Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 515, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 4, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 4, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 5, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
966 FZAK62 PAFC 041136 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-050300- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 971 MB LOW NEAR 54N 175W MOVES TO 57N 169W AT 973 MB TUE AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES INLAND NEAR TOKSOOK BAY LATE TUE NIGHT. A 1003 MB LOW MOVES OFF OF EASTERN RUSSIA MOVES TO 60N 175E WED MORNING...THEN WEAKENS TO 1010 MB 57N 173W LATE WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ411-050300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 35 TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ412-050300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ413-050300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. E OF 175W S WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 20 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ414-050300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. W OF 167W...BECOMING S 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 TO 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 3O TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
746 FZAK62 PAFC 042311 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-051500- 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 973 MB LOW NEAR 58N 169W WILL WEAKEN TO 979 MB NEAR 62N 166W LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE INLAND NEAR 64N 164W AT 986 MB WED AFTERNOON. A 1005 MB LOW WILL FORM NEAR 57N 180 WED AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATE NEAR 58N 167W THU AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-051500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ412-051500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ413-051500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 19 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ414-051500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW TO NW WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
126 FZAK62 PAFC 051115 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-060300- 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 980 MB LOW NEAR 61N 165W WILL MOVE TO THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ENTERING THE WESTERN BERING WILL REACH BRISTOL BAY THU NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN BERING THU AFTERNOON AND REACHES THE CENTRAL BERING THU NIGHT. $$ PKZ411-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ412-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ413-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ414-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
107 FZAK62 PAFC 051655 RRA OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-060300- 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 980 MB LOW NEAR 61N 165W WILL MOVE TO THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ENTERING THE WESTERN BERING WILL REACH BRISTOL BAY THU NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN BERING THU AFTERNOON AND REACHES THE CENTRAL BERING THU NIGHT. $$ PKZ411-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ412-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ413-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ414-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
162 FZAK62 PAFC 052307 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-061500- 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING WILL TRACK TO THE EASTERN BERING THU AFTERNOON. A 1009 MB LOW WILL FORM NEAR 63N 172W THU AFTERNOON AND MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA THU NIGHT. A FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING ON FRI. $$ PKZ411-061500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ412-061500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ413-061500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ414-061500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 3, 1:15 PM AKDT, 14 hours 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 3, 1:15 PM AKDT, 14 hours 45 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
115 PM AKDT MON SEP 3 2012
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TWO MAJOR
STORMS OVER THE ALASKA REGION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE FIRST ONE
IS LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS WESTERN ALASKA. THE OCCLUDED FRONT IS
STILL HANGING ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST...BUT WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN
AS IT CONTINUES INLAND THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG PRESSURE RISES ON THE
ORDER OF 1 TO 2 MB PER HOUR ARE BEING OBSERVED IN THE WAKE OF THIS
SYSTEM CONTRIBUTING TO VERY STRONG WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
ALASKA TODAY. THESE PRESSURE RISES ARE BEGINNING TO MAKE THERE WAY
ACROSS THE GULF TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL...SO SIMILAR STRONG AND GUSTY
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG COASTAL AREAS. A VERY STRONG VORT-MAX
IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF SWINGING
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL. A BAND OF DEEP MOISTURE/HEAVY
RAIN HAS DEVELOPED JUST AHEAD OF IT.
A MORE POWERFUL STORM HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
WITH THE SUPPORT OF A 160 KT UPPER LEVEL JET. THIS JET IS
BEGINNING TO PASS ON BY SO EXPECT LOW TO REACH ITS STRONGEST POINT
THIS AFTERNOON. SHEMYA BOTTOMED OUT AT 975 MB AS LOW PASSED JUST
TO THE NORTH SO ESTIMATE THE CURRENT CENTRAL PRESSURE TO BE AROUND
971 MB. THIS IS A VERY LARGE SYSTEM SO EXPECT WIDESPREAD IMPACTS
OF HIGH WINDS AND RAIN ACROSS THE ALASKA REGION.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS CONTINUE TO DISPLAY GREAT CONSISTENCY
WITH HANDLING OF THESE TWO MAJOR STORM SYSTEMS. THUS...FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH. RECENT FORECASTS HAVE BEEN TRENDING TOWARD
STRONGER WINDS WITH THIS SECOND SYSTEM. NOW THAT IT HAS DEVELOPED
AND MOVING WITH THE FORECAST AREA THERE IS ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO
BUMP UP WINDS EVEN FURTHER TO WHAT HAS APPEARED LIKELY FOR THE
PAST COUPLE DAYS.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE FIRST STORM WILL WIND DOWN TONIGHT AS
IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OFF TO THE NORTH. GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AND GULF INTO THIS EVENING AS AREA
OF PRESSURE RISES MOVES THROUGH. THE STRONG VORT-MAX OVER THE
WESTERN GULF WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND
EASTERN COPPER BASIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE LARGER
TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
BRINGING RAIN TO MOST AREAS.
THE POWERFUL ALEUTIAN STORM WILL BE RIGHT ON THE HEELS OF THE
FIRST STORM...SO EXPECT VERY LITTLE BREAK IN WIND IN RAIN. WITH
A TRACK SIMILAR TO THE FIRST STORM EXPECT VERY SIMILAR WEATHER
WITH REGARD TO WIND AND PRECIP PATTERNS ACROSS THE ALASKA REGION.
SINCE THIS SYSTEM IS NOTABLY STRONGER THAN THE FIRST EXPECT
MORE RAIN AND STRONGER WINDS. THE GREATEST IMPACT FROM THIS
STORM WILL LIKELY BE HIGH WINDS IN THE ANCHORAGE AREA. ANALYSIS
OF CROSS-SECTIONS THROUGH THE TURNAGAIN ARM AND ANCHORAGE AREA
INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR TRAPPING OF MOUNTAIN WAVES
WHICH CAN MIX STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS AND LOCAL WIND ALGORITHMS INDICATE WINDS
IN THE RANGE OF 65 TO 85 KTS ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. WITH THE IDEA THAT SOME OF THIS WIND WILL MIX DOWN TO
LOWER ELEVATIONS HAVE ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING WHICH INCLUDES
EAST ANCHORAGE AND THE LOWER HILLSIDE. DON'T EXPECT WINDS QUITE
AS STRONG NEAR SEA LEVEL...BUT 60 MPH GUSTS ARE PROBABLE. ISSUED A
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT TO ONCE AGAIN HIGHLIGHT THIS PARTICULARLY
STRONG EARLY SEASON STORM AND THE LIKELIHOOD FOR FALLING TREES OR
BRANCHES...POWER OUTAGES...AND OTHER WIND DAMAGE FOR THESE AREAS.
WINDS WILL ALSO BE QUITE STRONG ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA
PENINSULA. HOWEVER...LATEST MODEL DATA SUPPORT WINDS PEAKING BELOW
WARNING THRESHOLDS.
THE WORST CONDITIONS WITH THIS SECOND STORM CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY ACROSS THE BERING REGION AND TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...AFTER THIS SECOND MAJOR STORM EXITS IT LOOKS
RELATIVELY CALMER FOR THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. ALASKA WILL
REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LONG-WAVE TROUGH. THIS TROUGH WILL
BECOME RE-CENTERED A LITTLE FURTHER EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS
A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH DROPS FROM THE RUSSIAN ARCTIC SOUTHWARD TO THE
GULF OF ALASKA. THIS TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL BE THE
FOCUS OF LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...ALTHOUGH OTHER SHORT-WAVES
MOVING THROUGH THE LONG-WAVE WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF RAIN OR SHOWERS.
BOTTOM LINE...IT LOOKS LIKE A CLOUDY COOL AND SOMEWHAT WET PATTERN
WILL PERSIST. WITH WEAKER SYSTEMS WIND WILL BE LESS OF A PROBLEM.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 101.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...130 172 175 176.
GALE WARNING...120 125 128 129 132 138 140 141
150 155 160 165 170 171 179 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
SEB SEP 12The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Sep 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Sep 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Sep 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Sep 3, 4:02 PM AKDT | High Wind Watch | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Sep 4, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Sep 4, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 2 hr | |
| Sep 4, 5:25 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Sep 4, 6:20 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 22 hr | |
| Sep 4, 11:57 AM AKDT | Flood Watch | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.