Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 155, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 27, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Feb 27, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 27, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Feb 28, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

738 
FZAK51 PAFC 271252
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280300-
400 AM AKST MON FEB 27 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW NEAR MONTAGUE ISLAND MOVES TO 50 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND MON NIGHT AT 990 MB...THEN REMAINS STATIONARY WHILE WEAKENING
TO 997 MB THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-280300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-280300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-280300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-280300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-280300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 12
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-280300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 35 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 15
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT EXCEPT 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 13 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-280300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-280300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-280300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$
4 follow-up statements
201 
FZAK51 PAFC 280004
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281500-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 90 NM SOUTH OF
YAKUTAT MON NIGHT THEN WEAKEN TO 998 MB 110 NM SOUTH OF CAPE 
SUCKLING WED AFTERNOON.  
$$

PKZ120-281500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-281500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-281500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-281500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT 
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-281500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-281500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE IN 
THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-281500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-281500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-281500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$
371 
FZAK51 PAFC 280653 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
955 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

UPDATED ZONE 130 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281500-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 90 NM SOUTH OF
YAKUTAT MON NIGHT THEN WEAKEN TO 998 MB 110 NM SOUTH OF CAPE 
SUCKLING WED AFTERNOON.  
$$

PKZ120-281500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-281500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-281500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-281500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT 
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-281500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
955 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-281500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE IN 
THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-281500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-281500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-281500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 27 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$
073 
FZAK51 PAFC 281259
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290300-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH WED EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE WED NIGHT. A WEATHER
FRONT MOVES INTO THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF ALASKA LATE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-290300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-290300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-290300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-290300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-290300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 65 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS IN THE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 20
FT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 18 FT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-290300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 12 FT N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 8 FT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-290300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-290300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT EXCEPT N WIND 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-290300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$
074 
FZAK51 PAFC 282353
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291500-
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 995 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL DRIFT WEST AND DISSIPATE
NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WED EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF WED NIGHT THEN MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF THU
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-291500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-291500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-291500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-291500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-291500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT NW WIND 40 KT EAST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS IN THE EVENING. SEAS  10 FT EXCEPT 16 FT E OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-291500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-291500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT..NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-291500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-291500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 26, 4:00 PM AKST, 12 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 26, 4:00 PM AKST, 12 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 26 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...RATHER PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WITH THE JET
STREAM OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND THEN TURING NORTHEAST OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA. SATELLITE CONTINUES TO SHOW A DEEP MOISTURE FEED INTO THE
FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE GULF THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION TO THE DEEP
MOISTURE THERE IS ENOUGH COLD AIR IN THE GULF REGION TO KEEP MOST OF
THE PRECIPITATION SNOW.
THE PARENT LOW IS IN THE BRISTOL BAY REGION AND MOVING EASTWARD. THE
AIR BEHIND THIS LOW IS QUITE COLD AND IS DROPPING THE TEMPERATURES IN
THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS THROUGH THE DAY AS THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS
KICK UP...CAUSING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THERE. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL
BEGIN TO GET INTO THIS COLDER AIR OVERNIGHT AS THE WINDS ROTATE
AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST. THERE IS STILL A QUESTION AS TO WHETHER
THERE WILL BE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS PERSISTING ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA COAST TONIGHT WHEN THE COLD ADVECTION MOVES IN...OR WHETHER THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY BETWEEN BETHEL AND THE COAST WILL CUT OFF THE
SNOWFALL COMPLETELY AS IT MOVES EASTWARD.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE DOING WELL AND ARE CONSISTENT IN THEIR
SOLUTIONS FROM THE 12Z RUNS. RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY HAS BEEN GOOD AS
WELL.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE KACHEMAK BAY AREA HAS MIXED WITH RAIN BUT
THAT IS ABOUT THE ONLY PLACE. CORDOVA WAS EXPECTED TO TURN TO OR MIX
WITH RAIN THIS AFTERNOON BUT INSTEAD REMAINED SNOW THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON. THIS ALLOWED HEAVY SNOW AND WIND TO COMBINE FOR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AND HEAVY SNOWFALL. VALDEZ HAS BEEN EXPERIENCING MODERATE
TO HEAVY SNOWFALL THROUGH THE DAY AND WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE
OVERNIGHT AFTER THE UPPER WAVE PASSES TO THEIR EAST LATE THIS
EVENING.
THE STORY IN THE ANCHORAGE AREA HAS BEEN DICTATED BY THE DOWNSLOPE
WINDS OFF THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS. UPPER LEVEL FLOW WAS CONDUCIVE FOR A
HEAVY SNOWFALL BUT THE DOWNWARD MOTION OF THE WINDS OFF THE MOUNTAINS
IN THE STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS KEPT THE PRECIPITATION LIGHT
OVER TOWN AND IN EAGLE RIVER. SNOWFALL WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY
DURING THE EVENING AS THE WINDS DIMINISH BUT THE LIFTING WILL ALSO
DIMINISH AROUND MIDNIGHT LEAVING ONLY MODEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN THE
2 TO 4 INCH RANGE TONIGHT FOR THE ANCHORAGE AREA.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL BEGIN TO GET INTO THIS COLDER AIR OVERNIGHT AS
THE WINDS ROTATE AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST. THERE IS STILL A QUESTION
AS TO WHETHER THERE WILL BE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS PERSISTING ALONG THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST TONIGHT WHEN THE COLD ADVECTION MOVES IN...OR
WHETHER THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY BETWEEN BETHEL AND THE COAST WILL CUT
OFF THE SNOWFALL COMPLETELY AS IT MOVES EASTWARD.
THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS WILL NOT SEE MUCH IMPROVEMENT IN THEIR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS UNTIL THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES SIGNIFICANTLY TOWARD
MORNING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS ON TAP FOR
THE REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. A
STORM FORCE FRONT WILL FALL APART AS IT EXTENDS TO THE EASTERN BERING
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY JET WILL PUSH THE NEXT
DEVELOPING SYSTEM NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC NEAR THE
ALEUTIANS AND THEN INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA BY NEXT WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 125 131 135 195.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW 145.
MARINE...GALE 120 132 138 150 155 160 165 170 171 172 176 179 180 185
         STORM 130 175
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 165 179.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

FEB 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 26, 4:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC3 days
Feb 26, 4:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Feb 26, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC3 days
Feb 26, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC4 days
Feb 26, 4:16 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC8 hr
Feb 27, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Feb 27, 4:00 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC4 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.