Small Craft Advisory 635, NWS Anchorage, AK

435 
FZAK52 PAFC 090611 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1015 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

UPDATED ZONE 150

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091500-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING PUSHES ONSHORE BY SUN
AFTERNOON. A 1005 MB LOW 550 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL WILL DEEPEN TO
1000 MB SUN AFTERNOON 400 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL. THIS LOW DEEPENS
FURTHER TO 995 MB NEAR SAINT PAUL MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-091500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
1015 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ155-091500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT EARLY EVENING DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 15 KT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN. EAST OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ160-091500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ165-091500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. FROM PORT MOLLER
EAST...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING S 25 KT WEST OF COLD BAY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ180-091500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ170-091500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ171-091500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ172-091500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. EAST OF SEGUAM ISLAND...SE WIND 20 KT
BECOMING SW 25 KT BY MORNING. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ175-091500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT PACIFIC SIDE...SW 15 KT BERING SIDE. SEAS 9
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT BERING SIDE...SW 35 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ176-091500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING W WIND 35 KT BERING SIDE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ185-091500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. EAST OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ179-091500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT EARLY EVENING BECOMING SE
WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

432 
FZAK52 PAFC 091159
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-100300-
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1003 MB LOW 325 NM NORTH OF ATTU DISSIPATES SUN EVENING 275 NM
NORTHWEST OF ADAK. A 997 MB TRIPLE POINT LOW FORMS SUN NIGHT 100 NM
WEST OF SAINT PAUL...AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES TO 50 NM WEST
OF SAINT GEORGE MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-100300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DURING
THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-100300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-100300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT EAST OF 160W. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-100300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-100300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. EAST OF
NUNIVAK ISLAND...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 4 FT EAST OF NUNIVAK
ISLAND. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 15 KT SOUTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-100300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-100300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-100300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT EAST OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-100300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 9 FEET. W WIND 20 KT BERING
SIDE. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-100300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT WEST OF ATTU ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...EAST OF ATTU ISLAND...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. NW WIND 15 KT WEST OF ATTU ISLAND. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 25 KT DURING THE
EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-100300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-100300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

294 
FZAK52 PAFC 092321
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-101500-
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 999 MB LOW 400 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL WILL DEEPEN TO 995 MB 150 NM
WEST OF SAINT PAUL MON AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WEAKENS TO 1002 MB 200 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SAINT PAUL TUE AFTERNOON. A 1003 MB LOW DEVELOPS 100 NM
SOUTH OF DILLINGHAM TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-101500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ155-101500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT BY MORNING. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ160-101500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ165-101500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ180-101500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 6
FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 20 KT TOWARDS MORNING.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ170-101500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ171-101500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ172-101500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT BY MORNING. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ175-101500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ176-101500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ185-101500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ179-101500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT SAT SEP 8 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE MAINLAND WITH A CLOSED LOW OVER
NUNIVAT AND IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE JET CORE IS AROUND 130KT
ROUNDING INTO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH OVER THE GULF. THIS WILL HELP TO
SWING THE TROUGH EAST. HIGH PRESSURE IS PRESENT OVER THE EASTERN
BERING WITH A SHORT WAVE RIDGE IN THE UPPER LEVELS. A SECOND SHORT
WAVE TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE KAMCHATKA REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
ACCOMPANYING 130KT JET CORE AS WELL. A SURFACE LOW IS IN THE BASE OF
EACH TROUGH WITH SHOWERS. SOME MORE INTENSE SHOWERS OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA AND OVER EASTERN RUSSIA.

THE LOW IN THE GULF TAKING A TURN TO THE EAST COMBINED WITH UPPER
LEVEL NORTH/NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SPELL STRONG NORTH/NORTHWEST GAP
FLOWS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM (3 DAYS).
THIS KEEPS THE STACKED LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF SHIFTING TO THE
EASTERN GULF TOMORROW AND REMAINING IN THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE IS SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND WILL SWING OVER
THE MAINLAND SUNDAY AS A LOW CURRENTLY IN THE WESTERN BERING WILL
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SUNDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE
SLOWLY TO BRISTOL BAY BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. EVERY MODEL HAS THIS LOW
HANDLED WELL AND IT ROTATES INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WEDNESDAY. THE
BIG UNCERTAINTY IS THE NEXT LOW MOVING OUT OF THE WESTERN
BERING/EASTERN RUSSIA STARTING TUESDAY. ALL MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING
AND PHASING OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. EVENTUALLY A LOW SETS UP IN
TEH EASTERN BERING THURSDAY/FRIDAY. THE ORIENTATION IS WHAT WILL SET
UP WHERE THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE ON THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE
DEPTH SEEMS TO BE CONSISTENT AMONG THE NON-NCEP MODELS AROUND 990MB.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WRAPPING UP A BIT WITH GOOD JET AND COLD
AIR SUPPORT. COMBINED WITH NORTH/NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING OVER WESTERN ALASKA...STRONG NORTH/NORTHWEST GAP
FLOWS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE IN THE NORTHERLY FLOW WILL SPARK A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING BUT BE GONE BY MORNING.

WE HAD SOME AREAS GO INTO A FREEZE LAST NIGHT WITH TEMPS IN THE UPPER
20S IN EAST ANCHORAGE AND PARTS OF THE MAT VALLEY. THE DRY AIR AND
LACK OF CLOUDS TONIGHT OVER THE MAT-SU AND ANCHORAGE BOWL COULD MEAN
ANOTHER NIGHT OF COLD TEMPS TONIGHT. ONE FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS THE
NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT AND NORTHWEST GAP FLOWS. THIS COULD PROVIDE
ENOUGH MIXING TO KEEP TEMPS ABOVE THE HARD FREEZE TONIGHT.

THE STRONG GAP FLOWS TO LAST THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW BUT IT WILL BE
DRY. DRY AND NOT WINDS CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE
MAINLAND. HOWEVER...THE FRONT MOVING ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL
REACH KODIAK BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE LOW AND FRONT ROTATE INTO
THE GULF TUESDAY...A BARRIER JET IS POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN GULF.
RAIN WILL SPREAD TO THE GULF COAST LOCATIONS AS WELL WITH SOME
SHOWERS SPREADING INLAND OVERNIGHT TUESDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL AK BY
SATURDAY MORNING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GULF AND THEN OFF TO
THE EAST...LEADING TO A PLEASANT WEEKEND WITH SUNNY SKIES ON SUNDAY
AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. GIVEN EXPECTED
CLEARING LATER IN THE WEEKEND...WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY NIGHT FOR EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE ANCHORAGE BOWL IF WINDS SUBSIDE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR OPTIMAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
NORTHWESTERLY JET WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE AREA WILL MEAN A
DRIER PATTERN SETTING UP. HOWEVER...WESTERLY GAP WINDS WILL BE
PRESENT THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. DRY TOMORROW AWAITING A FRONT FOR
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT TO ARRIVE. MODERATE JET SUPPORT FOR 25-35 KT WINDS
ALONG THE FRONT AS IT HITS THE COAST BY MONDAY MORNING. GOOD SE GAP
FLOWS ALONG THE AKPEN WITH THIS FLOW AS WELL. THE FRONT DISSIPATES AS
IT MOVES INLAND MONDAY DUE TO A LACK OF JET SUPPORT. HOWEVER...SOME
MODERATE RAIN AND WIND WILL REMAIN MAINLY ALONG THE COAST. THE LOW
WEAKENS IN THE EASTERN BERING AND MOVES TO BRISTOL BAY MONDAY
NIGHT/TUESDAY. THIS WILL SPREAD SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA BUT
WINDS WILL TAPER OFF MOSTLY.

ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...
LOW ROTATING OUT OF THE KAMCHATKA AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH MODERATE
PRECIP AND WINDS OVER THE WESTERN BERING. THE LOW WRAPS UP BETTER ON
SUNDAY WITH GALE FORCE WINDS STARTING TO STRETCH TO THE EASTERN
BERING BY MONDAY. THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW HAS SOME GOOD COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND JET SUPPORT FOR STRONGER GALES AS IT RIDES ACROSS THE
BERING THROUGH MONDAY. THE LOW SLOWLY DRIFTS INTO BRISTOL BAY TUESDAY
WITH SHOWERS DECREASING FROM THE WEST. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE
WESTERN BERING FOR A BRIEF PERIOD. WIND WILL REMAIN STRONG ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE LOW.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE LOW IN BRISTOL BAY TO SWING INTO THE GULF TEESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY
WITH CONTINUED SHOWERS OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THEN
WE START TO SEE THE EFFECTS OF THE LOW MOVING ACROSS THE BERING. THE
UNCERTAINTY WILL MEAN NO CERTAIN AREAS OF STRONG WINDS AND PRECIP.
WHAT WE DO KNOW IS A LOW WILL BE IN THE EASTERN BERING SOMETIME LATE
NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FREEZE WARNING ZONE 101 AND 111
MARINE...GALE 127 130 132 150 172 175 176 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN SEP 12