Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 684, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 27, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 27, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 27, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Sep 29, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

826 
FZAK51 PAFC 271145
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280300-
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A LARGE 957 MB LOW 80 NM EAST OF KODIAK WILL WEAKEN TO 981 MB 
AND DRIFT INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND FRI MORNING. A NEW 990 MB 
LOW WILL FORM IN UPPER COOK INLET FRI NIGHT AND STALL AND WEAKEN 
TO 1000 MB SAT MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-280300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
W OF CAPE CLEARE...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-280300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-280300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-280300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-280300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-280300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT W 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 13
FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT W 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-280300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.  SEAS 6
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-280300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-280300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.

.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
7 follow-up statements
367 
FZAK51 PAFC 272349
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281500-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 970 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE NEAR
ANCHORAGE AT 990 MB FRI AFTERNOON AND THEN CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD
AND WEAKEN THROUGH SAT. A 1006 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 80 NM NORTHEAST OF
KODIAK CITY SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-281500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF CAPE
CLEARE...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT W OF CAPE CLEARE
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-281500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-281500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-281500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-281500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-281500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-281500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-281500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-281500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
810 
FZAK51 PAFC 281155
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290300-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 982 MB LOW OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND MOVES INLAND AND WEAKENS 
FRI MORNING. A 1004 MB LOW FORMS SAT MORNING NEAR SITKINAK
AND WEAKENS TO 1008 MB SAT NIGHT AS IT MOVES TO 90 NM SOUTH 
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.
$$

PKZ120-290300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-290300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-290300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-290300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT THIS MORNING THEN 
DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING 
TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-290300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT W 40 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE
10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-290300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT W 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-290300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT SHIFTING TO NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-290300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
S OF ANCHOR POINT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT EXCEPT SW 30 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-290300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN 
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
058 
FZAK51 PAFC 282313
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291500-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 991 MB LOW NEAR ANCHORAGE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE
NORTHWARD THROUGH SAT MORNING. A 1004 MB LOW 40 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK
SAT MORNING WILL MOVE TO 110 NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 1013 MB
SUN AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-291500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-291500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT DEVELOPING THIS EVENING. 
SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-291500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-291500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-291500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-291500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING
SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-291500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-291500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 5 
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-291500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 
KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

JM
963 
FZAK51 PAFC 291158
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300300-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1002 MB LOW 50 NM WEST OF SITKINAK WEAKENS TO 1012 MB SUN 
AFTERNOON 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AND CONTINUES 
WEAKENING TO 1014 MB SUN NIGHT 90 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT.
$$

PKZ120-300300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-300300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-300300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-300300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO LESS THAN 10 KT 
BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-300300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING 
SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 25 KT
BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-300300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING THEN SHIFTING 
TO W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-300300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-300300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS MORNING THEN
BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING
VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-300300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS MORNING 
THEN BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT 
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
825 
FZAK51 PAFC 291413 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
615 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

CORRECTED ZONE 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300300-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1002 MB LOW 50 NM WEST OF SITKINAK WEAKENS TO 1012 MB SUN 
AFTERNOON 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AND CONTINUES 
WEAKENING TO 1014 MB SUN NIGHT 90 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT.
$$

PKZ120-300300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-300300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-300300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-300300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO LESS THAN 10 KT 
BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-300300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING 
SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 25 KT
BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-300300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING THEN SHIFTING 
TO W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-300300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-300300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS MORNING THEN
BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING
VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-300300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS MORNING 
THEN BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT 
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
079 
FZAK51 PAFC 291439 CCB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
640 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

CORRECTED ZONE 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300300-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1002 MB LOW 50 NM WEST OF SITKINAK WEAKENS TO 1012 MB SUN 
AFTERNOON 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AND CONTINUES 
WEAKENING TO 1014 MB SUN NIGHT 90 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT.
$$

PKZ120-300300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-300300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-300300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-300300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO LESS THAN 10 KT 
BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-300300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING 
SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 25 KT
BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-300300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING THEN SHIFTING 
TO W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-300300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-300300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS MORNING THEN
BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING
VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-300300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS MORNING 
THEN BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT 
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
879 
FZAK51 PAFC 292318
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301500-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1003 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WEAKENS TO 1010 MB SUN
AFTERNOON 65 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AND CONTINUES WEAKENING
TO 1017 MB MON MORNING AS IT MOVES INLAND NEAR SITKA. HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF MON.
$$

PKZ120-301500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-301500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 
FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-301500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-301500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-301500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-301500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-301500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-301500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-301500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 
FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

JM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 26, 5:00 PM AKDT, 11 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 26, 5:00 PM AKDT, 11 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 PM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE DOMINANT FEATURE ON THE WEATHER MAP IS A STRONG LOW SOUTHEAST OF
KODIAK ISLAND THAT HAS UNDERGONE EXPLOSIVE STRENGTHENING IN THE LAST
12-24 HOURS. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE LOW HAS DROPPED TO NEAR 950
MB AS THE SYSTEM GAINS ENERGY FROM A 170 KT JET STREAM ROUNDING THE
BASE OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH. HEAVY RAIN AND STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
ADVANCING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE NORTH GULF COAST

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FIRST 84 HOURS
OF THE FORECAST TODAY. THE GFS IS A BIT ON THE SLOW SIDE WITH SURFACE
LOW POSITION AS THE MAJOR GULF LOW WEAKENS AND MOVES TOWARD PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND TOMORROW...THUS HAVE OPTED FOR A NAM/EC PHILOSOPHY IN
THE AFTERNOON FORECAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...THE WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG LOW WILL
IMPACT THE NORTH GULF COAST THIS EVENING BEFORE BREAKING APART ON THE
COASTAL MOUNTAINS. THIS FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF VERY STRONG
WINDS TO MANY COASTAL LOCATIONS...MAINLY AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND...IN ADDITION TO CONTINUED HEAVY RAINFALL. HOWEVER...EQUALLY
SIGNIFICANT TO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL BE THE EXTREMELY STRONG
PRESSURE GRADIENTS THAT DEVELOP AROUND COOK INLET DUE TO THE VERY LOW
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THIS STORM. THIS IS ALREADY RESULTING IN STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS DEVELOPING IN COOK INLET AND AFFECTING LOCATIONS
ALONG THE INLET IN THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
STRENGTHEN OVERNIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING THURSDAY MORNING. MOST INLAND
AREAS WILL REMAIN DOWNSLOPED AS THE STORM POUNDS THE COASTS...AND
LIKELY WILL NOT SEE MUCH APPRECIABLE RAINFALL UNTIL THE LEFTOVERS OF
THIS STORM MOVE ONSHORE NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND ON FRIDAY.

SOUTHWEST...DESPITE THE PROXIMITY TO SUCH A DEEP LOW MOST OF THE AREA
WILL SEE RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS WITH THE LARGEST STORM IMPACT
BEING GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST FOR
THE START OF THE WEEKEND AS THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON MOVES
IN FROM THE WEST.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SEASONABLY COLD AIR
DOWN INTO THE BERING SEA REGION FROM THE BERING STRAIT. THE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE WEST BECOMES MORE ZONAL BY SATURDAY WHICH WILL
SWING WINDS AROUND TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION. NO MAJOR STORM
SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
ONCE THE CURRENT STRONG LOW IN THE GULF WEAKENS AND THE REMNANTS
DRIFT INLAND ON SATURDAY MOST OF THE STATE WILL START TO SEE
IMPROVING CONDITIONS THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK. WHILE PLACES IN
SOUTHCENTRAL WILL START TO SEE MORE SUN THAN HAS BEEN SEEN IN A
WHILE...THE PRICE TO BE PAID WILL BE THAT SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR OF
THE SEASON SO FAR WILL BE FILTERING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH.
THIS MAY WELL SET THE STAGE FOR WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT FREEZES TO MOST
INLAND AREAS AS EARLY AS SUNDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FLOOD WARNING 121 125
         FLOOD ADVISORY 141
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING 130
         STORM WARNING 120 125 132 138 140
         GALE WARNING 129 141 150 155 160 165 170 171 172 179 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DIXON SEP 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Sep 26, 6:35 PM AKDTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC9 hr
Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.