Gale Warning 668, NWS Anchorage, AK

583 
FZAK51 PAFC 131654 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
900 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

UPDATED ZONES 120 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140300-
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 978 MB LOW 90 NM EAST OF SITKINAK WILL WEAKEN AND BECOME ABSORBED
BY A PACIFIC LOW THAT TRACKS TO 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND
AT 970 MB SUN MORNING. THIS COMPLEX LOW THEN MOVES TO AROUND 110 NM
SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH MON 
MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-140300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
900 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. EAST OF
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT NE 25 KT WEST OF HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-140300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-140300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-140300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-140300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-140300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-140300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
900 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-140300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-140300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

394 
FZAK51 PAFC 132345
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141500-
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 978 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE OVER KODIAK ISLAND SUN
THEN MOVE TO 250 NM EAST OF KODIAK MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-141500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE WIND 20 KT W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.
SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-141500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-141500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-141500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THEN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-141500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-141500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-141500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-141500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-141500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
130 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012

UPPER TROF ANALYZED ACROSS THE CENTRAL INTERIOR HAD PICKED UP ENOUGH
MOISTURE FOR LIGHT SNOW ALONG THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE. THIS WAS MISSED BY
BOTH THE NAM AND GFS. SNOW WILL END THIS EVENING AS UPPER LOW CENTER MOVES
SOUTH TO THE SOUTHERN KUSKOKWIM VALLEY FRI NIGHT. WEAK RIDGING FORECAST
ACROSS COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL CLEAR SKIES OUT OVER ALL OF ZONE 141 BY SAT
MORNING, OR SOONER.

INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND STRENGTHENING THERMAL GRADIENT ALONG
THE ALASKA RANGE SUGGESTS SNOW FOR SOUTHCENTRAL AREAS BUT THE MOISTURE JUST
IS NOT THERE, YET. SATELLITE SHOWS FRONT LYING ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS-KODIAK
TO THE PANHANDLE INCHING ITS WAY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE COAST. ASSOCIATED RAIN
AND FOG KODIAK ISLAND EASTWARD IS STILL (1PM FRI) A FAIR WAYS OFF THE COAST.
SOME OF THIS MOISTURE WILL GET CAUGHT UP IN THE AFOREMENTIONED SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASE THE SNOW CHANCES FROM COOK INLET EASTWARD LATE
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. WHAT SNOW DOES DEVELOP WILL CHANGE OVER TO
RAIN ALONG THE COAST BY MIDDAY SATURDAY AND BE MOSTLY ABOVE 800 FT
ELSEWHERE. RAIN CONTINUES KODIAK ISLAND AND INCREASES AND BECOMES MORE
WIDESPREAD ACROSS ALL AREAS EAST OF THE AK RANGE AS SNOW LEVELS RISE TO 1000
FT OR MORE. SOME LIGHT RAIN/SNOW LIKELY TO REACH THE MCCARTHY AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT THE REMAINDER OF ZONE 141 TO STAY DRY.

HIGH PRESSURE TAKING HOLD OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL HOLD ITS POSITION
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEAK. COLD GALE FORCE NORTHERLIES WILL PERSIST OVER
THE EASTERN BERING, FOX ISLANDS AND ALASKA PENINSULA WITH EVEN COLDER
CONDITIONS SPREADING SOUTH FROM THE ARCTIC LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
PRECIPITATION WILL STAY IN THE FORM OF RAIN FROM ATTKA TO NEAR PORT HEIDEN
THIS WEEKEND AND COULD GO EITHER WAY AT ST PAUL. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LITE
TO NOTHING AT ALL. SUN NIGHT AND MONDAY THINGS BECOME COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW
ACROSS ALL AREAS WITH POSSIBLY HEAVY AMOUNTS ALONG THE WINDWARD SIDE OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND AK RANGE. SNOW LEVELS ALSO DROP TO SEA LEVEL EVEN ALONG
THE NORTH GULF COAST. HOWEVER, SOUTH SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL HOLD SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING AND KEEP ANY ACCUMULATIONS TO A MINIMUM FOR
PLACES LIKE SEWARD, WHITTIER AND CORDOVA AND MAYBE EVEN VALDEZ.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE AREAS 160, 165, 170, 180, 185 AND THE BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST
OF 180.

DPERCY OCT 12