Brisk Wind Advisory 39, NWS Fairbanks, AK

405 
FZAK52 PAFG 031141 AAA
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
241 AM AKST FRI FEB 3 2012

UPDATED PKZ200 PKZ210

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-040415-
241 AM AKST FRI FEB 3 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1000 MB LOW JUST WEST OF CAPE LISBURNE WILL MOVE TO 150 MILES 
EAST OF WRANGEL ISLAND BY 4 AM SAT AS A 1003 MB LOW. A STRONG
WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN BERING SEA SAT.

$$

PKZ200-040415-
NORTON SOUND-
241 AM AKST FRI FEB 3 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT BECOMING E 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT DECREASING TO 35 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-040415-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
241 AM AKST FRI FEB 3 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FRI EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO NE 40 KT FROM ST
LAWRENCE ISLAND S AND W. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 45 KT...EXCEPT SE 45 KT OVER AREAS S AND E OF ST
LAWRENCE ISLAND. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT...EXCEPT SE 40 KT OVER AREAS S AND E
OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-040415-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
241 AM AKST FRI FEB 3 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-040415-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
241 AM AKST FRI FEB 3 2012

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NE. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

RF FEB 12

822 
FZAK52 PAFG 032339
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
239 PM AKST FRI FEB 3 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-041215-
239 PM AKST FRI FEB 3 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 998 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF POINT LAY WILL MOVE TO 400 NM
NORTHWEST OF POINT LAY BY 3PM SAT. A COLD FRONT FROM THIS LOW TO
BARTER ISLAND WILL MOVE WELL NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST FRI NIGHT. 
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO
NORTON SOUND SAT PM AND TO THE CHUKCHI SEA EARLY SUN. 

$$

PKZ200-041215-
NORTON SOUND-
239 PM AKST FRI FEB 3 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...E WINDS 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY
LESS THAN 1 NM. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 50 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.SUN...SE WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-041215-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
239 PM AKST FRI FEB 3 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 45 KT BECOMING SE. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.SUN...SE WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-041215-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
239 PM AKST FRI FEB 3 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. 
VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.SUN...SE WINDS 40 KT. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-041215-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
239 PM AKST FRI FEB 3 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.SUN...N WINDS 40 KT BECOMING SE. BLOWING SNOW. 
VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

FEB 12

528 
FZAK52 PAFG 041035
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
135 AM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-050045-
135 AM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 964 MB LOW NEAR ST PAUL ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 100 MILES
W OF DALL POINT BY 4 PM SAT...THEN BECOME A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER EASTERN SIBERIA 
AND THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALASKA MAINLAND THROUGH SAT 
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ200-050045-
NORTON SOUND-
135 AM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS 35 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-050045-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
135 AM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 45 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. VISIBILITY 1 
NM OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT. SNOW AND 
BLOWING SNOW. VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 40 KT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT.
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-050045-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
135 AM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT. SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW. VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS.
.SUN...SE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT.
.MON...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-050045-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
135 AM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. VISIBILITY 1
NM OR LESS. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 35 KT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT.
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RF/RL FEB 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
543 PM AKST THU FEB 2 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...
THE LONG WAVE PATTERN HAS SHIFTED TO CONSIST OF A RIDGE OVER NW
CANADA AND EASTERN ALASKA AND A TROUGH OVER THE BERING. THE
PATTERN LOOKS LIKE IT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE BUT BECOME MORE
AMPLIFIED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL CAUSE A WARMING TO ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER NORTHERN ALASKA BY SUNDAY. IT WILL ALSO
CAUSE SOUTH FLOW ALOFT TO BRING ABOUT MORE RAPID CHANGES IN
WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND OVER NORTHERN ALASKA.

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH FROM THE BERING STRAIT TO KING SALMON WILL
MOVE TO POINT HOPE TO KODIAK BY 3AM FRI...TO POINT LAY TO
ANCHORAGE BY 3PM FRI...TO PRUDHOE BAY TO GLENALLEN BY 3AM SAT AND
EAST OF THE ALCAN BORDER SAT PM. WILL SEE CLEARING ALONG AND WEST
OF THIS TROUGH AND RAPID TEMPERATURE DROP AS THE 850 MB TEMPS ARE
COLDER THAN -20C ALONG THIS TROUGH AND AS COLD AS -38C IN NW
ALASKA.

SURFACE...
A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING NEAR TANANA WILL MOVE TO COLDFOOT AS A
996 MB LOW BY 3AM FRI...AND TO NEAR OLD CROW BY 3PM FRI. CHINOOK
WINDS EAST OF THIS LOW ARE NOW CAUSING STRONG WINDS THROUGH PASSES
AND OVER EAGLE SUMMIT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES
NORTH AND THE FLOW ALOFT DECREASES. EXPECT 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW IN
CENTRAL AND WESTERN INTERIOR WITH THIS FEATURE SPREADING TO THE
EASTERN INTERIOR FRI.

A 990 MB LOW NEAR KOTZEBUE WILL MOVE TO POINT HOPE AS A 998 MB LOW
BY 3AM FRI AND TO 100 NM NORTHWEST OF POINT HOPE AS A 998 MB LOW
BY 3PM FRI. A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEAST FROM THIS LOW TO
MCGRATH WILL MOVE TO POINT HOPE TO BETTLES TO DENALI BY 3AM FRI...
TO JUST NORTH OF BARROW TO PRUDHOE BAY TO FAIRBANKS BY 3PM FRI AND
EAST OF THE ALCAN BORDER FRI NIGHT. LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD EAST
WITH THE FRONT AS WILL WEST WINDS 15-25KT. WILL SEE CLEARING WEST
OF THE FRONT AND DECREASING WINDS CAUSING A RAPID COOLING FRI NIGHT.

A LOW SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN BERING SEA AS A
973 MB LOW ON SAT. THIS WILL CAUSE EASTERLY GALES AND POSSIBLE
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE WEST COAST STARTING EARLY SAT.
EXPECT 3-6 INCHES OF SNOW ALONG MOST OF THE WEST COAST SAT-SAT
NIGHT BUT AS MUCH AS 12 INCHES ALONG SOUTH FACING SLOPES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
GFS MOVES SHORT WAVE TROUGH NE FASTER THAN THE NAM. FAVOR THE GFS
BASED ON THE STRONG DYNAMICS NOW IN PLACE. ECMF ALSO AGREES MORE
WITH THE GFS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ202-AKZ203-AKZ209-AKZ211-AKZ214.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ220.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ207.

WIND CHILL WARNING FOR AKZ201-AKZ210-AKZ213.

WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AKZ211-AKZ213-AKZ214.
&&

JB FEB 12