Small Craft Advisory 943, NWS Anchorage, AK

237 
FZAK51 PAFC 280138 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
437 PM AKST THU DEC 27 2012

CORRECTED ZONE 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281500-
400 PM AKST THU DEC 27 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 982 MB LOW 85 NM SE OF KODIAK DISSIPATES TONIGHT AS IT MOVES
TOWARDS LOWER COOK INLET. A 975 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES NORTH TO
340 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT LATE FRI MORNING...STRENGTHENS TO 968 MB
OVER BRISTOL BAY FRI NIGHT...AND THEN MOVES NORTH OVER THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND SAT MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES OVER THE SOUTHWEST
GULF FRI AFTERNOON AND TO THE NORTH GULF COAST LATE FRI NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ120-281500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST THU DEC 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 30 KT ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 40 KT ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-281500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST THU DEC 27 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-281500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
437 PM AKST THU DEC 27 2012

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 35 KT S OF NAKED ISLAND AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-281500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST THU DEC 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-281500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST THU DEC 27 2012

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN SHOWERS WITH RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT EXCEPT 10
FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-281500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST THU DEC 27 2012

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18
FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT TOWARD MORNING. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-281500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST THU DEC 27 2012

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-281500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST THU DEC 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-281500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU DEC 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

092 
FZAK51 PAFC 281255
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290300-
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 150 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT AT 965 MB FRI
AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN 970 MB 85 NM SOUTHWEST OF BETHEL SAT MORNING
BEFORE MOVING OFF TO THE NORTHWEST. ANOTHER PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO
390 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 976 MB SAT AFTERNOON AND THEN
TO 250 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY AT 972 MB LATE SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-290300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND
30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 23 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-290300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-290300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-290300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-290300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 15 KT
INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 23 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-290300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 26 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-290300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-290300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-290300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

135 
FZAK51 PAFC 290027
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291500-
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 968 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTHWEST
OF CAPE NEWENHAM AT 961 MB LATE FRI NIGHT BEFORE MOVING NORTHWEST AND
WEAKENING. A 959 MB PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 480 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK
ON SAT AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO 60 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK AT 954 MB
EARLY SUN MORNING BEFORE MOVING TO NEAR CAPE NEWENHAM AT 961 MB BY
SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-291500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT BUILDING TO 25 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-291500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT NEAR MORNING.
SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-291500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-291500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT NEAR MORNING. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-291500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND
40 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO
5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE LATE EVENING.
SEAS 18 FT EXCEPT 13 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-291500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT BUILDING TO 21 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 28 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-291500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-291500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE THIS EVENING. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT EXCEPT N 30 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-291500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 28 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE THIS EVENING. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST THU DEC 27 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE BERING SEA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE CANADIAN WEST
COAST AND EXTENDING NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE INTERIOR...LEAVING MUCH OF
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF DEEP LAYER SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES. THE UPPER LOW SOUTH OF THE AKPEN
CONTINUES TO STEADILY WEAKEN AS ITS ATTENDANT SURFACE FEATURE BREAKS
INTO A COMPLEX LOW WITH MULTIPLE CENTERS...WITH ONE LOCATED JUST
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AND ANOTHER OVER BRISTOL BAY. AN
ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT REMAINS STALLED ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...CONTINUING TO BRING A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW TO COASTAL
PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL AK. SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE ALSO
PRESENT ALONG COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA AS THE LOW MOVES
INTO BRISTOL BAY. FURTHER WEST...A STRONG VERTICALLY STACKED LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS DRIFTING SLOWLY EASTWARD ALONG 50N SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS...WITH AN ASSOCIATED FRONT BRINGING STORM FORCE
WINDS ALONG WITH RAIN AND SNOW TO THAT PART OF THE CHAIN.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN HANDLING THE WEAKENING LOW
NEAR THE AKPEN AS IT CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE EVOLUTION OF THE
NEXT SYSTEM WHICH WILL AFFECT THE REGION IN THE FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY
MORNING TIMEFRAME AS THE LOW CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
MOVES EASTWARD. THE 12Z EC SOLUTION TRENDED MUCH WEAKER AND SHIFTED
THE POSITION OF THE LOW FURTHER EAST. THE 18Z RUNS OF THE GFS AND NAM
THEN DEEPENED THE LOW AND MOVED IT BACK TO THE WEST...MORE IN LINE
WITH THE PREVIOUS EC SOLUTION. DESPITE THE DISCREPANCIES IN STRENGTH
AND POSITION AS WELL AS THE RUN TO RUN INCONSISTENCIES...THERE IS A
GENERAL CONSENSUS DEPICTING AN AMPLIFYING UPPER LEVEL WAVE ROUNDING
THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MAIN LOW AND THE SUBSEQUENT DEVELOPMENT
OF A STRONG SURFACE LOW MOVING OVER THE AKPEN AND INTO BRISTOL BAY BY
SATURDAY MORNING.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...

WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE NORTH GULF
COAST...KEEPING KODIAK ISLAND AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND IN PERIODS OF
RAIN AND SNOW THROUGH LATE FRIDAY.

ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO AN INTENSIFYING LOW APPROACHING BRISTOL BAY
FROM THE SOUTH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THIS LOW WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY A STRONG MID-LEVEL JET STREAK MOVING NORTH OF THE COOK
INLET REGION. HIGH WINDS APPEAR POSSIBLE AT THIS POINT THROUGH
PORTAGE AND TURNAGAIN ARM AS WELL AS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THERE IS
A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AT THIS POINT BUT THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE THAT
STRONG WINDS COULD IMPACT PARTS OF THE HILLSIDE OR THE ANCHORAGE BOWL
AS WELL BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. A HIGH WIND WATCH WILL BE ISSUED
WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE AND WILL HIGHLIGHT THE AREAS
WHERE WE CURRENTLY HAVE THE MOST CERTAINTY THAT HIGH WINDS WILL
OCCUR...WHICH IS OVER WESTERN TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL WITH THIS
POTENTIAL CHINOOK EVENT SATURDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY EVENING.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...

SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL PERSIST AS DISTURBANCES MOVE NORTH ACROSS
THE AREA. BY FRIDAY NIGHT A POWERFUL DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
APPROACHING LOW FROM THE SOUTH WILL MOVE SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE
REGION. STRONG CHINOOK WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE
FROM BRISTOL BAY NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS OF THE ALASKA
RANGE. A HIGH WIND WATCH WILL BE ISSUED TO REFLECT THE POSSIBILITY OF
HIGH WINDS IN LOCATIONS SUCH AS ILIAMNA AND THE FOOTHILLS OF THE
ALASKA RANGE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM. OTHERWISE...GIVEN THE
WARMTH ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL
GENERALLY BE ON THE WET SIDE. THERE IS ALSO A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN
THE TRACK OF THE LOW AND TIMING OF ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ALL OF
THIS PRECLUDES ANY ISSUANCE OF ANY WINTER WEATHER WATCHES OR WARNINGS
AT THIS TIME.

ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...

LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST JUST SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE GRADUALLY
WEAKENING. STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE OVER THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIAN
ZONES WITHIN A BROADER ENVELOPE OF GALE FORCE WINDS. STRONG LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND OVER THE FAR
EASTERN BERING SEA FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. STORM FORCE WINDS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS LOW AS IT MOVES NORTH DURING
THIS TIME.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
WHILE THERE REMAINS SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY AMONGST THE MODELS IN THE
EXTENDED TERM...THE GENERAL INDICATION IS THAT TROUGHING WILL REMAIN
OVER THE BERING INTO NEXT WEEK...SUPPORTING A CONTINUATION OF
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND ASSOCIATED WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR SOUTHCENTRAL
AK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH...101 152 161
MARINE...GALES...120 125 130 132 138 150 155 172 175 185
         STORMS...176
         HVY FRZG SPRY...179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

CB/CC DEC 12