Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 90, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 30, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 30, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 50 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Feb 1, 2012, 6:00 AM AKST
In force
50 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

273 
FZAK52 PAFC 301232
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-310300-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 981 MB LOW 100 NM NW OF ADAK MOVES TO NEAR ATKA AT 984 MB MON
NIGHT...THEN MOVES TO 70 NM SE OF ATKA AT 982 MB BEFORE BECOMING
ABSORBED INTO A STRENGTHENING NORTH PACIFIC LOW. A 998 MB LOW 415 NM
W OF SHEMYA TUE MORNING MOVES TO 175 NM W OF SHEMYA AT 995 MB LATE
TUE NIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS TO 957 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 375 NM S OF SAND POINT LATE TUE NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-310300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-310300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-310300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-310300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-310300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-310300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...BERING SIDE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SW
WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 8 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...
SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...BERING SIDE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SW 
WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-310300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-310300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...BERING SIDE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...W
WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 11 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...
SEAS 17 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE
15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-310300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-310300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-310300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. 

$$

PKZ179-310300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT...GUSTING TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW 
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.  

$$

JAM
3 follow-up statements
751 
FZAK52 PAFC 310003
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-311500-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 984 MB LOW 110 NM NORTH OF ADAK MOVES TO 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA
AT 980 MB TUE EVENING THEN DISSIPATES EARLY WED MORNING. A DEVELOPING
LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC MOVES TO 230 NM WEST OF SHEMYA AT 984 MB
WED AFTERNOON. A 960 MB LOW 370 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT TUE NIGHT
MOVES TO 290 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY AND STRENGTHENS TO 943 MB WED
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-311500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-311500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE
WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-311500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. 

$$

PKZ165-311500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  PATCHY
FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO
7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-311500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 30 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-311500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PACIFIC SIDE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-311500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-311500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT BERING SIDE...17 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT
BECOMING N 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-311500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-311500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-311500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-311500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.  

$$
160 
FZAK52 PAFC 311220
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-010300-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 983 MB LOW NEAR ATKA WILL MOVE TO 270 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR
THIS EVENING AND DISSIPATE. A PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 80 NM
NORTHWEST OF ATTU AT 994 MB LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVE TO AROUND 220 
NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK AT 991 MB LATE WED NIGHT. ANOTHER PACIFIC LOW
WILL MOVE TO 365 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 960 MB LATE
TONIGHT...PEAK AT 942 MB 260 NM EAST OF SAND POINT WED AFTERNOON AND
THEN TRACK INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WED EVENING. 
$$

PKZ150-010300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 50 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS
13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-010300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 
FT. 
.WED...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-010300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. 
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. 

$$

PKZ165-010300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT EXCEPT 3 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-010300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-010300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 8 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS
15 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-010300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-010300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT S 20 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 13 
FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-010300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-010300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT BECOMING SW 15 KT FROM SHEMYA W IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-010300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-010300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 35 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT.  

$$

JAM
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 312351
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-011500-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 979 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA MOVES SOUTHEAST AND WEAKENS
TONIGHT. A 992 MB LOW 90 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 320 NM
NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA AT 986 MB WED NIGHT. THIS LOW THEN MOVES TO 
240 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL AT 991 MB THU AFTERNOON. A 967 MB 
LOW 480 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT MOVES TO 220 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND
POINT AT 948 MB WED AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-011500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-011500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG 
THE COAST. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
ALONG THE COAST. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-011500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SNOW.
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-011500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT EXCEPT 2 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. 
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT 
EXCEPT 2 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-011500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-011500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-011500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 
50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-011500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 40 KT
BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-011500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-011500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-011500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-011500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 29, 4:00 PM AKST, 12 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 29, 4:00 PM AKST, 12 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 29 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN REMAINS UNCHANGED WITH A COLD CORE UPPER
LEVEL LOW ANCHORED FAR NORTH NEAR BARROW. THE ZONAL JET STREAM IS
WELL SOUTH OF OUR DOMAIN FLOWING WEST TO EAST ABOUT 40N. MULTIPLE
WAVES ARE SPINNING UP ALONG THE ZONAL FLOW NEAR THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
AND MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND
VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER THE INTERIOR.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
ALL SYNOPTIC FEATURES ARE WELL REPRESENTED BY THE FORECAST MODELS.
SOME INCONSISTENCIES FROM RUN TO RUN HAVE COME UP ALTHOUGH MODELS ARE
GENERALLY IN AGREEMENT WITH EACH OTHER. THE AFTERNOON FORECAST
PACKAGE WILL BE LARGELY BASED OFF OF THE 12Z ECMWF.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND THE GULF...A SLIGHT CHANGE IN THE PATTERN
UNDERWAY AS CLOUDS AND WARMER AIR APPROACHES SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA FROM
THE WEST. THE FIRST SHORTWAVE IS CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS WILL BRING
SNOW TO KODIAK ISLAND AND THE COASTAL ZONES AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND. AS FLOW BECOMES SOUTHWEST ALOFT...THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERIOR SECTION OF
SOUTHCENTRAL INCLUDING ANCHORAGE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING AS
WARM AIR AND MOISTURE OVERRUNS THE VERY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS IN PLACE.
THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE UNTIL TUESDAY AS THE
REMNANTS OF THE SURFACE LOW MOVE INLAND ACROSS THE PANHANDLE AND
SHORTWAVE RIDGING TAKES OVER IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.

THE NEXT SYSTEM WHICH WILL DEVELOP MID WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
BRING SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE AND MUCH WARMER AIR TO THE COASTAL ZONES.
AGAIN...WE WILL HAVE TO MONITOR PLACES LIKE KODIAK AND AROUND PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND. ANY RAIN COULD VERY RAPIDLY LEAD TO FLOODING CONCERNS
AFTER THE PROLONGED COLD SPELL WE HAVE BEEN UNDER THIS MONTH.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE BERING SEA...
MOISTURE AND SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES HAS INVADED SOUTHWEST
ALASKA TODAY. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS ARE LIMITED TO THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA WHICH COULD LAST ANOTHER FEW DAYS. THE LIGHT SNOW AND CLOUDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TRAVERSING THE REGION
WILL EXIT BY MONDAY AFTERNOON RESULTING IN TEMPERATURES AGAIN
PLUMMETING UNDER CLEAR SKIES.

AS THE PATTERN CONTINUES TO EVOLVE THIS WEEK...A DEEP 955 MB LOW WILL
DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THIS WILL SEND ABUNDANT
MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IS HIGH FROM THE
ALASKA PENINSULA UP TO THE DELTA IF THIS LOW DEVELOPS HOW THE MODELS
ARE ADVERTISING. AS CONFIDENCE GROWS IN THIS SCENARIO...WE WILL
LIKELY BE CONSIDERING WATCHES FOR THE AFFECTED ZONES SOON.

.BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
WARM AIR INVADING THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL GRADUALLY
GIVE WAY AS COLD AIR WRAPS AROUND THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
RELATIVELY TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL RESUME ACROSS THE BERING SEA WITH
COLD AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS PREVAILING THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN BY WEDNESDAY IN RESPONSE TO
THE DEEP LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. A LARGE SYSTEM DEVELOPS
BY THE END OF THE WEEK BRINGING GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS BACK TO THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WIND CHILL ADVISORY 155
MARINE...GALE 138 172 175 176
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 126 127 128 129 130 141 179
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AB JAN 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 29, 4:00 PM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 29, 4:00 PM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Jan 29, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Jan 29, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Jan 29, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Jan 29, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC12 hr
Jan 30, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 30, 4:08 AM AKSTBlizzard WatchAFC16 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.