Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 726, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 11, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 11, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Oct 14, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

057 
FZAK51 PAFC 112352
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121500-
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE TO 70 NM SOUTH OF
CORDOVA FRI NIGHT AND DISSIPATE. A DEVELOPING 983 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTH
OF CASTLE CAPE FRI AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO NEAR KODIAK SAT MORNING AND
DISSIPATE. A PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK SAT
AFTERNOON AT 975 MB. 
$$

PKZ120-121500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-121500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-121500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-121500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1
FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-121500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-121500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-121500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-121500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 4 FT N OF
KALGIN ISLAND. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-121500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
8 follow-up statements
669 
FZAK51 PAFC 121141
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130300-
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 986 MB LOW 190 NM SOUTH OF CAPE FAIRWEATHER WILL WEAKEN AND
DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON. A 982 MB LOW FORMING 230 NM SOUTH OF 
KODIAK CITY WILL DRIFT TO 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT 979 MB SAT
MORNING...THEN WILL BECOME ABSORBED BY A PACIFIC LOW THAT TRACKS TO
410 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 975 MB SUN MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-130300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-130300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-130300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING
OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-130300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-130300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-130300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-130300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-130300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-130300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$
005 
FZAK51 PAFC 122342
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131500-
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 977 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO 100 NM EAST OF
KODIAK SAT AFTERNOON THEN DRIFT WEST AND DISSIPATE LATE SAT NIGHT. A
DEVELOPING 976 MB LOW 525 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK WILL DEEPEN TO 972
MB AND MOVE TO 450 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND SAT AFTERNOON...THEN 
MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 967 MB SUN.
$$

PKZ120-131500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-131500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-131500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-131500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-131500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN AMD SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-131500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-131500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 
8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-131500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-131500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
214 
FZAK51 PAFC 130001 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

CORRECTED AREA 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131500-
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 977 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO 100 NM EAST OF
KODIAK SAT AFTERNOON THEN DRIFT WEST AND DISSIPATE LATE SAT NIGHT. A
DEVELOPING 976 MB LOW 525 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK WILL DEEPEN TO 972
MB AND MOVE TO 450 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND SAT AFTERNOON...THEN 
MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 967 MB SUN.
$$

PKZ120-131500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-131500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-131500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-131500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-131500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-131500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-131500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 
8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-131500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-131500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
622 
FZAK51 PAFC 131129
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140300-
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 978 MB LOW 90 NM EAST OF SITKINAK WILL WEAKEN AND BECOME ABSORBED
BY A PACIFIC LOW THAT TRACKS TO 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND
AT 970 MB SUN MORNING. THIS COMPLEX LOW THEN MOVES TO AROUND 110 NM
SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH MON 
MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-140300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 11 
FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-140300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-140300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-140300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-140300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-140300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-140300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-140300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-140300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
583 
FZAK51 PAFC 131654 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
900 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

UPDATED ZONES 120 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140300-
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 978 MB LOW 90 NM EAST OF SITKINAK WILL WEAKEN AND BECOME ABSORBED
BY A PACIFIC LOW THAT TRACKS TO 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND
AT 970 MB SUN MORNING. THIS COMPLEX LOW THEN MOVES TO AROUND 110 NM
SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH MON 
MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-140300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
900 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. EAST OF
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT NE 25 KT WEST OF HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-140300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-140300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-140300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-140300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-140300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-140300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
900 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-140300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-140300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
394 
FZAK51 PAFC 132345
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141500-
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 978 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE OVER KODIAK ISLAND SUN
THEN MOVE TO 250 NM EAST OF KODIAK MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-141500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE WIND 20 KT W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.
SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-141500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-141500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-141500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THEN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-141500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-141500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-141500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-141500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-141500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$
018 
FZAK51 PAFC 140656 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1055 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

UPDATED ZONES 130 132 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141500-
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 978 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE OVER KODIAK ISLAND SUN
THEN MOVE TO 250 NM EAST OF KODIAK MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-141500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE WIND 20 KT W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.
SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-141500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-141500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-141500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THEN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-141500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1055 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-141500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
1055 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-141500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
1055 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT...GUSTING TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.

.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-141500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-141500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$
716 
FZAK51 PAFC 141143
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-150300-
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A COMPLEX 970 MB LOW 420 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE
TO 120 NM SOUTHWEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 978 MB MON MORNING...THEN
DRIFT TO AROUND 60 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA AT 984 MB TUE MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-150300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-150300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-150300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-150300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-150300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-150300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-150300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES 
AFTER MIDNIGHT SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-150300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-150300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 11, 5:35 AM AKDT, 10 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 5:35 AM AKDT, 10 hours 25 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
535 AM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A DRY UPPER-LVL TROUGH SWUNG THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER BASIN OVERNIGHT
AND IS NOW EJECTING TO THE SOUTHEAST. SOME FORCING FROM THIS TROUGH
COUPLED WITH COOLER AIR BLEEDING SOUTH FROM THE INTERIOR HAVE
PRODUCED SOME GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS OUT OF THE MATANUSKA VALLEY DOWN
THROUGH PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE IS SLIPPING
SOUTH OF THE AK RANGE INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY WITH A FEW CLOUDS BUT
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION. AN UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHERN GULF BUT RETAINS ENOUGH INTEGRITY AND
INFLUENCE TO SUPPORT FAIR WEATHER OVER MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL AK. AN
EAST TO WEST ORIENTED FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF IS WEAKENING AS IT
MOVES INTO THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE...BUT IS BRUSHING KODIAK ISLAND
WITH SOME LIGHT RAIN. FURTHER WEST...BROAD LOW PRESSURE EXISTS OVER
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN SIBERIA. IN
BETWEEN THESE FEATURES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS SUBSTANTIALLY
SQUEEZED AND IS YIELDING BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA/BRISTOL BAY AS WELL AS EASTERLY GALES OVER THE BERING. SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE AROUND 300 MILES SOUTH OF NIKOLSKI HAS REACHED PEAK
INTENSITY AROUND 970 MB AND IS FILLING AS IT MOVES EAST. AN ELONGATED
FRONT EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM IT SUPPORTS RAIN THROUGH THE CENTRAL
AND WESTERN CHAIN.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS HAVE AN ACCEPTABLE HANDLE ON THE MAIN FEATURES. IN THE
EAST...A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE IS DEPICTED FORMING AROUND 250 MILES
SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY FRI MORNING AND MOVING TO AROUND 120 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY SAT MORNING. THIS LOW THEN APPEARS TO BECOME
FAIRLY COMPLEX DURING THE WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM SOUTH OF NIKOLSKI AND
A VIGOROUS TROUGH SLIPPING SOUTH OUT OF NORTHERN AK REINFORCE IT. THE
GFS TENDS TO CONSOLIDATE ALL THE ENERGY INTO ONE BROAD LOW WHILE THE
ECMWF AND TO AN EXTENT THE NAM DEPICT NEW CENTERS IN THE SOUTHERN TO
EASTERN GULF. HAVE TENDED TO PUT MORE STOCK IN THE MULTIPLE CENTER
SOLUTIONS BECAUSE AS THE SUPPORTING UPPER JET BEGINS TO POKE BACK
TOWARDS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF NEW SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENTS ARE
POSSIBLE/LIKELY. FURTHER WEST...MODELS SHOW HIGH PRESSURE OVER
EASTERN RUSSIA BUILDING INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA. CONSIDERABLE
COLD ADVECTION ALSO FILTERS DOWN THE EASTERN BERING WITH THE VIGOROUS
UPPER-LVL TROUGH...DEPICTED SIMILARLY AMONG THE MODELS. THE MORNING
FORECASTS TRENDED TOWARDS THE ECWMF INTO THIS WEEKEND AND TO HPC
GUIDANCE IN DIVERGING MODEL SOLUTIONS MID NEXT WEEK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
THERE ARE STILL SOME AREAS OF FOG/STRATUS ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM/PORTAGE
VALLEY/WHITTIER...BUT SHOULD SEE MUCH OF THIS RETREAT TO THE INLET
WATERS TODAY. AND EVEN THOUGH THE UPPER-RIDGE IS BREAKING DOWN IT
SHOULD STILL ALLOW FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF DAYS WORTH OF AMPLE SUNSHINE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. AS THE SYSTEM IN THE GULF GETS
BETTER ORGANIZED THIS WEEKEND...EXPECT INCREASED CLOUDINESS AND
PRECIPITATION TO BEGIN TO PUSH BACK INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH
AHEAD OF AN ASSOCIATED FRONT. AT THIS JUNCTURE IT APPEARS THE LION'S
SHARE SHOULD FALL AS RAIN AT SEA LEVEL WITH SOME WET SNOW ALONG THE
MOUNTAINS. KODIAK ISLAND DUE TO PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW AND PROXIMITY
TO THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM SHOULD SEE RAIN INTENSITY BECOME
STEADIER/HEAVIER WITH TIME.

SOUTHWEST...
FOR THE MOST PART EXPECTING DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND IN OFF-SHORE FLOW...ALBEIT MARKEDLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.
SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION FROM THE GULF SYSTEM MAY SPILL ACROSS THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE INTO EASTERN BRISTOL BAY ON SAT.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
STEADY RAIN ACROSS THE CHAIN TAPERS TO SHOWERS AS THE LOW SOUTH
NIKOLSKI SLIPS EAST AND AWAY FROM THE REGION. COLD ADVECTION ALSO
FILTERS DOWN THE BERING WITH THE VIGOROUS UPPER-LVL TROUGH WHICH SETS
UP A REGIME FOR APPRECIABLE SHOWER COVERAGE.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL...FORECAST CHALLENGES FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK INCLUDE
HOW MUCH RESIDUAL MOISTURE AND PRECIPITATION LINGERS FROM THE GULF
SYSTEM WHILE COLD AIR FROM THE INTERIOR MIGRATES SOUTHEAST. SHOWERY
REGIME LOOKS DOMINANT OVER THE EASTERN BERING WHILE THE WESTERN
BERING/CHAIN LOOKS TO BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE AND
RATHER BENIGN WEATHER.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE...132 138 172 179 180 185 411 412 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

MALOY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 11, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Oct 11, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC4 days
Oct 12, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC5 days
Oct 12, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.