Brisk Wind Advisory 59, NWS Fairbanks, AK

331 
FZAK52 PAFG 131101
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
201 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-140215-
201 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER NORTHERN SIBERIA AND THE
CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT SEAS THROUGH TUE. LOWER PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST OVER THE BERING SEA.

$$

PKZ200-140215-
NORTON SOUND-
201 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT.
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-140215-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
201 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT BECOMING E. FOG.
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT.
.WED...NE WINDS 40 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-140215-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
201 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-140215-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
201 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

CF/JK FEB 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1200 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MEAN SOUTHERLY FLOW PATTERN ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER NRN
AK THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK...WITH SEVERAL SHORT WAVE
TROUGHS AND RIDGES MOVING NWD IN THE FLOW. THE FIRST OF THESE
WILL TRANSIT NRN AK MON NIGHT INTO TUE...FOLLOWED BY A WEAK RIPPLE
MOVING NWD ACROSS THE AREA LATE WED NIGHT INTO THU.

AT THE SURFACE...974 MB LOW APPROACHING THE AK PEN WILL
WEAKEN OVER BRISTOL BAY TONIGHT AS IT SPLITS INTO TWO
CENTERS. THE WEAK WESTERN CENTER WILL MOVE NWWD ACROSS
SW AK MON...FILLING TO AROUND 994 MB OVER NORTON SOUND
BY MON EVE. THE WESTERN LOW SYSTEM MAY BRING SCATTERED
AREAS OF SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL
WEST COAST AREAS AND SW INTERIOR.

A STRONGER SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO MOVE NWD TO THE PRIBILOFS
BY WED AM...THEN CURVING WWD AS IT ENTERS ITS FILLING
STAGES. GALES DEVELOPING IN PKZ210...BRISK WINDS IN PKZ200
DVLPG WED EVE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.

A CHANCE OF SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR
MON NIGHT INTO TUE WITH THE FIRST SHORT WAVE. THE NEXT WEAK
RIPPLY MAY BRING SOME SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS TO PARTS OF THE NRN
INTERIOR AND BROOKS RANGE.

SOUTHERLY CHINOOK FLOW WILL BE PREDOMINANT IN THE ALASKA
RANGE...WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BOUNCE UP AND DOWN BUT REMAIN
BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

IN THE MEDIUM RANGE...GFS AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEANS INDICATE
A CONTINUATION OF A S TO SW FLOW PATTERN...BUT WITH GRADUALLY
LOWERING HEIGHTS. TEMPERATURES OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA
LIKELY TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...
THEN EDGING DOWN A BIT CLOSER TO NORMAL TOWARDS THE END OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

RF FEB 12