Small Craft Advisory 898, NWS Anchorage, AK

339 
FZAK51 PAFC 101530 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
630 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

UPDATED ZONES 129 AND 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-110300-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 997 MB LOW WILL WEAKEN OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA TODAY. A 1004 MB LOW
250 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 50 NM WEST OF SITKA TUE EVENING
THEN MOVE INLAND AND DISSIPATE TUE NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-110300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-110300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-110300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-110300-
PASSAGE CANAL
630 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS 
TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-110300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS
14 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-110300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-110300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
630 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-110300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE 
WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE 
WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-110300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

029 
FZAK51 PAFC 110002
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-111500-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 10 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 989 MB LOW 135 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES 
OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA TONIGHT. A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN 
GULF WED MORNING AND TRACK TO THE CENTRAL GULF WED AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-111500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. NORTH AND EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...E WIND
20 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. ALONG THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
$$

PKZ121-111500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-111500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ129-111500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-111500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
$$

PKZ132-111500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT W 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-111500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING 
SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
$$

PKZ140-111500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-111500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 10 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

965 
FZAK51 PAFC 111251
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-120300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1003 MB LOW 75 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATE
BY TUE NIGHT. A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF WED MORNING AND
TRACK TO THE EASTERN GULF WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-120300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-120300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-120300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-120300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-120300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-120300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-120300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-120300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-120300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

774 
FZAK51 PAFC 120008
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121500-
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE WESTERN GULF TUE EVENING AND REACH THE
NORTH GULF COAST BY WED AFTERNOON. A 990 MB LOW WILL FORM 30 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HOMER WED MORNING AND MOVE INLAND NEAR CORDOVA WED
EVENING.
$$

PKZ120-121500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. N AND E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND
10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND
30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-121500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-121500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-121500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-121500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT
EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-121500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-121500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-121500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING
TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-121500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1105 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...LONG-WAVE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM ASIA
ACROSS THE PACIFIC TO ALASKA. EMBEDDED SHORT-WAVES ARE OF RELATIVELY
LOW AMPLITUDE WITH A NEAR ZONAL JET ALONG THE BASE OF THE LONG-WAVE
PRODUCING GENERALLY FAST AND PROGRESSIVE FLOW. A WEAKENING LOW OVER
THE EASTERN BERING IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA
COAST. THERE ARE A PLETHORA OF EMBEDDED WAVES EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION PRODUCING AREAS OF SNOW OR RAIN FROM THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. A
SHORT-WAVE THROUGH OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IS BEGINNING TO
LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE GULF THANKS TO A BLOCKING RIDGE OVER
THE EAST PACIFIC. A LOOK UPSTREAM SHOWS A SERIES OF LOWS MOVING OUT
OF ASIA INTO THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH WEAKENING
SYSTEM OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THERE ARE MINOR DIFFERENCES IN EXACT
TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF INDIVIDUAL UPPER WAVES...BUT MODELS TEND
NOT TO HANDLE THESE PERFECTLY ANYWAY. THUS...WILL TOUGH TO NAIL
DOWN EXACT TIMING OF PRECIP OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AS THESE
MOVE THROUGH. MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH TRACK OF PACIFIC
SHORT-WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW AS IT CROSSES THE GULF MONDAY.
WILL STICK WITH THE GFS SOLUTION WHICH HAS SHOWN THE BEST RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY. MODEL SPREAD IS EVEN LARGER WITH EVOLUTION OF SYSTEMS
MOVING FROM THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC INTO THE BERING SEA THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS. THE ECMWF HAS SHOWN THE MOST CONSISTENCY AND IS
PREFERRED BY NOW...ALTHOUGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...A SERIES OF UPPER WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH MONDAY EVENING PRODUCING PERIODS OF SNOW
INLAND AND RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE COAST. THE WAVES ARE RELATIVELY
WEAK AND FAST MOVING SO EXPECT GENERALLY MINOR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION.

THE EXCEPTION WILL BE NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND (VALDEZ AREA)
WHICH WILL SEE ENHANCED SNOWFALL DUE TO UPSLOPE FLOW. THE TROUGH/LOW
OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC WILL TRACK ACROSS THE GULF MONDAY
AND HELP PULL EVERYTHING EASTWARD SO THAT SOUTHCENTRAL WILL DRY OUT
MONDAY NIGHT. WITH A LOW OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND RIDGE BUILDING
INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REALLY TIGHTEN UP.
THERE WILL ALSO BE A LITTLE BIT OF LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION.
THEREFORE...EXPECT A FAIRLY SHORT PERIOD (12 HOURS OR SO) OF STRONG
GAP FLOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF. THE NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT
SOUTHCENTRAL WILL COME IN FROM THE BERING SEA SOMETIME TUESDAY NIGHT
OR WEDNESDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIP.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL MOVE ONSHORE
THIS AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATE INLAND TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. COLDER AIR
WILL GRADUALLY FILTER IN SOUTH OF THE LOW CENTER CHANGING
PRECIPITATION IN BRISTOL BAY BACK TO ALL SNOW. WEAKENING LOW AND
WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVES WILL PRODUCE GENERALLY LIGHT SNOWFALL AND
MINOR ACCUMULATION. THERE WILL BE SOME STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ALONG
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND INTO BRISTOL BAY THIS EVENING ASSOCIATED
WITH THE ISALLOBARIC MAX. CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT MONDAY NIGHT AS
THE REMNANTS OF THE LOW MOVE EASTWARD TO SOUTHCENTRAL AND HIGH
PRESSURE QUICKLY MOVES IN FROM THE BERING SEA. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM
WILL RAPIDLY CROSS THE BERING SEA AND ARRIVE IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA
TUESDAY. DUE TO A MUCH FARTHER NORTH TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM EXPECT
WARMER AIR TO ALSO MAKE IT FURTHER NORTH...LIKELY WARM ENOUGH TO
CHANGE PRECIP TO RAIN ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST. THERE IS ALSO A
GOOD CHANCE OF SOME FREEZING RAIN AS THE WARM AIR FIRST ARRIVES...SO
WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THAT POTENTIAL AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE EVENT.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...A MUCH MORE ACTIVE PATTERN IS SETTING UP FOR
THE BERING SEA AS LOWS MOVING OUT OF ASIA TRACK RIGHT ACROSS THE
BERING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WILL INITIALLY ADVECT MUCH WARMER AIR
NORTHWARD RESULTING IN PRIMARILY RAIN ACROSS THE REGION BY TUESDAY.
THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TRACK OF
SYSTEMS...BUT EXPECT DEEP LOWS TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD GALE TO STORM
FORCE WINDS AS THEY MOVE THROUGH.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...LOOK FOR PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL FLOW TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE EXTENDED. THIS WILL RESULT IN A FAST STORM
TRACK AND A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION EVERY TWO OR THREE DAYS. THERE
IS A VERY LARGE MODEL SPREAD IN THE TRACK OF INDIVIDUAL SYSTEMS...SO
CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND LOCATION OF THESE IS LOW. AFTER WARMING
UP EARLY THIS WEEK WITH STORMS TRACKING TO THE NORTHERN BERING
THERE IS AGREEMENT ON COOLING THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE BERING SEA
AND ALASKA MAINLAND AS WE HEAD THROUGH MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK AS
UPSTREAM FLOW ORIGINATES FROM SIBERIA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...130 176.
         GALE WARNING...120 132 150 155 160 170 172 175 179 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB DEC 12