKST WED NOV 7 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...
THE LONG WAVE RIDGE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WILL BUILD THROUGH THU
AND THEN WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING
SOUTHERLY WARMER AND WETTER FLOW TO WESTERN ALASKA THU NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TO MOVE INTO
WESTERN ALASKA FRI WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES WARMING FROM -10 NOW
TO ABOVE ZERO THU NIGHT AND FRI. FLOW ALOFT WILL TURN MORE
WESTERLY OVER THE WEEKEND POSSIBLY SPREADING SIGNIFICANT SNOW INTO
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR SAT.

SURFACE...
A WEATHER FRONT STRETCHING FROM BANKS ISLAND TO BARTER ISLAND WILL
MOVE EAST TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW AND WEST WINDS 15-25KT ALONG THE
FRONT WILL DIMINISH TO FLURRIES AND WEST WIND 10 KT WEST OF THE FRONT.

A LOW DEVELOPING IN THE WESTERN CHUKCHI SEA WED NIGHT WILL MOVE TO
350 NM NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY AS 1016 MB LOW BY 3PM THU AND TO THE
NORTHERN BEAUFORT SEA A 1016 MB LOW BY 3AM FRI. THIS WILL BRING
SOME MORE SNOW FOG AND SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-25 KT JUST NORTH OF THE
ARCTIC COAST THAT WILL CHANGE TO FLURRIES AND WEST WINDS WEST OF
THE LOW.

A STRONG LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST
BERING SEA THU NIGHT AND FRI. A WEATHER FRONT WITH THIS LOW WILL
MOVE OVER BRISTOL BAY THU NIGHT AND TO NORTON SOUND AND THE
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR FRI. THIS WILL CAUSE A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
THE WEATHER PATTERN WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES SPREADING TO THE WEST
COAST FRI AND TO THE REMAINDER OF THE INTERIOR OVER THE WEEKEND.
THIS WILL BRING MOIST SOUTH FLOW OVER THE COLD AIR NOW IN PLACE
OVER WESTERN ALASKA. MODELS INDICATE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
PRECIPITATION ALONG THIS FRONT. THIS WILL CAUSE SNOW WITH HEAVY
SNOW AMOUNTS OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND SOUTHWEST INTERIOR
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT. AS MUCH AS 1 INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE YUKON DELTA AND SOUTHWEST
INTERIOR WITH UP TO ONE HALF INCH OF ICE FROM THE SEWARD PENINSULA
SOUTH. SINCE THERE WILL BE NORTHEAST FLOW AT THE SURFACE FEEDING
COLD AIR IN UNDER THE WARM AIR ALOFT THE FREEZING RAIN COULD LAST
FOR AS MUCH AS 24 HOURS STARTING EARLY FRI AND CONTINUING THROUGH
SAT. EXPECT THE FREEZING RAIN TO CHANGE BACK TO SNOW SOMETIME
SATURDAY. EVEN IF FREEZING RAIN CHANGES TO RAIN IT WILL STILL
FREEZE ON THE GROUND SINCE THE GROUND IS SUPER COOLED.
THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY ON THE AMOUNTS OF FREEZING RAIN
SINCE THE LOW LEVEL COLD AIR MAY BE THICK ENOUGH TO RE-FREEZE RAIN
TO SLEET BEFORE IT HITS THE GROUND IN SOME LOCATIONS.
THE DURATION AND HEAVY AMOUNTS OF RAIN SHOULD EVENTUALLY WARM THE
LOWER LEVELS THROUGH LATENT HEAT RELEASE. THIS ALL ADDS UP TO A
SIGNIFICANT STORM WITH MUCH UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHERE THERE WILL BE
HEAVY SNOW AND WHERE THERE WILL BE HEAVY FREEZING RAIN...BUT IT
WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT NO MATTER WHAT STATE THE
PRECIPITATION FALLS AS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZE WELL AND SHOW SIMILAR SOLLUTIONS AT 500 MB AND
ON THE SURFACE PRESSURE FIELD. ONE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE IS IN
THE AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION FRI INTO SAT. GFS AND ECMF HAVE MUCH
HIGHER AMOUNTS THAN THE NAM. WE FAVOR THE GFS SINCE THIS IS A
MOIST SYSTEM WITH A MOIST SOUTH FLOW FEEDING INTO IT THU NIGHT
AND FRI.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214-AKZ215-
AKZ216-AKZ227.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ240-PKZ245.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200.
&&

JB NOV 12