Brisk Wind Advisory 185, NWS Fairbanks, AK

744 
FZAK52 PAFG 151207
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
307 AM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-160030-
307 AM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 991 MB LOW 200 NM WEST OF POINT HOPE WILL MOVE TO 200 NM NORTH
OF POINT HOPE BY 3PM SAT AND THEN CONTINUE MOVING NORTH. A 997 MB
LOW 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL WILL MOVE TO NEAR NOME AS A 1004
MB LOW BY 9AM SUN AND THEN WEAKEN. A STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA BY 3PM SUN AND TO WESTERN NORTON SOUND BE 3PM
MON.

$$

PKZ200-160030-
NORTON SOUND-
307 AM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.TODAY...SW WINDS 5 KT BECOMING S 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-160030-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
307 AM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SNOW.
.SUN...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 45 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-160030-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
307 AM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS INCREASING TO 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-160030-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
307 AM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

DEC 12

942 
FZAK52 PAFG 152322
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
222 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-161430-
222 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 989 MB LOW 250 NM WEST OF BARROW WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE HIGH
ARCTIC SAT NIGHT. A 997 MB LOW NEAR GAMBELL WILL MOVE TO NEAR NOME
AS A 1004 MB LOW BY 9AM SUN AND THEN DISSIPATE. A DEVELOPING 992
MB LOW WILL BE NEAR ST MATTHEW ISLAND 3PM SUN AND NEAR CAPE
ROMANZOF AS A 989 MB CENTER AT 3AM MON. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SEWARD PENINSULA MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ200-161430-
NORTON SOUND-
222 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 10 KT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-161430-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
222 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-161430-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
222 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-161430-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
222 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING NW. SNOW.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

SDB/RT DEC 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
600 AM AKST FRI DEC 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE GFS...ALTHOUGH
BEING THE ODD MODEL OUT WITH FUTURE BERING SEA LOW BEING A SINGLE
CENTER WITH A DEEP CENTRAL PRESSURE. THE OTHER MODELS PRESENTED A
DIFFERENT APPROACH WITH A DOUBLE CENTER WITH ONE NORTH AND ONE TO
THE SOUTH. THE GFS HAS GLEANED ONTO THIS SOLUTION IN THE 06Z RUN.

COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR BARTER ISLAND WILL PULL NORTHWARD OF THE
ARCTIC COAST BY SAT AFTERNOON. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER
EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGH SAT. THIS WILL USHER IN
VERY COLD AIR ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR. ADDITIONALLY...A
MATURE LOW WILL MOVE TO YAKUTAT BY LATER TONIGHT AND THEN WEAKEN.
THIS WILL SPIN UP SOME MOISTURE TO THE EASTERN INTERIOR. THIS LOW
IS NOT LADEN WITH A HUGE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE BUT SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT TO DROP A FEW INCHES OF SNOW IN ZONE 224 BUT MAY REACH
ADVISORY LEVEL SOUTH OF CHICKEN IN ZONE 224. UPSLOPE FLOW OVER THE
THE AREA FROM THE TOK CUTOFF EAST WILL LIKELY SEE SOME ADVISORY
LEVEL SNOWFALL THOUGH THROUGH SAT.

A BRIEF WARM UP OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR ON MON WILL GIVE WAY TO
THE RESURGENCE OF COLDER AIR ON TUE AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN THERE
THROUGH THE WEEK..

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ224-AKZ226.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

CF DEC 12