Brisk Wind Advisory 183, NWS Fairbanks, AK

662 
FZAK52 PAFG 142209
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
109 PM AKST FRI DEC 14 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-151315-
109 PM AKST FRI DEC 14 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
1009 MB HIGH NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO
WESTERN INTERIOR BY SAT AFTERNOON. A DEVELOPING 996 MB
LOW IN THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE TO
200 NM NW OF POINT LAY BY SAT AFTERNOON AS A 986 MB LOW.

$$

PKZ200-151315-
NORTON SOUND-
109 PM AKST FRI DEC 14 2012

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT.  
.SAT...S WINDS 10 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN...S WINDS 10 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT.  
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-151315-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
109 PM AKST FRI DEC 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT.  
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SNOW. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 35 KT.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 40 KT.  
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-151315-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
109 PM AKST FRI DEC 14 2012

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT.  
.SUN...SE WINDS 10 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT.  
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-151315-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
109 PM AKST FRI DEC 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 5 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT.  
.WED...NW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

SDB/RT DEC 12

744 
FZAK52 PAFG 151207
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
307 AM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-160030-
307 AM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 991 MB LOW 200 NM WEST OF POINT HOPE WILL MOVE TO 200 NM NORTH
OF POINT HOPE BY 3PM SAT AND THEN CONTINUE MOVING NORTH. A 997 MB
LOW 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL WILL MOVE TO NEAR NOME AS A 1004
MB LOW BY 9AM SUN AND THEN WEAKEN. A STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA BY 3PM SUN AND TO WESTERN NORTON SOUND BE 3PM
MON.

$$

PKZ200-160030-
NORTON SOUND-
307 AM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.TODAY...SW WINDS 5 KT BECOMING S 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-160030-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
307 AM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SNOW.
.SUN...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 45 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-160030-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
307 AM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS INCREASING TO 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-160030-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
307 AM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

DEC 12

942 
FZAK52 PAFG 152322
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
222 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-161430-
222 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 989 MB LOW 250 NM WEST OF BARROW WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE HIGH
ARCTIC SAT NIGHT. A 997 MB LOW NEAR GAMBELL WILL MOVE TO NEAR NOME
AS A 1004 MB LOW BY 9AM SUN AND THEN DISSIPATE. A DEVELOPING 992
MB LOW WILL BE NEAR ST MATTHEW ISLAND 3PM SUN AND NEAR CAPE
ROMANZOF AS A 989 MB CENTER AT 3AM MON. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SEWARD PENINSULA MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ200-161430-
NORTON SOUND-
222 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 10 KT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-161430-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
222 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-161430-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
222 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-161430-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
222 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING NW. SNOW.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

SDB/RT DEC 12

304 
FZAK52 PAFG 161221
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
321 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-170415-
321 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A COLD FRONT FROM WAINWRIGHT TO THE YUKON DELTA WILL MOVE EAST TO
PRUDHOE BAY BY 3AM MON AND THEN REMAIN QUASI STATIONARY. A 995 MB 
LOW IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO THE YUKON DELTA AS A
990 MB LOW BY 3AM MON...TO NEAR STUART ISLAND AS A 996 MB LOW BY
3PM MON AND THEN MOVE INLAND.
 
$$

PKZ200-170400-
NORTON SOUND-
321 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY
LESS THAN 1 NM. 
.MON...NE WINDS 40 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT.  
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-170415-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
321 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WINDS INCREASING TO NE 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS INCREASING TO 40 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY
LESS THAN 1 NM.  
.MON...N WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT.  
.WED...S WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU...SE WINDS 45 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-170415-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
321 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT.  
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT.  
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU...SE WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-170415-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
321 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 15 KT.  
.TONIGHT...N WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT.  
.WED...S WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU...SE WINDS 45 KT.  

$$

DEC 12

576 
FZAK52 PAFG 162223
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
123 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-171330-
123 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 993 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO NORTON SOUND
AS A 990 MB LOW BY 3PM MON AND THEN MOVE INLAND.

$$

PKZ200-171330-
NORTON SOUND-
123 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT. SNOW.
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-171330-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
123 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SNOW.
.MON...N WINDS 30 KT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-171330-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
123 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-171330-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
123 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

SDB/RT DEC 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
149 PM AKST THU DEC 13 2012

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS...SHORT RANGE SHOWS GOOD AGREEMENT MOVING SYSTEM OUT OF
THE INTERIOR THIS EVENING. MID RANGE DIFFERENCES SHOW UP IN THE
HANDLING OF THE SYSTEM THAT DEVELOPS IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC
NEXT WEEK. MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT IN HANDLING A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK.

ALOFT...AT 500 HPA...ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE INTERIOR BREAKS DOWN
AS A TROUGH DIGS IN OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE INTERIOR BY
SATURDAY MORNING WITH ANOTHER TROUGH OVER THE BERING STRAIT AND
NORTHWEST COAST. A WEAK RIDGE TRANSITS THROUGH THE FLOW SOUTH OF
THE ALASKA RANGE MONDAY AND TUESDAY KICKING THE TROUGH EAST.
A LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE WEST COAST BEHIND THE
RIDGE AND REMAIN OVER THE STATE THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
AT 850 HPA...GOOD PUSH OF COLD AIR BEHIND THE CURRENT SYSTEM
INITIALIZE AT 7C BELOW EXPECT 18C BELOW BY FRIDAY MORNING AND
26C BELOW BY SATURDAY MORNING.

SURFACE...MAIN LOW PROGRESSING EAST DRAGGING FRONT WITH IT SNOW
SHUTTING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE EVENING. GOOD CLEARING
TROUGH NEARING TANANA WILL PROGRESS SLOWLY EAST AND SOUTH THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENTUALLY MOVING THROUGH FAIRBANKS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY
AND TO THE BORDER OVERNIGHT. GOOD COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE
FRONT MAY KICK UP THE WINDS IN A FEW PLACES BUT NO SIGNIFICANT
WINDS EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR COOLING
RAPIDLY BEHIND THE TROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE FULL EFFECT OF THE COLD
REACHING THE REMAINDER OF THE INTERIOR BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO FALL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
WITH LOWS IN THE 25 TO 45 BELOW RANGE FOR MOST INTERIOR LOCATIONS.
LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL SWING A TROUGH AROUND OVER THE
SOUTHEAST INTERIOR WITH GOOD MOISTURE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY THAT WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SNOW IN SOUTHERN ZONE 224
AND EASTERN ZONE 226. UPSLOPE AREAS COULD SEE OVER A FOOT OF NEW
SNOW SO ISSUING A WATCH FOR THE AREA SOUTH OF CHICKEN AND EAST OF
THE RICHARDSON HIGHWAY. SNOW WILL ALSO FALL AS FAR NORTH AS EAGLE
BUT NOT IN SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS.

ARCTIC COAST...SNOW ENDING IN THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST THIS
EVENING...THEN PREDOMINANTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF PATCHES OF STRATUS IN THE COASTAL
AREAS THAT MAY SHED A FEW FLURRIES. SUNDAY A FRONT WILL BRING SOME
SNOW TO THE NORTHWEST COAST BUT NOT IN SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS.

WEST COAST...CLEARING CONTINUES THROUGH THE INTERIOR ZONES. COLD
AIR ADVECTION WILL PROGRESS SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH FRIDAY. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE TO FALL TONIGHT THEN REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY
FRIDAY THEN SLOWLY RISING SATURDAY. SOME LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
TONIGHT AS THE COLD AIR MOVES IN BUT GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.
DISSIPATING FRONTAL SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST SATURDAY REMAINING INTO
SUNDAY AND MAY BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE COAST.

INTERIOR...CLOUDS WILL CLEAR OUT ON FRIDAY BUT UNTIL THEN
OCCASIONAL FLURRIES ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA FROM NENANA EAST. GOOD
COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL PUSH WEEKEND TEMPERATURES DOWN RAPIDLY
FRIDAY NIGHT. BIG ISSUE WILL BE THE SNOW IN THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR
SATURDAY...EAST OF DELTA JUNCTION.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.
&&

SDB DEC 12