Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 620, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 3, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 3, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 3, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Sep 5, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

139 
FZAK51 PAFC 032307
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-041500-
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE MORNING AND
QUICKLY TRACK TO THE NORTHERN TO EASTERN GULF TUE EVENING BEFORE
MOVING INLAND EARLY WED.
$$

PKZ120-041500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO S 15 KT TOWARDS MORNING. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING
TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-041500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-041500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE...GUSTS TO 50
KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT DURING THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-041500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-041500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-041500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-041500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-041500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. 
.TUE...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-041500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

JM
4 follow-up statements
260 
FZAK51 PAFC 041128
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050300-
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA LATE TUE
MORNING AND QUICKLY TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA TUE NIGHT
BEFORE MOVING INLAND EARLY WED. A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WED MORNING AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST GULF OF
ALASKA WED EVENING.

$$

PKZ120-050300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AROUND
MIDNIGHT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 15 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-050300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WED...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-050300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-050300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-050300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-050300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-050300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-050300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-050300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
994 
FZAK51 PAFC 041425 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
620 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

UPDATED ZONES 129 138 140 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050300-
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA LATE TUE
MORNING AND QUICKLY TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA TUE NIGHT
BEFORE MOVING INLAND EARLY WED. A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WED MORNING AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST GULF OF
ALASKA WED EVENING.

$$

PKZ120-050300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AROUND
MIDNIGHT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 15 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-050300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-050300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-050300-
PASSAGE CANAL
620 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING THEN
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-050300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF THE 
BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-050300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-050300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
620 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-050300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
620 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT 
DURING THE EVENING. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING 
S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-050300-
KACHEMAK BAY
620 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT DURING THE 
EVENING. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT BY MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
078 
FZAK51 PAFC 042314
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-051500-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF
COAST THIS EVENING AND MOVE INLAND EARLY WED MORNING. MODERATE
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH THU MORNING AS
THE BERING LOW MOVES INLAND OVER NORTHERN ALASKA.
$$

PKZ120-051500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AROUND
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-051500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-051500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT THIS EVENING. NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE...GUSTS TO 55 KT DEVELOPING AROUND MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-051500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-051500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. E OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 18 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-051500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-051500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 
5 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-051500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. S OF KALGIN ISLAND...GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 
11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-051500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT DURING THE MORNING.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

JM
313 
FZAK51 PAFC 051151
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-060300-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INLAND OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST BY THIS
AFTERNOON. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH
GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THU AFTERNOON BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE AREA THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-060300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 BECOMING SW 35 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-060300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-060300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 25 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-060300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
STRONGER GUSTS 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-060300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-060300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-060300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-060300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-060300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 3, 1:15 PM AKDT, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 3, 1:15 PM AKDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
115 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TWO MAJOR
STORMS OVER THE ALASKA REGION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE FIRST ONE
IS LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS WESTERN ALASKA. THE OCCLUDED FRONT IS
STILL HANGING ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST...BUT WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN
AS IT CONTINUES INLAND THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG PRESSURE RISES ON THE
ORDER OF 1 TO 2 MB PER HOUR ARE BEING OBSERVED IN THE WAKE OF THIS
SYSTEM CONTRIBUTING TO VERY STRONG WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
ALASKA TODAY. THESE PRESSURE RISES ARE BEGINNING TO MAKE THERE WAY
ACROSS THE GULF TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL...SO SIMILAR STRONG AND GUSTY
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG COASTAL AREAS. A VERY STRONG VORT-MAX
IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF SWINGING
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL. A BAND OF DEEP MOISTURE/HEAVY
RAIN HAS DEVELOPED JUST AHEAD OF IT.

A MORE POWERFUL STORM HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
WITH THE SUPPORT OF A 160 KT UPPER LEVEL JET. THIS JET IS
BEGINNING TO PASS ON BY SO EXPECT LOW TO REACH ITS STRONGEST POINT
THIS AFTERNOON. SHEMYA BOTTOMED OUT AT 975 MB AS LOW PASSED JUST
TO THE NORTH SO ESTIMATE THE CURRENT CENTRAL PRESSURE TO BE AROUND
971 MB. THIS IS A VERY LARGE SYSTEM SO EXPECT WIDESPREAD IMPACTS
OF HIGH WINDS AND RAIN ACROSS THE ALASKA REGION.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS CONTINUE TO DISPLAY GREAT CONSISTENCY
WITH HANDLING OF THESE TWO MAJOR STORM SYSTEMS. THUS...FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH. RECENT FORECASTS HAVE BEEN TRENDING TOWARD
STRONGER WINDS WITH THIS SECOND SYSTEM. NOW THAT IT HAS DEVELOPED
AND MOVING WITH THE FORECAST AREA THERE IS ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO
BUMP UP WINDS EVEN FURTHER TO WHAT HAS APPEARED LIKELY FOR THE
PAST COUPLE DAYS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE FIRST STORM WILL WIND DOWN TONIGHT AS
IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OFF TO THE NORTH. GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AND GULF INTO THIS EVENING AS AREA
OF PRESSURE RISES MOVES THROUGH. THE STRONG VORT-MAX OVER THE
WESTERN GULF WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND
EASTERN COPPER BASIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE LARGER
TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
BRINGING RAIN TO MOST AREAS.

THE POWERFUL ALEUTIAN STORM WILL BE RIGHT ON THE HEELS OF THE
FIRST STORM...SO EXPECT VERY LITTLE BREAK IN WIND IN RAIN. WITH
A TRACK SIMILAR TO THE FIRST STORM EXPECT VERY SIMILAR WEATHER
WITH REGARD TO WIND AND PRECIP PATTERNS ACROSS THE ALASKA REGION.
SINCE THIS SYSTEM IS NOTABLY STRONGER THAN THE FIRST EXPECT
MORE RAIN AND STRONGER WINDS. THE GREATEST IMPACT FROM THIS
STORM WILL LIKELY BE HIGH WINDS IN THE ANCHORAGE AREA. ANALYSIS
OF CROSS-SECTIONS THROUGH THE TURNAGAIN ARM AND ANCHORAGE AREA
INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR TRAPPING OF MOUNTAIN WAVES
WHICH CAN MIX STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS AND LOCAL WIND ALGORITHMS INDICATE WINDS
IN THE RANGE OF 65 TO 85 KTS ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. WITH THE IDEA THAT SOME OF THIS WIND WILL MIX DOWN TO
LOWER ELEVATIONS HAVE ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING WHICH INCLUDES
EAST ANCHORAGE AND THE LOWER HILLSIDE. DON'T EXPECT WINDS QUITE
AS STRONG NEAR SEA LEVEL...BUT 60 MPH GUSTS ARE PROBABLE. ISSUED A
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT TO ONCE AGAIN HIGHLIGHT THIS PARTICULARLY
STRONG EARLY SEASON STORM AND THE LIKELIHOOD FOR FALLING TREES OR
BRANCHES...POWER OUTAGES...AND OTHER WIND DAMAGE FOR THESE AREAS.

WINDS WILL ALSO BE QUITE STRONG ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA
PENINSULA. HOWEVER...LATEST MODEL DATA SUPPORT WINDS PEAKING BELOW
WARNING THRESHOLDS.

THE WORST CONDITIONS WITH THIS SECOND STORM CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY ACROSS THE BERING REGION AND TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...AFTER THIS SECOND MAJOR STORM EXITS IT LOOKS
RELATIVELY CALMER FOR THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. ALASKA WILL
REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LONG-WAVE TROUGH. THIS TROUGH WILL
BECOME RE-CENTERED A LITTLE FURTHER EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS
A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH DROPS FROM THE RUSSIAN ARCTIC SOUTHWARD TO THE
GULF OF ALASKA. THIS TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL BE THE
FOCUS OF LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...ALTHOUGH OTHER SHORT-WAVES
MOVING THROUGH THE LONG-WAVE WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF RAIN OR SHOWERS.
BOTTOM LINE...IT LOOKS LIKE A CLOUDY COOL AND SOMEWHAT WET PATTERN
WILL PERSIST. WITH WEAKER SYSTEMS WIND WILL BE LESS OF A PROBLEM.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 101.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...130 172 175 176.
         GALE WARNING...120 125 128 129 132 138 140 141
                        150 155 160 165 170 171 179 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB SEP 12

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 3, 12:08 PM AKDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1205 PM AKDT SUN SEP 2 2012

AKZ101-111-121-125-050000-

...FIRST STORM MOVING AWAY FROM SOUTHCENTRAL WITH A MORE POWERFUL
SECOND STORM ON THE WAY...

THE FIRST OF A PAIR OF STORM SYSTEMS IS IMPACTING MAINLAND ALASKA
THIS MORNING WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND RAIN. WINDS BRIEFLY
REACHED HURRICANE FORCE IN TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE THIS MORNING AND ARE NOW BEGINNING TO
DIMINISH. THIS IMPROVING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A MORE POWERFUL STORM CURRENTLY IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE
TOWARD MAINLAND ALASKA BY TOMORROW EVENING. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT
AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL IMPACT SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
BEGINNING TUESDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE AND EAGLE RIVER VALLEY...AND WILL BE STRONGER
THAN THE WINDS BEING EXPERIENCED WITH THIS FIRST LOW. HOWEVER...THE
MOST SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE WITH THIS NEXT STORM IS THAT STRONG
WINDS WILL MOVE DOWN THE LOWER HILLSIDE AND EVEN IMPACT THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS OF EAST ANCHORAGE. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF THESE AREAS.

POWERFUL STORMS FOLLOWING THIS TRACK ARE TYPICAL DURING THE
WINTER...BUT ARE MUCH MORE UNUSUAL THIS EARLY IN THE FALL. WITH
THE GROUND STILL UNFROZEN AND LEAVES STILL ON THE TREES...THIS
STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE MORE DAMAGE THAN USUAL. THIS
MAY INCLUDE FALLING TREES AND BRANCHES AS WELL AS POWER OUTAGES.
ADDITIONALLY...HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES TRAVELING ALONG TURNAGAIN
ARM SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IN HIGH WINDS.

STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
AND WARNINGS FOR THIS MAJOR FALL STORM.

AMD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 3, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 3, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Sep 3, 4:00 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC36 hr
Sep 3, 4:02 PM AKDTHigh Wind WatchAFC13 hr
Sep 4, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Sep 4, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Sep 4, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC2 hr
Sep 4, 5:25 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC11 hr
Sep 4, 6:20 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC22 hr
Sep 4, 11:57 AM AKDTFlood WatchAFC24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.