Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012

Gale Warning 656, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 5, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 5, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 5, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Oct 6, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

458 
FZAK52 PAFC 052337
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-061500-
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 987 MB LOW 60 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL WEAKEN AND
MOVE INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA BY SAT AFTERNOON. A 970 MB LOW 510 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 982 MB 200 NM SOUTH OF ADAK SAT
MORNING AND DRIFT SOUTH INTO THE PACIFIC AT THE SAME INTENSITY ON
SUNDAY.
$$

PKZ150-061500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
$$

PKZ155-061500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ160-061500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EARLY EVENING DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
$$

PKZ165-061500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
$$

PKZ180-061500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NORTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING
VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. FROM NUNIVAK ISLAND
SOUTH...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-061500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ171-061500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ172-061500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. E OF
SEGUAM ISLAND...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...20 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT BERING SIDE...23 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
$$

PKZ175-061500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO N 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
$$

PKZ176-061500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO N 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 45 KT EXCEPT N 35 KT FROM SHEMYA WEST. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
SHEMYA WEST...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
$$

PKZ185-061500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. NORTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 25
KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
$$

PKZ179-061500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$
1 follow-up statement
941 
FZAK52 PAFC 061143
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-070300-
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 993 MB LOW 210 NM NORTH OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL WEAKEN AND
MOVE ONSHORE NEAR CAPE HOPE SUN NIGHT. A 981 MB LOW 360 NM SOUTH
OF AMCHITKA ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 420 NM SOUTH OF SEGUAM ISLAND BY SUN
MORNING AND THEN DRIFT SOUTH INTO THE PACIFIC THROUGH MON NIGHT AT
THE SAME INTENSITY. 

$$

PKZ150-070300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-070300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-070300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-070300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-070300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-070300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-070300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-070300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...20 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT BERING SIDE...22 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-070300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS 
TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT BERING SIDE...24 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-070300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT EXCEPT N 30 KT FROM SHEMYA W. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-070300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
ELSEWHERE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-070300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 5, 4:00 PM AKDT, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 5, 4:00 PM AKDT, 0 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL PATTERN CONTINUES WITH A LONGWAVE TROUGH
OVER THE BERING SEA AND A STRONG RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN
PACIFIC. BROAD SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES IS BRINGING
ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT
IS LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...WITH LIGHT RAIN
PERSISTING ALONG THE GULF COAST AND BEGINNING TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
OVER THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHCENTRAL AK. MEANWHILE...A STACKED LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHWARD INTO THE BERING STRAIT CONTINUES TO
BRING LIGHT RAIN AND STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM...DEPICTING A
NORTH AND WESTWARD SHIFT OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC RIDGE RIDGE THIS
WEEKEND AS A LARGE UPPER LOW DIVES WELL SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
RAIN WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE GULF COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS OVER THE GULF. RAIN WILL BE MORE
INTERMITTENT OVER INLAND AREAS...TAPERING OFF ON SATURDAY MORNING
BEFORE RETURNING SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES
NORTHWARD.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
STRONG WINDS OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE AND RAIN
WILL TAPER OFF TO SHOWERS THIS EVENING AS THE SYSTEM NEAR THE BERING
STRAIT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND MOVE OFF TO THE NORTH. AFTER A
RELATIVELY QUIET SATURDAY...RAIN WILL THEN OVERSPREAD ALL OF
SOUTHWEST AK FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA.

ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL SEE GUSTY NORTH TO
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THIS WEEKEND AS A LARGE NORTH PACIFIC LOW PASSES
SOUTH OF THE CHAIN. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN TO THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...WITH RAIN OVERSPREADING THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
PRIBILOFS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THE PREVIOUSLY DISCUSSED FRONT
MOVES THROUGH.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WILL BRIEFLY DIMINISH
TOWARDS THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AS THE RIDGE BUILDS NORTH AND
WESTWARD OVER THE GULF AND SOUTHERN ALASKA. RAIN LOOKS TO RETURN
AROUND MIDWEEK AS THE RIDGE ONCE AGAIN RETREATS EASTWARD AND THE
UPPER LOW MOVING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS THIS WEEKEND BEGINS TO MOVE
BACK TOWARDS THE NORTH AND EAST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY 155
         FLOOD ADVISORY 101 131 135
MARINE...STORM WARNING 175
         GALE WARNING 160 172 176 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

CB OCT 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 5, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Oct 5, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Oct 5, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr
Oct 6, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Oct 6, 1:56 PM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFC50 hr
Oct 6, 2:03 PM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFC50 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2012Every gale warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.