Gale Warning 61, NWS Fairbanks, AK

845 
FZAK51 PAFG 241137
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
337 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-250245-
337 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 990 MB LOW 150 MILES NW OF POINT LAY WILL MOVE TO 150 MILES
N OF OLIKTOK POINT BY NOON TUESDAY WEAKENING TO 1005 MB. A
988 MB LOW 350 MILES N OF BARTER ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 800
MILES N OF BARTER ISLAND BY 4 AM TUE.

$$

PKZ225-250245-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
337 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT...DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-250245-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
337 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WINDS INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT...DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-250245-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
337 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-250245-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
337 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT WEST OF OLIKTOK.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SW WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT WEST OF OLIKTOK. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-250245-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
337 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...W WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

DJH/RF SEP 12

473 
FZAK51 PAFG 242251
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-251515-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 990 MB LOW 200 NM WEST OF BARROW WILL MOVE TO 50 NM WEST OF
BARROW AS A 1000 MB LOW AT 4AM TUE AND TO 150 NM NORTH OF BARTER
ISLAND AS A 1005 MB LOW BY 4PM TUE AND THEN CONTINUE MOVING EAST.
A STRONG LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL
BAY TUE AND BE REPLACED BY A VERY STRONG LOW THAT WILL MOVE NORTH 
INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WED.

$$

PKZ225-251515-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 40 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING
TO 8 FT.  SNOW SHOWERS. FOG. 
.TUE...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-251515-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT BECOMING W 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING
TO 7 FT. FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-251515-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TUE...N WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. 
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-251515-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT.
FOG. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-251515-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
251 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. 
.TUE...SW 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

SEP 12

789 
FZAK51 PAFG 251139
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
339 AM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-260245-
339 AM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 996 MB LOW 50 MILES WEST OF BARROW WILL WEAKEN INTO
A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA BY TUESDAY EVENING.

$$

PKZ225-260245-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
339 AM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT BECOMING N BY NOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-260245-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
339 AM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT...EXCEPT EAST OF ICY CAPE SW WINDS
20 KT BECOMING NW BY NOON. SEAS 7 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-260245-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
339 AM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING THIS MORNING...BECOMING
N 15 KT AFTER NOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-260245-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
339 AM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012

.TODAY...SW WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT BY NOON. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-260245-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
339 AM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
NOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

DJH/RF SEP 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
210 AM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER AIR...
MODERATELY STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE EASTERN
INTERIOR AND ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE WILL END THIS EVENING
AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH SWEEPS NORTHWARD...RESULTING IN
A LIGHTER SOUTHWEST FLOW. THIS WILL BRING TO AN END TO
THE CHINOOK WINDS IN THE ALASKA RANGE AND BRING TEMPERATURES
DOWN TO MORE SEASONABLE LEVELS. A LIGHTER SOUTHERLY FLOW
IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
INTERIOR MONDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS WILL BE RATHER SHORT LIVED
AS A BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER NORTHERN
ALASKA BY THURSDAY.

SURFACE...A 987 MB LOW OVER KOTZEBUE SOUND WILL MOVE TO
NORTHWEST OF CAPE LISBURNE BY LATE TONIGHT WHILE DEVELOPING A
TIGHTER CIRCULATION. AS THE LOW LIFTS NORTHWARD...STRONG WEST
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA COAST...WITH
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS DEVELOPING OVER KOTZEBUE SOUND. THE
LOW IS PROGGED TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND WEAKEN MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT...BUT MODEL SOLUTIONS VARY SO THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN
THE POSITION AND STRENGTH OF THE SYSTEM. WIND GUSTS NEAR THE
ALASKA RANGE ARE NOW BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS...BUT THE NORMALLY WIND
SPOTS IN AKZ223 AND AKZ226 COULD SEW A FEW GUSTS TO 50 MPH LATER
TODAY AS ONE FINAL SHORT BURST OF STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MOVES
ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL...

HIGH SURF IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AT SHISMAREF LATE THIS
MORNING AND SPREAD TO THE REST OF THE COAST TO POINT HOPE
INCLUDING KOTZEBUE SOUND BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH SURF
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND
HIGHEST SURF WILL BE ALONG THE COAST FROM KIVALINA NORTH SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY. ALONG THE COAST IN AKZ210 LESS WAVE ACTION
IS EXPECTED BUT SEA LEVELS WILL LIKELY BE ELEVATED.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM AKDT SUNDAY
FOR THE NENANA RIVER FROM CARLO CREEK TO ITS MOUTH AT THE TANANA
RIVER. AFTER A LONG CREST BETWEEN 14.5 AND 14.9 FEET...THE NENANA
RIVER AT HEALY HAS STARTED TO FALL. THE STAGE AT 11 PM SAT WAS
14.0 FEET. THE NENANA RIVER AT HEALY EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FALL
TODAY AND TONIGHT. DOWNRIVER FROM HEALY...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN
HIGH AND NEAR ITS CREST FOR MOST OF TODAY. THE LOWER REACHES OF
THE RIVER NEAR NENANA ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
THIS EVENING.

.FIRE WEATHER...GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE TODAY
BUT MIN RH WILL NOT BE LOW ENOUGH FOR RED FLAGS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE NENANA RIVER FROM CARLO CREEK ITS
MOUTH AT THE TANANA RIVER.

WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ223-AKZ226.

HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR AKZ207-AKZ209-AKZ210.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ230-PKZ235.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

RF SEP 12