Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 925, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Dec 21, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 21, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 22, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
446 FZAK52 PAFC 211228 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-220300- 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS FRI AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATE FRI NIGHT. A 1002 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 90 NM EAST OF CHIGNIK SAT EVENING AND WILL DEEPEN TO 998 MB SAT NIGHT. $$ PKZ150-220300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ155-220300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 15 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ160-220300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. $$ PKZ165-220300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NW 30 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ180-220300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. $$ PKZ170-220300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ171-220300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ172-220300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 31 FT. $$ PKZ175-220300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 30 FT. $$ PKZ176-220300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ185-220300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT. $$ PKZ179-220300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
447 FZAK52 PAFC 212355 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-221500- 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL DISSIPATE BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE BERING SEA SAT MORNING THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BY SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-221500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ155-221500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT...INCREASING TO 25 KT W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ160-221500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. .SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT E OF 160W. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. $$ PKZ165-221500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. W OF COLD BAY...WIND BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ180-221500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. $$ PKZ170-221500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. $$ PKZ171-221500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-221500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SAT...VARIABLE 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 31 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 28 FT. $$ PKZ175-221500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC SIDE. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. .WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT. $$ PKZ176-221500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ185-221500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT. .WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 22 FT. $$ PKZ179-221500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$
470 FZAK52 PAFC 221223 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-230300- 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON. A 999 MB LOW WILL FORM 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK SAT EVENING THEN MOVE TO 210 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK AT 991 MB SUN MORNING AND THEN TO 90 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK SUN NIGHT AT 981 MB. A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BY SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-230300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ155-230300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ160-230300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. $$ PKZ165-230300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ180-230300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. $$ PKZ170-230300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ171-230300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-230300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NE 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ175-230300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ176-230300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ185-230300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE ICE EDGE. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-230300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$
643 FZAK52 PAFC 222358 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-231500- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 1003 MB LOW NEAR CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO 90 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK AT 995 MB LATE TONIGHT...THEN TO 80 NM NORTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY AT 990 MB MON AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST BERING SEA SUN NIGHT. A 984 MB LOW WILL FORM ON THIS FRONT 90 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-231500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ155-231500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...NW WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ160-231500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. $$ PKZ165-231500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ180-231500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. $$ PKZ170-231500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ171-231500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...N WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT...DIMINISHING TO NW 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-231500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT W OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT W OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ175-231500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ176-231500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ185-231500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ179-231500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ JM
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 20, 2:00 PM AKST, 14 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 20, 2:00 PM AKST, 14 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKST THU DEC 20 2012
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 60 HOURS. GENERALLY THE FORECASTS
INCORPORATE THE NAM FOR ITS BETTER HANDLING OF TERRAIN RELATED/SMALL
SCALE FEATURES. AFTER 60 HOURS THERE STARTS TO BE SOME DIVERGENCE ON
HOW THE MODELS HANDLE THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN
ALASKA...AND THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW(S) OVER THE GULF. THE GFS
TENDS TO BE SLOWER WITH THE UPPER LOW WHILE THE NAM AND ECMWF ARE A
LITTLE FASTER. AS THE LOW MOVES WEST AND BEGINS TO SPLIT...THE GFS
IS PUSHING MORE OF THE ENERGY INTO THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE SPLIT
WITH THE NAM AND ECMWF PUTTING MORE ENERGY IN THE SOUTHERN BRANCH.
THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH AT THIS POINT IN THE
FORECAST...BUT THERE ARE PLENTY OF MODEL RUNS AHEAD FOR THIS TO SORT
ITSELF OUT.
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS A HUGE BLOCKING RIDGE BETWEEN 150 AND 160 DEGREES WEST
LONGITUDE. THIS RIDGE IS NEARLY FULL-LATITUDE...IT STRETCHES FROM
THE TROPICS TO 80 DEGREES NORTH. THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER
THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA THAT IS CONTINUING TO MOVE SOUTH. A
WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STRETCHES NORTH FROM THIS LOW INTO THE
ARCTIC OCEAN NEAR MACKENZIE BAY. THERE IS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW
CENTERED OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW
OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN BERING SEA. NORTHERLY FLOW IS OVER MOST
OF SOUTHERN ALASKA.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE OVER-ALL PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE INTO FRIDAY. THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLOWLY GET SQUEEZED FRIDAY AND THEN WILL "PINCH
OFF" WITH A CLOSED HIGH MOVING INTO THE ARCTIC OCEAN NEAR POINT
BARROW SATURDAY MORNING. AS THIS HAPPENS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE YUKON TERRITORY FRIDAY NIGHT AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN
ALASKA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN SPLIT ON SUNDAY
WITH SOME OF THE ENERGY MOVING NORTHWEST INTO WESTERN ALASKA...AND
SOME MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE MODELS AGREE
THERE WILL BE A SPLIT...BUT DISAGREE ON HOW EXACTLY THIS WILL
PROGRESS.
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...STRONG WINDS OVER FAVORED AREAS WILL CONTINUE
INTO FRIDAY WITH THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH ON FRIDAY AS THE SURFACE GRADIENT
RELAXES. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA LATER SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY...CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL RETURN TO THE AREA.
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WILL REMAIN DRY AND SEASONABLY COLD INTO SUNDAY
AS THE RIDGE STUBBORNLY HOLDS BACK ANY INTRUSION OF MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT
PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE IN FROM THE EAST AS THE UPPER LOW SLIDES
INTO THE AREA.
ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA...SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING PRECIPITATION INTO THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY (MOSTLY IN THE FORM
OF RAIN). PRECIPITATION WILL THEN SLACK OFF FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE BERING SEA.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST IS A BIT UNCERTAIN DUE TO MODEL DISAGREEMENT.
BUT WITH THE LACK OF A STRONG BLOCKING RIDGE...THERE IS SOME CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION FOR MOST AREAS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 111 131 135.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 127 128 130 170 172 175 176 179 180 185.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 125 126 127 128 129 130 132 138
140 141 160.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
LUDWIG DEC 12The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 20, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Dec 20, 4:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 21, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Dec 21, 4:00 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.