Small Craft Advisory 481, NWS Anchorage, AK

136 
FZAK52 PAFC 120129 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
530 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

UPDATED ZONE 180

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-121500-
528 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 996 MB LOW 80 NM NORTHEAST OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO 100 NM WEST OF
CAPE NEWENHAM AT 997 MB WED NIGHT...THEN WEAKEN TO 1008 MB 100 NM
SOUTHWEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND FRI AFTERNOON. A 1008 MB LOW 420 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA THU AFTERNOON WILL STRENGTHEN TO 993 MB 380 NM
SOUTH OF ADAK FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-121500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-121500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.  
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-121500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-121500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-121500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
530 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-121500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT W 15 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 6 FT BERING SIDE. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-121500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-121500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-121500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-121500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-121500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-121500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

735 
FZAK52 PAFC 121130
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-130300-
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 998 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM WILL MOVE TO 160 NM
SOUTHWEST OF MEKORYUK AT 1007 MB FRI MORNING...THEN DRIFT TO 35 NM
NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH SAT MORNING. A
DEVELOPING PACIFIC LOW 530 NM SOUTH OF KISKA THIS MORNING WILL TRACK
TO 230 NM SOUTH OF NIKOLSKI AT 997 MB SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-130300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-130300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-130300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-130300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-130300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-130300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-130300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-130300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-130300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-130300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-130300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-130300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

513 
FZAK52 PAFC 122302
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131500-
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1001 MB LOW 70 NM SOUTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE 80 NM
SOUTH OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND FRI NIGHT. A 1007 MB LOW 550 NM SOUTH
OF SHEMYA WILL STRENGTHEN TO 996 MB 380 NM SOUTH OF ADAK FRI
AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN TO 1000 MB 150 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR SAT
AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ150-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-131500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-131500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-131500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-131500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BERING SIDE...NE 30 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS
3 FT BERING SIDE...9 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT DURING THE EVENING. 
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-131500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-131500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 12 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
520 AM AKDT WED JUL 11 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER-LVL LOW IS CENTERED OVER NORTHERN YUKON TERRITORY AND SLOWLY
MOVING EAST. ANOTHER UPPER-LVL LOW IS NEAR KIPNUK AND DRIFTING WEST.
IN BETWEEN THESE FEATURES AN UPPER-LVL RIDGE IS BUILDING NORTH
THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WITH SOME SUNNY BREAKS. AT THE
SURFACE...A 993 MB LOW NEAR CHIRIKOF ISLAND IS MOVING NORTH TOWARDS
BRISTOL BAY. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF IS TRACKING
TO THE NORTHERN GULF WITH A SHIELD OF RAIN OVERSPREADING KODIAK
ISLAND UP TO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. A SQUEEZED PRESSURE GRADIENT
EXISTS BETWEEN THE LOW/FRONT AND A COASTAL NORTHERN GULF
RIDGE...SUPPORTING STRONG EASTERLY GAP WINDS THROUGH FAVORED AREAS
SUCH AS TURNAGAIN ARM...PORTAGE VALLEY AND THE KNIK VALLEY...AND ALSO
THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN OF BRISTOL BAY. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO
ADVANCING TO COASTAL AREAS OF THE GULF.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ACCEPTABLY CAPTURE THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURES. THE LOW TRACKING
TO BRISTOL BAY WILL MOVE TO AROUND 100 MILES WEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM
TONIGHT AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN POSITION BY FRI.
THE OVERNIGHT NAM AND GFS TRENDED WINDS A BIT STRONGER OVER INTERIOR
BRISTOL BAY...WITH 925 MB FLOW FLIRTING WITH 50 TO 60 KT THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. IMPLICATIONS OF THIS SHOULD RESULT IN
STRONGER ACCELERATED WINDS THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN OVER BRISTOL BAY
AND TO SOME EXTENT OVER TURNAGAIN ARM/HIGHER ELEVATIONS. FURTHER
EAST...MODELS DEPICT THE FRONT TRACKING TO THE NORTHERN GULF THIS
EVENING...STALLING OUT AS THE PARENT LOW IN BRISTOL BAY SLOWS TO A
CRAWL...AND WEAKENING IN PLACE THROUGH THU. AS THE UPPER-LOW MEANDERS
NEAR THE SW AK COAST...MODELS SHOW SHORTWAVES ROTATING AROUND IT INTO
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEK...THOUGH NONE APPEAR
PARTICULARLY STRONG AT THIS TIME. THE MORNING PACKAGE GENERALLY
LEANED ON THE GFS...WITH A TREND TOWARDS GFS/ECMWF BY THE
WEEKEND...AND HPC GUIDANCE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
THE HEAVIEST OVERNIGHT RAINS OVER KODIAK ISLAND WILL LIGHTEN A BIT AS
AS THE FRONT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. STEADY RAIN WILL
CONTINUE OVERSPREADING THE SOUTHERN TO EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND UP
TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND...WHILE INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHCENTRAL SHOULD
SEE PARTLY SUNNY SKIES GIVE WAY TO INCREASING CLOUDS. GALE FORCE
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG GULF COASTAL AREAS AND SOUTHERN REACHES
OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND...WITH A WEAKENING TREND ON THU. CHANNELED
AREAS FROM THE MATANUSKA VALLEY SOUTHWARD CAN EXPECT COMMENSURATE
STRONG WINDS IN THE EASTERLY FLOW...THOUGH HAVE GONE A BIT HIGHER
ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM/HIGHER ELEVATIONS BASED ON MODEL TREND.
PRECIPITATION NORTH AND WEST OF THE CHUGACH/KENAI RANGES LOOKS TO BE
LARGELY TEMPERED TO A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES DUE TO THESE
STRONG DOWNSLOPING WINDS.

SOUTHWEST...
RAIN WILL PERSIST OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AS THE LOW TRACKS TO
JUST SOUTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND TONIGHT. PEAK EAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING MAY DOWNSLOPE PRECIPITATION IMMEDIATELY DOWNWIND OF
OF THE ALEUTIAN/ALASKA RANGES...WHILE CONTINUING IN EARNEST OVER
WESTERN BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND LOWER KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY. INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LESS THAN IN PREVIOUS DAYS AS
TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD BE SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER WITH UPPER LOW
OFF-SHORE. HAVE THEREFORE REMOVED MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.
WITH UPPER-LOW MEANDERING NEARBY...SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE PERIODS OF
LIGHT RAIN ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHWEST AK...WITH INTERIOR AREAS
SEEING PRECIPITATION TAPERING TO PASSING SHOWERS THU AND FRI.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE BERING AND ALEUTIAN REGION REMAINS IN A FAIRLY BENIGN PATTERN IN
TERMS OF STRONG WEATHER FEATURES. TYPICAL FOG AND STRATUS TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE NEXT SYSTEM OF CONSEQUENCE LOOKS TO BE A PACIFIC LOW THAT TRACKS
TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS SAT EVENING. 300 MB JET AMPLIFIES
WITH MID-LVL FLOW BECOMING MORE SOUTHWESTERLY IN NATURE...BRINGING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF MOISTURE TO SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTHCENTRAL AK.
THIS WOULD LIKELY KEEP THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND IN A CLOUDY AND WET
PATTERN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE...120 130 132 138 150 351 352
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

MALOY