Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 682, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 25, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 25, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 26, 2012, 9:20 AM AKDT
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
897 FZAK52 PAFC 252339 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-261500- 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 979 MB LOW 110 NM NORTHWEST OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF COLD BAY AT THE SAME STRENGTH BY LATE TUE NIGHT. A 977 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK TUE EVENING WILL ABSORB THE FIRST LOW AND RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN TO 952 MB 125 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WED AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN TO 972 MB 85 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY THU AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE WESTERN BERING LATE TUE NIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH THU AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-261500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 ...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. N OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE MORNING. SEAS 19 FT EXCEPT NW OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ155-261500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO VARIABLE 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ160-261500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ165-261500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. .THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ180-261500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT E OF NUNIVAK ISLAND NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. E OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ170-261500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO NW WIND 35 KT LATE EVENING. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NW 30 KT FROM UNALASKA E. SEAS 19 FT BERING SIDE...11 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT BERING SIDE...12 FT PACIFIC SIDE. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ171-261500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-261500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO NW WIND 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ175-261500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ176-261500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ185-261500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ179-261500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
070 FZAK52 PAFC 261108 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-270300- 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 961 MB LOW 240 NM SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND WILL STRENGTHEN TO 951 MB 120 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WED AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN TO 978 MB FRI MORNING IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. A 977 MB LOW NEAR DUTCH HARBOR WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD AND BECOME ABSORBED BY THE FIRST LOW LATE WED AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-270300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT BY MID MORNING. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ155-270300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ160-270300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ165-270300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ180-270300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SOUTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SOUTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ170-270300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT BY MID MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ171-270300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-270300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ175-270300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ176-270300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ185-270300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. WEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-270300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
701 FZAK52 PAFC 261244 CCA CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 445 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 CORRECTED ZONE 150 FOR TYPO COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-270300- 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 961 MB LOW 240 NM SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND WILL STRENGTHEN TO 951 MB 120 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WED AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN TO 978 MB FRI MORNING IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. A 977 MB LOW NEAR DUTCH HARBOR WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD AND BECOME ABSORBED BY THE FIRST LOW LATE WED AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-270300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 445 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT BY MID MORNING. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ155-270300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ160-270300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ165-270300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ180-270300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SOUTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SOUTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ170-270300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT BY MID MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ171-270300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-270300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ175-270300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ176-270300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ185-270300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. WEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-270300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
458 FZAK52 PAFC 261720 AAA CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 920 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 UPDATED ZONES 171 AND 179 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-270300- 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 961 MB LOW 240 NM SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND WILL STRENGTHEN TO 951 MB 120 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WED AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN TO 978 MB FRI MORNING IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. A 977 MB LOW NEAR DUTCH HARBOR WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD AND BECOME ABSORBED BY THE FIRST LOW LATE WED AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-270300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 445 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT BY MID MORNING. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ155-270300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ160-270300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ165-270300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ180-270300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SOUTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SOUTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ170-270300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT BY MID MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ171-270300- UNALASKA BAY 920 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-270300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ175-270300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ176-270300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ185-270300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. WEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-270300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 920 AM AKDT WED SEP 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 25, 5:00 AM AKDT, 11 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 25, 5:00 AM AKDT, 11 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKDT TUE SEP 25 2012
CORRECTED TO ADD PUBLIC HEADLINES
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
CYCLONIC FLOW ENCOMPASSES THE ENTIRE REGION ALOFT AND IS CENTERED
VERY NEAR DUTCH HARBOR. NORTH AND EAST OF THIS CENTER...A LARGE
FRONTAL SYSTEM WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE MOVING
NORTH ALONG THE FRONT AND THEN WEST AS THEY OCCLUDE AND MOVE BACK
TOWARDS THE PARENT LOW. THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF FRONTS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GULF TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY
EARLY THIS EVENING. DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN
CHAIN TODAY WILL RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE EXIT REGION
OF THE JET LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THIS LOW WILL ABSORB ALL OF THE
PREVIOUS LOWS TO ITS NORTH AS IT BOMBS OUT APPROACHING THE SOUTHWEST
GULF BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A STRONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH
NORTH TO THE NORTH GULF COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW STALLS IN
THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF BEFORE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN. LATEST FORECAST
MODELS INDICATE THE LOW REACHING PEAK STRENGTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AT
AROUND 950 MB ABOUT 60 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THERE HAVE BEEN MINOR DISCREPANCIES IN THE MODELS WITH REGARDS TO
TRIPLE POINT DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL PUSH TO
THE NORTH GULF COAST BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THE GFS AND EUROPEAN
MODELS ARE PUSHING THIS LOW TO THE NORTH OF KODIAK AND THEN WEST
THROUGH THE BARREN ISLAND REGION TOWARDS BRISTOL BAY. FOR THE
FORECAST PACKAGE...THE NAM WAS PREFERRED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
WHICH IS IN FAIRLY CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE EC AND GFS...THEN THE
EUROPEAN WAS PREFERRED WITH THE STRONG LOW IN THE GULF AND ITS
EVENTUAL MOVEMENT NORTH AND EAST TO THE GULF COAST AS IT SLOWLY
WEAKENS WITH TIME FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
MAIN ISSUES WITH THE UPCOMING FRONT WILL BE HOW STRONG THE FRONT
REMAINS AS IT MOVES INLAND...AS WELL AS PREDICTING HOW STRONG THE
WINDS WILL BE AT WHITTIER AND PORTAGE VALLEY AS THE FRONT APPROACHES
AND AS THE EMBEDDED TRIPLE POINT LOW MOVES NORTH AND THEN WEST
THROUGH THE BARREN ISLAND REGION. WILL BE UPGRADING THE HIGH WIND
WATCH TO A WARNING AS THE GRADIENT LOOKS PLENTY STRONG ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT HIGH WINDS AT PORTAGE. FOR WHITTIER...HIGH WINDS ARE
CONTINGENT ON THE EXTENT TO WHICH STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ABLE TO PUSH
INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THE 12Z MODEL SUITE SHOULD YIELD MORE
CLUES AND WILL FINE TUNE THE WORDING OF THE WARNING IF NECESSARY.
THE OTHER CONCERN WILL BE WITH RAINFALL...WHICH WILL BE HEAVIEST OVER
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TODAY INTO TONIGHT. WHILE MODELS ARE NOT
EXPLICITLY PRODUCING QPF OVER THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE CHUGACH RANGE
AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THIS AFTERNOON...THERE IS SOME
CONTRADICTORY EVIDENCE IN THE MODEL DATA THAT SUGGESTS THERE COULD BE
A BAND OF RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT TO AFFECT THE ANCHORAGE
AREA. FOR ONE...THE FLOW IN THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE IS MORE
GEOSTROPHIC...WHICH MEANS THAT THE AIR MASS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE
MOUNTAINS IS NOT TOO UNLIKE THE AIR MASS OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
ABOVE MOUNTAINTOP LEVEL...LIFT WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY AS
INDICATED BY STRONG Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE...
WITH AN EXTREMELY MOIST SNOW GROWTH LAYER (WHERE THE RAIN IS ACTUALLY
PRODUCED) TO TAP INTO AS THE STRONGER LIFT MOVES OVERHEAD. ASSUMING
THESE TWO FEATURES HOLD TOGETHER AS THEY ARE IN THE MODELS NOW...WE
MAY SEE A MODERATE TO INTENSE BAND OF RAIN ALOFT THAT SHOULD EASILY
OVERCOME ANY DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND/OR EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA.
WITH RESPECT TO WINDS OVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS IN TOWN...A STRONG
DOWN-GRADIENT FLOW WILL KEEP LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS OVER THE REGION
TODAY...THEN THE GRADIENT SHOULD BEGIN TO ORIENT ITSELF IN A MORE
FAVORABLE SITUATION FOR A TURNAGAIN ARM WIND TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTH
AND WEST SIDE OF TOWN LATER TODAY AS THE FRONT PASSES. A MORE
DOWN-INLET GRADIENT SHOULD ALLOW THE WIND TO BECOME MORE
NORTHEASTERLY FOR WEDNESDAY AS STRONG LOW PRESSURE MOVES TOWARDS THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF.
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
RAIN WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION.
OFFSHORE FLOW INCREASES LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND SHOULD DRY
THINGS OUT ESPECIALLY OVER THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA. RAIN IS
LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER THE BRISTOL BAY REGION BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AS THE INTENSE LOW MOVES NORTH AND EAST TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST GULF.
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
RAIN AND RAIN SHOWERS WITH A LARGE AREA OF EMBEDDED GALES WILL
ENCOMPASS MOST OF THE BERING REGION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TOWARDS BRISTOL BAY...NORTH PACIFIC...AND SOUTHWEST
GULF. THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY PUSH TO THE EAST
BY FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN
BERING AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE LATE WEEK PERIOD WILL BE DOMINATED BY STRONG LOW PRESSURE THAT
WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF WEDNESDAY SLOWLY SPINNING DOWN AS IT DRIFTS
NORTH TOWARDS THE GULF COAST. AS IT SPINS DOWN A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
LOW WILL LIKELY DIVE SOUTH TO THE BRISTOL BAY AND THEN WESTERN GULF
REGIONS BY SATURDAY...THEN MOVE EAST ACROSS THE GULF TOWARDS THE
PANHANDLE. CLEARING SKIES AND A DRIER WEATHER PATTERN SHOULD THEN
OVERTAKE THE REGION AS THE LOW MOVES SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA BY
LATE SUNDAY.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING...125
FLOOD WARNING...121 125 145
MARINE...GALES...129 132 140 141 155 160 180 170 171 172 175 185 179
STORMS...120 125 130 138 150
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
29/CC SEP 12The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Sep 25, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 7 hr | |
| Sep 25, 4:00 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Sep 25, 11:22 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 29 hr | |
| Sep 26, 9:20 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 19 hr | |
| Sep 26, 1:46 PM AKDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AFC | 18 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.