Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012

Gale Warning 584, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 18, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 18, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 18, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Sep 19, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

481 
FZAK51 PAFC 181153
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190300-
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET... A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE GULF COAST THIS
AFTERNOON AND LINGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A 988 MB LOW NEAR 52N 159W
THIS EVENING WILL MOVE ASHORE NEAR CASTLE CAPE EARLY WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ120-190300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE
WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 60 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-190300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-190300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-190300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-190300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-190300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-190300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. WINDS BECOMING
SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-190300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-190300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
4 follow-up statements
674 
FZAK51 PAFC 182327
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191500-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT WILL APPROACH THE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND LINGER
THROUGH WED. A 990 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW 120 NM SE OF SAND POINT TUE
EVENING WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR CHIGNIK WED MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-191500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE
WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE COAST
E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-191500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-191500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-191500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-191500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SE 40 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-191500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-191500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
6 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-191500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT 
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
985 
FZAK51 PAFC 191143
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 992 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO
NEAR KING SALMON AT 988 MB LATE THIS MORNING AND THEN MOVE INLAND. A
1001 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 390 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK THU MORNING AND THEN
TO 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF HOMER AT 999 MB THU EVENING.

$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE...SE WIND 60 KT. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25
FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER WIND AND SEAS SOUTH OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS
TO 60 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 6
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
EXCEPT 11 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE THIS MORNING THEN SW 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
590 
FZAK51 PAFC 192045 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1245 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

UPDATED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 992 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO
NEAR KING SALMON AT 988 MB LATE THIS MORNING AND THEN MOVE INLAND. A
1001 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 390 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK THU MORNING AND THEN
TO 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF HOMER AT 999 MB THU EVENING.

$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE...SE WIND 60 KT. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25
FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
1245 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HIGHER WIND AND SEAS SOUTH 
OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS
TO 60 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 6
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
EXCEPT 11 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE THIS MORNING THEN SW 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
962 
FZAK51 PAFC 192315
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN TO CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN THIS
EVENING AND THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
THROUGH FRI. A SERIES OF WEAK LOWS WILL TRACK OVER THE FAR WESTERN
GULF AND KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH THU. 

$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 35 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 
7 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE EVENING. GUSTS
TO 35 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 17, 2:00 PM AKDT, 14 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 17, 2:00 PM AKDT, 14 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...AN IMPRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES TO DIG ACROSS THE BERING INTO THE NORTHERN PACIFIC...WHILE
A RIDGE IS BUILDING ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA. OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...BOTH FEATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE AMPLIFIED. AS A
RESULT...THE UPPER LEVEL JET BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES WILL
INTENSIFY AND DEVELOP A MORE NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTATION AND HELP TO
SURGE TROPICAL MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE ALASKA REGION. THIS WILL
DEVELOP AND TRANSPORT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN
AND STRONG WINDS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...WHILE MODELS ARE INITIALLY IN DECENT
AGREEMENT...THEY DISAGREE ON THE TIMING AND LOCATION OF A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM AS IT DEVELOPS IN THE NORTH PACIFIC AND PROGRESSES
INLAND TOWARDS KODIAK ISLAND LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. THE GFS HAS BEEN
INCONSISTENT ON THE TIMING OF THIS FEATURE...AND SO THE NAM WAS
FAVORED FOR THIS FORECAST. DUE TO THE VARIETY OF SOLUTIONS...THERE IS
STILL UNCERTAINTY...ESPECIALLY IN LOCATION...INTENSITY AND TIMING OF
LOCAL GAP WINDS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ALTHOUGH GENERALLY DRY AND CALM CONDITIONS
PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION THIS AFTERNOON...TWO LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
AND SUPPORT HEAVY RAIN AND LOCAL GUSTY WINDS. THE WEAKER FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE WESTERN GULF TONIGHT AND SUPPORT STEADY RAIN ACROSS THE
GULF COAST AS IT DISSIPATES ALONG THE COAST TUESDAY. A MUCH MORE
FORMIDABLE SYSTEM WILL FOLLOW QUICKLY ON ITS HEELS AND SUPPORT STRONG
WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE
SOUTHCENTRAL AREA.

WITH SOILS ALREADY SATURATED...AND WITH SEVERAL RIVERS AND STREAMS AT
OR NEAR MINOR FLOOD STAGE...FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH THERE IS UNCERTAINTY IN THE INTENSITY AND LOCATION
OF STRONG WINDS WITH THIS SYSTEM...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS
ANTICIPATED.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
A LOW CENTERED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF ST PAUL IS SUPPORTING GUSTY WINDS
AND RAIN ACROSS THE PRIBILOFS AND ACROSS THE AKPEN AS ITS FRONT MOVES
EASTWARD INTO BRISTOL BAY. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THIS LOW SLOWLY DRIFTS EASTWARD. A MORE
IMPRESSIVE LOW WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND BRING GUSTY WINDS AND RAIN TO THE BRISTOL BAY
REGION AND THEN INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHWARD.

.ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE EASTERN BERING AND
SUPPORT GUSTY WINDS AND RAIN IN THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. HOWEVER...A
RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE WESTERN BERING OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
AN ACTIVE AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT WEEK. AS A
RESULT...GUSTY WINDS THROUGH LOCAL GAPS AND LOCAL FLOODING WILL
REMAIN A POSSIBILITY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH 101
         FLOOD WARNING...135 145
MARINE...GALE...120 125 129 130 132 140 150 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

ELN SEP 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 17, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Sep 17, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Sep 17, 8:40 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC7 hr
Sep 17, 8:50 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC7 hr
Sep 17, 8:50 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC55 hr
Sep 18, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 18, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Sep 18, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Sep 18, 4:00 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Sep 18, 5:00 AM AKDTHigh Wind WarningAFC41 hr
Sep 18, 5:23 AM AKDTFlood WatchAFC17 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2012Every gale warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.